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#31
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smjmitchell wrote:
What I think we need is a new way of building gliders. I suspect we may be going at this backwards, and what we need is a better way to increase the number of glider pilots. This will increase the demand for gliders, allowing more manufacturers to produce gliders in greater volume, and lower costs. snip There is ample evidence in the hang glider world and indeed in other leisure sport products that the volume would increase dramatically if the price could be reduced. Imagine if you could sell a certified APIS for 150% of a current list price of a competition standard hang glider what that would do to the volume of glider sales. There are already gliders available to the hang glider pilots with much superior performance to a competition hang glider for _same_ price as competition hang glider. Take a look at the used gliders available: the Ka-6 and even the 1-26 can meet your target. There is much more to the issue than cost and performance. The barriers to entering the sport are not the cost of a new glider, or the hang glider pilots would be snapping up all these aircraft. Even a PW5 seems like an exotic starship to a hang glider pilot that gets 15:1, and it is cheaper to own and fly than a competition hang glider (former hang glider pilots, now sailplane pilots, tell me this true). Waiting in a queue for a club glider would be a thing of the past - you would simply buy your own - the increase in volume would come from within the existing gliding fraterity, not to mention the more people the sport would attract and retain through greater affordability. I don't know exactly how many hang gliders are sold annually but recent articles I have read indicate that it is thousands a year. Anyone got any hard data ????? How many gliders do Schempp Hirth, DG, et al sell a year ... anyone got some data ????? Without a growing sport, any sales increase we make within the present community will be short-lived, because after a few years, everyone that wants a glider will have one, and the volume will drop off. These things aren't like cars - they last for a long, long time, and have to crashed badly to remove them from the fleet. Having lower cost gliders will help the sport, of course, but I think it the effect is being overestimated. When someone decides to start flying lessons, it is not because they see a new LS4 can be bought for $30,000 instead of $40,000. To sustain the large volume of production that we speculate may be needed to lower costs means we have to have many more people becoming serious sailplane pilots (serious enough to buy a glider) every year, year after year, to build the market for all those gliders. Frankly, we already have cheap gliders via the used market and the medium performance gliders. What we don't have is cheap, new, high performance gliders so lusted for by the RAS pilots, but these are not the gliders that will bring in new pilots. Finally you don't need to point out that the above is somewhat idealistic. I am very aware of this but unless we look to the future, challenge ourselves to do better and make significant progress in the direction of costs and affordability we will not have a viable sport. Someone has to start to do the dreaming if we are going to have any hope of solving the problem. Anyone share that vision ? If I am right, that the viability of the sport does not depend on cheap, new, high performance gliders, perhaps this is a good thing: it might be more difficult to solve that high-volume production problem than the one of getting more people into the sport and retaining them by improving access to the sport by other means. -- Change "netto" to "net" to email me directly Eric Greenwell Washington State USA |
#32
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"smjmitchell" wrote in message u... What I think we need is a new way of building gliders. snip Assuming a composite glider, what I have in mind is tape laying machines, filament winding, RTM methods etc. All other areas of the composites industry are moving this way - I am sure sailplanes will eventually. There are also other innovative ways to build sailplanes if we are really willing to think outside the square. Also CNC machines for all metal parts etc. Also the design is important we need more efficient design processes and tools and more effort needs to be invested to reduce parts count. Perhaps there is a better way to build a composite airframe than the standard foam sandwich approach. We will not know unless we challenge ourselves to do it. A significant part of Burt Rutan's Boomerang was built using filament winding process. Pre-preg composites are promising and reduce layup time. However, there may be real problems repairing damage to such components. So frontend gains may lead to larger backend costs. I would expect some impact on insurance rates as a result. It may be possible to make the advantages outweigh the disadvantages. Frank Whiteley |
#33
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Ok, I'm going to weigh in here!
