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#31
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Vince Brannigan wrote in message ...
Kevin Brooks wrote: Vince Brannigan wrote in message ... Kevin Brooks wrote: "Leslie Swartz" wrote in message ... Vince: - What about the 30 or so 55 gal drums of Lewisite? - What about the mobile chem labs? - What about the Rycin? - What about the Botulinum? - What about the anthrax cultures? - What about the residuals at various dumping sites? How much "evidence of WMD;" or, more to the point, "evidence of WMD programs" is enough for you? Steve Swartz You are forgetting that Vkince and his ilk only consider it a WMD program if they can point to a physical and truly massive stockpile of active agents already in a weaponized state. That approach makes it so much easier for them to continue to bash Bush and the US. And BTW: you can add the development of the tactical ballistic missiles that exceeded the range allowed per the resolutions/cease fire agreement in your list as well. I'll take a single solitary weapon ready for use. Those missiles? not WMDS Your definition of WMD's seems to change with the argument; I do believe you previously asserted that they were not limited to chem/bio/nuke devices? But now you seem to find the opposing definition more suitable. How typical; if the facts don't fit the framework you chose, change the framework, huh? I don't blame you; if I were you (something that I shudder to even consider), I'd probably also have snipped without attribution the sorry, rancid bile you previously posted that brought on the following response. You overly sanctimonious son of a bitch. You are without a doubt the last individual in this country who should look any veteran "in the eye" on *any* day of the year, with your self-serving 'I didn't serve because it was inconvenient, and I don't like to take orders' bull****. You have done nothing but scorn the efforts and sacrifices of those who did serve, and those who died, from before the time this operation even started. I rarely descend to the level of actually cussing out a slimy, yellow bellied little cretin such as yourself, but you are singularly deserving of every bit of contempt I can scrounge up. Feel free to (again) invite me up for a personal review of these comments--the last time you did that you quickly backscrabbled into the "but if you do show up, I'll file suit" crap when it came time for the rubber to meet the road, so I have no doubt any renewed sense of backbone you might dredge up will once again prove to be a merely transient gesture on your part. What a sad little excuse for a man you are. Im sure you are sorry that your boy couldn't find the WMDs he promised. But the American soldiers are just as dead. Something that you have little concern over, I am sure. Im sure your suggestion of violence can find an outlet but i'm not your punching bag. you are welcome to show up and debate but a real man who makes threats stands up and takes the consequences. So are you making a threat of personal injury or not? Vkince, I am not in the threats business, just as you are not in the backbone business. When you *do*, as you have done in the past, go out of your way to invite someone so demonstrably incensed by your putrescent nature to a personal encounter, it would be reasonable for that party to accept that as a challenge. But, again lacking that required backbone, you follow up with your usual barricade of "if you do show up, I'll file suit" crap. Which allows you to I guess, in your little twisted world, maintain some illusion of bravado on your part, without of course placing yourself at any risk, which is of course your underlying core value; "never risk yourself, no matter what". I guess that your previous brush with the concept of reality did however have one beneficial outcome--I have not noticed you hurling about your Nazi incriminations with the same carelessness you previously demonstrated. In the end you remain one of those slimy little cretins who never could bring yourself to enter the arena, instead feeling that the struggles of those within it somehow made you a bit more courageous, especially if you are able to hurl a few rotten tomatoes in their direction from the safety of the cheap seats. But in reality you would not rate as a pimple on the ass of the lowest ranking private soldier who ever served anywhere, in any capacity. As I said before, what a sad little excuse for a man you are. Brooks lets jsut be very clear Vince |
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Kevin Brooks wrote: Those missiles? not WMDS Your definition of WMD's seems to change with the argument; I do believe you previously asserted that they were not limited to chem/bio/nuke devices? But now you seem to find the opposing definition more suitable. How typical; if the facts don't fit the framework you chose, change the framework, huh? crap. simple Crap Missiles may have been a UN violation but they are not in and of themselves weapons of mass destruction by any definition I don't blame you; if I were you (something that I shudder to even consider), I'd probably also have snipped without attribution the sorry, rancid bile you previously posted that brought on the following response. ?? Im sure you are sorry that your boy couldn't find the WMDs he promised. But the American soldiers are just as dead. Something that you have little concern over, I am sure. You are wrong. I've been posting under my own name to usenet for years. I dare you to find a single comment belittling the contribution of our armed forces or our obligation not to waste their lives. I have spent my entire career working in public safety. I teach safety regulation and engineering ethics. Every life is precious. The lives of members of our armed forces are particularly precious. My wife is a VA Physician. Bush said it was worth Americans dying because Iraq was a threat to the USA. He was wrong about the threat. Why he was wrong is important to me. Im sure your suggestion of violence can find an outlet but i'm not your punching bag. you