TAF KNBG

It's been hard to avoid the Hurricane Katrina coverage, but somehow the raw
numbers have a real impact over the media hype. The forecast shows eye
passage about 1630-1830Z tomorrow. Here's the TAF from New Orleans NAS:
KNBG 282121 06015G25KT 9000 BR SCT030 BKN050 OVC080 QHN2960INS VCTS
TEMPO 2202 VRB30G45KT 1600 SHRA BR SCT005 OVC010CB/
BECMG 0204 06040G55 SCT005 OVC010 QNH2900INS
TEMPO 0206 VRB50G70KT 1600 TSRA BR SCT005 OVC010CB
BECMG 0507 VRB115G130KT 0400 +TSRAGR BR SCT005 OVC010CB QNH2860INS
TEMPO 0509 +FC
BECMG 0910 QNH2750INS
TEMPO 0915 +FC
BECMG 1516 120145G175KT 0100 +SHRA BR SCT005 OVC010 QNH2663INS
FM1630 VRB06KT 9999 SCT300 QNH2668INS
FM1830 270140G160KT 0100 +TSRA BR SCT005 OVC010CB QNH2672INS T24/11Z
T34/20Z
Gerry

What is the TAF abbr for "Scary S*** Coming!"?

Is "1630 VRB06KT" when they think the "eye" is coming through before jumping
back to 140G160?
-----------------------------------
BECMG 1516 120145G175KT 0100 +SHRA BR SCT005 OVC010 QNH2663INS
FM1630 VRB06KT 9999 SCT300 QNH2668INS
FM1830 270140G160KT 0100 +TSRA BR SCT005 OVC010CB QNH2672INS T24/11Z
T34/20Z

"Gerry Caron" wrote in message
...
It's been hard to avoid the Hurricane Katrina coverage, but somehow the
raw numbers have a real impact over the media hype. The forecast shows
eye passage about 1630-1830Z tomorrow. Here's the TAF from New Orleans
NAS:
KNBG 282121 06015G25KT 9000 BR SCT030 BKN050 OVC080 QHN2960INS VCTS
TEMPO 2202 VRB30G45KT 1600 SHRA BR SCT005 OVC010CB/
BECMG 0204 06040G55 SCT005 OVC010 QNH2900INS
TEMPO 0206 VRB50G70KT 1600 TSRA BR SCT005 OVC010CB
BECMG 0507 VRB115G130KT 0400 +TSRAGR BR SCT005 OVC010CB QNH2860INS
TEMPO 0509 +FC
BECMG 0910 QNH2750INS
TEMPO 0915 +FC
BECMG 1516 120145G175KT 0100 +SHRA BR SCT005 OVC010 QNH2663INS
FM1630 VRB06KT 9999 SCT300 QNH2668INS
FM1830 270140G160KT 0100 +TSRA BR SCT005 OVC010CB QNH2672INS T24/11Z
T34/20Z
Gerry

news wrote:
What is the TAF abbr for "Scary S*** Coming!"?

KYAG

George Patterson
Give a person a fish and you feed him for a day; teach a person to
use the Internet and he won't bother you for weeks.

"George Patterson" wrote in message
news:1cwQe.3740$Ni1.1532@trndny03...
news wrote:
What is the TAF abbr for "Scary S*** Coming!"?

KYAG

George Patterson

Beautiful George...simply beautiful...

Jay B

Gerry Caron wrote:
It's been hard to avoid the Hurricane Katrina coverage...

Certainly has been a lot of hype. What worries me is the language the
NWS forecasters are using. Here's the forecast discussion out of New
Orleans. I've never seen any of the forecasters who write these use the
terminology that's below: destiny/urgency/worst case hurrican scenario.
The kicker was the last paragraph, though.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
452 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005

..UPDATE...TO ADD TORNADO WATCH #752.

..DISCUSSION...
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA SEEMS POISED FOR A DATE WITH DESTINY AS
CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE KATRINA CONTINUES TO KEEP A BEAD ON BARATARIA
BAY AND THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA. THE GFS MODEL CONTINUES TO
BE SUPERIOR IN ITS HANDLING OF THE SYSTEM INASMUCH AS TO BASE THE
CONVENTIONAL FORECAST PARAMETERS WITH GOOD INTEGRITY AND IN
AGREEMENT WITH NHC ADVISORIES.

NEEDLESS TO SAY...THE WORST CAN BE ANTICIPATED AND URGENCY IS
BEING STRESSED IN ALL PRODUCTS AS A WORST CASE HURRICANE SCENARIO
FOR THIS VERY FRAGILE AND VULNERABLE STRETCH OF U.S. COASTLINE.
THE EYE IS EMERGING ON THE KLIX LONG RANGE LOOP AND BANDS ARE
EXTENDING TO LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AT THIS TIME. THINGS WILL BE
DETIORATING STEADILY FROM THIS POINT FORWARD FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

WILL MAINTAIN ALL WARNINGS AS ALREADY POSTED AS WELL AS THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH. STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ADVISED THAT THE FIRST
TORNADO WATCH OF THE EVENT WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR THE REGION
EARLY THIS EVENING...PROBABLY RIGHT AFTER SUNSET.