I am a relatively new glider pilot but I have flown power, hang gliders. I have also been a skydiver. I am now living in Germany and as I have a glider club 10 minutes from the house, last year I decided to get my soaring license. I could have used my power ticket o get a license here in a short time but that (I feel) would have been a mistake. The differences in the 2 sports go beyond landing, navigation, and airspace knowledge. I am also a sailor and have built sailboats commercially. The biggest gains in efficiency in sailboat production came about from modular construction. This is being used in the sailplane building process to some extent. But!!! The next biggest gain would be in using 2 part molds for the wings and fuselage. What this means is there is a mold with 2 parts for the upper wing and 2 parts for the lower wing. This means the wing skins would have 4 molds (port and starboard). The fuse would have 4 molds (2 port and 2 starboard). This would decrease the amount of labor involved in each part. The upper wing mold would include the spar cavity, you would lay the spar into the inside upper wing mold spar cavity before laying the wing skin. Using precut/prepreg E glass with Divincell (or other appropriate) cellular core, you would lay the skin and spray gel coat on the upper (outer) mold and compress the 2 molds. Using vacuum and heat to assure proper resin consistency will mitigate voids and delamination problems. When the upper wing skin is cured it would be mated with the lower wing skin (both still in there outer molds) and bonded. The airbrake module would slide into the laser cut bay in the upper wing with Kevlar rigging wires (not pushrods). The aileron and the aileron controls (also Kevlar wire) would be installed. The fuse would follow the same procedure. Now, we must build 2-300 of these planes just to break even on the tooling (not development) so we have to agree on one design, preferably one already in existence. If we could sell 4-500 units in a 2-3 year time frame then we could (possibly) have a viable business model. Sound like an LS4 clone to me! Bob (The proceeding is a very opinionated and un-researched scenario) |
#34
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In article k1qld.501341$mD.200090@attbi_s02,
"Bill Daniels" wrote: The choice is a shrinking sport, a stagnant one or a growing one. I think the happiest choice is a growing one. Cheaper gliders are a part of the solution. I agree. And you can't grow the sport by everyone buying used LS4s and Discii. Only newly-built gliders can do it. -- Bruce | 41.1670S | \ spoken | -+- Hoult | 174.8263E | /\ here. | ----------O---------- |
#35
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In article ,
Eric Greenwell wrote: There are already gliders available to the hang glider pilots with much superior performance to a competition hang glider for _same_ price as competition hang glider. Take a look at the used gliders available: the Ka-6 and even the 1-26 can meet your target. I don't know why people keep saying things like this. You can *not* significantly grow gliding by people buying Ka-6's or 1-26's. They aren't *MAKING* them any more, there is a only a very limited number around, and if you made new ones they'd cost as much or more as a PW-5 (whcih is better than either of them, albiet marginally in the case of the K6) anyway. -- Bruce | 41.1670S | \ spoken | -+- Hoult | 174.8263E | /\ here. | ----------O---------- |
#36
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Bruce Hoult wrote:
In article , Eric Greenwell wrote: There are already gliders available to the hang glider pilots with much superior performance to a competition hang glider for _same_ price as competition hang glider. Take a look at the used gliders available: the Ka-6 and even the 1-26 can meet your target. I don't know why people keep saying things like this. You can *not* significantly grow gliding by people buying Ka-6's or 1-26's. They aren't *MAKING* them any more, there is a only a very limited number around, And yet they are very cheap, which is why I suggest there aren't enough pilots interested in gliding. If hang glider pilots were falling all over each other to move into low cost gliders with substantially better performance than their hang gliders, we'd see higher prices. I don't think it is the glider _supply_ that is lacking, it is the _demand_ for gliders that is missing. and if you made new ones they'd cost as much or more as a PW-5 (whcih is better than either of them, albiet marginally in the case of the K6) anyway. I agree. But do you think there would be more people starting gliding lessons if they could buy a new LS4 for $40,000 US instead of $50,000? Or even it it was only $30,000? I don't think there would be any more starting pilots, though we would probably keep a few more. It will take a lot more than that to get the LS4 volume up to where the $30,000 price is possible. -- Change "netto" to "net" to email me directly Eric Greenwell Washington State USA |
#37
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In article ,
Eric Greenwell wrote: I don't know why people keep saying things like this. You can *not* significantly grow gliding by people buying Ka-6's or 1-26's. They aren't *MAKING* them any more, there is a only a very limited number around, And yet they are very cheap, which is why I suggest there aren't enough pilots interested in gliding. If hang glider pilots were falling all over each other to move into low cost gliders with substantially better performance than their hang gliders, we'd see higher prices. I don't think it is the glider _supply_ that is lacking, it is the _demand_ for gliders that is missing. Yes, that's a good point. Perhaps the hang glider pilots simply don't *know* about these cheap gliders? Or perhaps they value being able to climb an arbitrary peak and jump off too much? In which case they're not going to be happy with less than a self-launching glider. and if you made new ones they'd cost as much or more as a PW-5 (whcih is better than either of them, albiet marginally in the case of the K6) anyway. I agree. But do you think there would be more people starting gliding lessons if they could buy a new LS4 for $40,000 US instead of $50,000? Or even it it was only $30,000? I don't think there would be any more starting pilots, though we would probably keep a few more. It will take a lot more than that to get the LS4 volume up to where the $30,000 price is possible. Personally, I think a new PW-5 or similar for $15k is a pretty damn good thing. It seems that others don't think so. I'm wierd I guess. I fly a Janus (and have flown DG1000 and Duo) and they're nice, but for flying cross country I actually *prefer* a PW-5 (and I was flying one yesterday). Sure, you can't go as far or as fast but you can still challenge youself and there are plenty of days when the PW-5 can stay up but the Janus can't (yes I know the reverse is true in some places/conditions). OTOH I've never flown a single-seater with more performance than a Libelle (about 65 hours in Libelles, Std and Club), so I probably don't have a clue what a *real* glider flies like anyway. Is an LS-4 *that* much better than a Libelle? -- Bruce | 41.1670S | \ spoken | -+- Hoult | 174.8263E | /\ here. | ----------O---------- |
#38
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Finally you don't need to point out that the above is somewhat idealistic. I
am very aware of this but unless we look to the future, challenge ourselves to do better and make significant progress in the direction of costs and affordability we will not have a viable sport. Someone has to start to do the dreaming if we are going to have any hope of solving the problem. Anyone share that vision ? Well, since I seem to dwell a lot in the idealistic sense when it comes to glider design/building I'll chime in. My vision of my idealistic glider would be a self-launcher. It would be something between a TST-10 and an Apis 15m. The engine installation would be an engine on a stick, I would look into using the extension/retraction system the Russia AC-5M uses, electric start would be good.......since this engine already exists with the MZ-35, I would probably choose this engine.....although it seems 2-stroke technology is booming these days....just look at the power plants being developed for the powered parachutes........the Cors-Air Black devil would even work for what I have in mind. Probably there are even more out there that I am unaware of, and I have done lot's of homework on this subject. The mission statement for this sailplane would not be for racing, it would be tailored towards recreational flying. It would look sexy; D2 type planform with a modified D2/V2 type fuselage shape.....because I think these are archetypes of modern sailplane design......here is where I end my similarities.........I do not need a racer, or a heavy ship, or a ship with all the modern accoutrements......these are the refinements that make a glider so expensive. I believe the R & D that goes into these ships is cutting edge: airfoils, boundry layer devices, tooling......this all adds up, as it should, and pilots who buy and fly these masterpieces have every right to be proud and have high expectations for performance and quality. Now.....back to my dream machine. This ship would be built using wet layup technolgy, it would use a lot of carbon, the wings would be sandwich construction and the