MOST ATTENTION WITH THIS PACKAGE WAS DAY 1-2 WITH LITTLE IF ANY
CHANGES MADE BEYOND DAY 3. GOOD LUCK AND GODSPEED TO ALL IN THE
PATH OF THIS STORM.

On 2005-08-29, Scott Cunningham wrote:
Gerry Caron wrote:
It's been hard to avoid the Hurricane Katrina coverage...

Certainly has been a lot of hype. What worries me is the language the
NWS forecasters are using. Here's the forecast discussion out of New

A friend sent me this. This article was written in 2002. For the sake of
those in the New Orleans area, we can only hope the thing loses
intensity:

http://americanradioworks.publicradi...ane_print.html
--
Dylan Smith, Castletown, Isle of Man
Flying: http://www.dylansmith.net
Frontier Elite Universe: http://www.alioth.net
"Maintain thine airspeed, lest the ground come up and smite thee"

What is the TAF abbr for "Scary S*** Coming!"?

KYAG

Is that near Bend? Dover?

In a previous article, "Gerry Caron" said:
It's been hard to avoid the Hurricane Katrina coverage, but somehow the raw
numbers have a real impact over the media hype. The forecast shows eye
passage about 1630-1830Z tomorrow. Here's the TAF from New Orleans NAS:
KNBG 282121 06015G25KT 9000 BR SCT030 BKN050 OVC080 QHN2960INS VCTS
TEMPO 2202 VRB30G45KT 1600 SHRA BR SCT005 OVC010CB/
BECMG 0204 06040G55 SCT005 OVC010 QNH2900INS
TEMPO 0206 VRB50G70KT 1600 TSRA BR SCT005 OVC010CB
BECMG 0507 VRB115G130KT 0400 +TSRAGR BR SCT005 OVC010CB QNH2860INS
TEMPO 0509 +FC
BECMG 0910 QNH2750INS
TEMPO 0915 +FC
BECMG 1516 120145G175KT 0100 +SHRA BR SCT005 OVC010 QNH2663INS
FM1630 VRB06KT 9999 SCT300 QNH2668INS
FM1830 270140G160KT 0100 +TSRA BR SCT005 OVC010CB QNH2672INS T24/11Z
T34/20Z

Read the National Weather Service "Urgent Weather Message" at
http://weather.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/iwsz...tes=:laz069#t3
Usually they don't go in for hyperbole, and this is scary ****:

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
619 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005


EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE KATRINA MOVING ACROSS LOWER
PLAQUEMINES PARISH

DEVASTATING DAMAGE EXPECTED

THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL.
PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED. ALL WOOD
FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED. CONCRETE
BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE...INCLUDING SOME
WALL AND ROOF FAILURE.

HIGH RISE OFFICE AND APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL SWAY DANGEROUSLY...A
FEW POSSIBLY TO THE POINT OF TOTAL COLLAPSE. MANY WINDOWS WILL
BLOW OUT.

AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD...AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH
AS HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. SPORT UTILITY
VEHICLES AND LIGHT TRUCKS WILL BE MOVED. THE BLOWN DEBRIS WILL CREATE
ADDITIONAL DESTRUCTION. PERSONS...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE
WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH IF STRUCK.

POWER OUTAGES WILL LAST FOR WEEKS...AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN
AND TRANSFORMERS DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING
INCREDIBLE BY MODERN STANDARDS.

THE VAST MAJORITY OF NATIVE TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONLY
THE HEARTIEST WILL REMAIN STANDING...BUT BE TOTALLY DEFOLIATED.

LAZ037040-049-050-057070-MSZ070-071-077-080082-291700-
ASCENSION-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-LIVINGSTON-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST BERNARD-LOWER TERREBONNE-
ORLEANS-PEARL RIVER-PIKE-ST CHARLES-ST HELENA-ST JAMES-
ST JOHN THE BAPTIST-ST TAMMANY-TANGIPAHOA-UPPER JEFFERSON-
UPPER LAFOURCHE-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
WALTHALL-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BILOXI...GULFPORT...BOGALUSA...
GRAND ISLE...HAMMOND...HOUMA...MCCOMB...METAIRIE...NEW ORLEANS...
PASCAGOULA...PICAYUNE...SLIDELL
619 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005


--
Paul Tomblin http://xcski.com/blogs/pt/
C has features?? I thought the whole point of that language was to
offer nothing but bare metal.
-- David P. Murphy

ALL WOOD
FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED.

Bull****.

Uninhabitable and therefore have to be destroyed may be closer to the
truth, but having seen what Ivan did on the Florida Panhandle, don't be
surprised when "all" and "destroyed" happens.

"Dan Luke" wrote in message
...

ALL WOOD
FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED.

Bull****.