fuselage would be carbon with ring bulkheads and stringers. It is somewhat true that the cockpits of these "lightweights" are sparse, but I believe with proper use of Kevlar and a combination of integral seat and cockpit longerons a safe and lightweight fuselage could be made. I would strive to make the parts count as small as possible to minimize the cost in time and $$. A set of molds could be made if there was interest in such an idea, to facilitate making multiple bits, but there are other tried and true manufacturing methods a guy could use to make it a one-off and not incur the expense of hard tooling......the trade off is hours of labor to fair the outer surfaces to your level of quality. I really believe that an elegant, nice performing ship is possible to manufacture and with diligence could be done and sold for a price a lot of us would find appealing. Well, that's my dream of a west-side sailplane. Cheers, Brad 199Ak |
#39
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On Sun, 14 Nov 2004 15:03:17 +1300, Bruce Hoult
wrote: Sure, you can't go as far or as fast but you can still challenge youself and there are plenty of days when the PW-5 can stay up but the Janus can't (yes I know the reverse is true in some places/conditions). Here in Germany the same story is told about the Ka-6/Ka-8 and glass gliders - it's the legend of the weather that allows the lighter gliders with inferior L/D to stay airborne while the "heavy" gliders with good L/D need to land. Unfortunately I never had the pleasure to meet anyone who saw this happen. Is an LS-4 *that* much better than a Libelle? Yes. "That much" is a question of taste of course. Flying an LS-4 or DG-300 in a team with a Libelle means that you have to pull the flaps after each 3rd thermal and get rid of 500 ft if you want to stay together with him. To me this is a vast difference. Bye Andreas |
#40
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Bruce Hoult wrote:
In article , Eric Greenwell wrote: I don't know why people keep saying things like this. You can *not* significantly grow gliding by people buying Ka-6's or 1-26's. They aren't *MAKING* them any more, there is a only a very limited number around, And yet they are very cheap, which is why I suggest there aren't enough pilots interested in gliding. If hang glider pilots were falling all over each other to move into low cost gliders with substantially better performance than their hang gliders, we'd see higher prices. I don't think it is the glider _supply_ that is lacking, it is the _demand_ for gliders that is missing. Yes, that's a good point. Perhaps the hang glider pilots simply don't *know* about these cheap gliders? I think this is a big part of it. They generally aren't where the sailplane crowd is, and vice versa. Or perhaps they value being able to climb an arbitrary peak and jump off too much? This is also part of it. The lack of regulation (licenses, biennial reviews, and so on) is appealing to everyone, but perhaps more so the younger crowd. THe former hang glider pilots (and now sailplane pilots) I've talked to indicated that as they got older, they began to notice the advantages of sailplanes: * much less physical effort and pain to fly * every cross-country flight doesn't end in a retrieve * the glider doesn't wear out and lose half it's value in a 3-4 years * you don't beat up your car/truck driving over miles and hours of crummy logging roads to get to the launch site (the drive to the airport is easy, comparatively, even if it's farther away) * said site is often without the right wind or thermals when you get there * you don't have so many friends that seem to have a death wish * and the wife is estactic that they leave late in the morning and actually get home before dinner! In which case they're not going to be happy with less than a self-launching glider. They can be very happy, because of the advantages listed above. All of these pilots are still working, so weekend flying is fine with them, andbecause soaring is more likely in a sailplane than a hang glider on a any given day. snip Personally, I think a new PW-5 or similar for $15k is a pretty damn good thing. It seems that others don't think so. I'm wierd I guess. Definitely a 3 sigma on RAS! OTOH I've never flown a single-seater with more performance than a Libelle (about 65 hours in Libelles, Std and Club), so I probably don't have a clue what a *real* glider flies like anyway. Is an LS-4 *that* much better than a Libelle? I doubt it, based on the gliders I've flown. A nicer glider all around, but the flights won't be much better. -- Change "netto" to "net" to email me directly Eric Greenwell Washington State USA |
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