are welcome to show up and debate but a real man who makes threats stands up and takes the consequences. So are you making a threat of personal injury or not? Vkince, I am not in the threats business, just as you are not in the backbone business. then don't make threats. When you *do*, as you have done in the past, go out of your way to invite someone so demonstrably incensed by your putrescent nature to a personal encounter, it would be reasonable for that party to accept that as a challenge. To an intellectual encounter sure, I'll debate you anytime. If you are saying you have no self control in the face of contrary opinions, that is a useful piece of information. We lock people up who dont have self control and commit violent acts. But, again lacking that required backbone, you follow up with your usual barricade of "if you do show up, I'll file suit" crap. Which allows you to I guess, in your little twisted world, maintain some illusion of bravado on your part, without of course placing yourself at any risk, which is of course your underlying core value; "never risk yourself, no matter what". You seem to be seething with the desire to beat the crap out of someone because he disagrees with you. I finds this interesting. do you think a point in a debate is better because it is made by someone who is big and strong and violent? I guess that your previous brush with the concept of reality did however have one beneficial outcome--I have not noticed you hurling about your Nazi incriminations with the same carelessness you previously demonstrated. Oh Ill oblige. Nazis certainly responded to opposing opinions with personal violence by thugs. In the night of the long knives Hitler personally used violence on his prior supporters. In the Nazi world violence or force is the ultimate arbiter. In the end you remain one of those slimy little cretins who never could bring yourself to enter the arena, instead feeling that the struggles of those within it somehow made you a bit more courageous, especially if you are able to hurl a few rotten tomatoes in their direction from the safety of the cheap seats. I am in the arena, but not the one you know. We call it the "marketplace of ideas" but it's not a "marketplace" it is an environment in which ideas are debated discussed and refined. Because ideas after all is what separate humanity from animals. Nature is red in tooth and claw. Ideas are human invention. But in reality you would not rate as a pimple on the ass of the lowest ranking private soldier who ever served anywhere, in any capacity. As I said before, what a sad little excuse for a man you are. I'm always fascinated by some people's need to be abusive of others. It never appealed to me. Vince |
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Iraq 'had no weapons of mass destruction' http://news.bbc.co.uk/cbbcnews/hi/wo...00/3120374.stm "Iraq destroyed all its weapons of mass destruction 10 years ago, according to the United Nations' chief weapons inspector" Blix suspects there are no weapons of mass destruction Saturday May 24, 2003 http://www.guardian.co.uk/Iraq/Story...962535,00.html "The chief UN weapons inspector, Hans Blix, said yesterday that he suspected that Iraq had no weapons of mass destruction, He added that "in this respect" the war might not have been justified." Blix: No Need For Iraq War http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2003/...in574110.shtml Hans Blix said in an interview broadcast Thursday that the U.S.-led coalition could have avoided going to war with Iraq, but didn't want to. "You know, in the Middle Ages, when people were convinced there were witches, they certainly found them." - Hans Blix "You know, in the Middle East, where people were convinced there were WMDs, they never found them." - Oo "wrann" wrote in message news:fs_rb.768$6p6.751@okepread03... ...".. what we don't know.." (above) This is exactly why we had to go in; we didn't know, he wasn't telling (in fact he was being evasive as hell) Oh so we should invade countrys whose may or may not have WMD but if we dont know - invade... Israel the only country in the "middle east" with weapons of mass destruction - ask them about them see how evasive they are. Also look at how many UN resolutions they have broken or ignored. and contrary to your statement, Blix did NOT say Iraq did not have any, he actually wrote the finding that they were continuing to be evasive in direct violation of the UN (that is United Nations). |
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Y'all don't seem to recall when Saddam threatened the US that if we
invaded, that he would use chemical and biological weapons on us? Maybe it's me, but I don't think so, I think its the people who only hear what they want to hear and twist things around to fit their own agenda or feed their own retarded brains thought process. Isn't that kind of like admitting he has them? DUH! Or just bluffing? either way we called his bluff now didn't we? Vince, how do I use the "Nazi" phrase in here to use up this thread? Please Troll, can you start another one? On Mon, 10 Nov 2003 09:56:46 -0000, "oO" wrote: "Fred J. McCall" wrote in message .. . Vince Brannigan wrote: :It's the country's war when Bush produces the WMDs he promised Jesus Christ, Vince, what are you smoking THIS weekend? Were you frightened by a bush when you were very young, or what? That's the only excuse I can find for your unreasoned venom, since you're old enough to not be behaving like a 13 year old. :lest we forget.... Yeah, lest we forget, EVERYONE believed he had such weapons, including the French, the Russians, and even Saddam himself, apparently. Now it's suddenly all Bush's fault. Of course they knew he *had* them - they ****ing give them to him. the point it - he clearly destroyed them .. Get a clue.... We were told by the weapons inspectors he didnt have them anymore. Nobody believed he had them outside of the US, but the only people who could really know - the weapons experts who were actually there inspecting in Iraq (including Mr.Blix) said there were NONE. Despite this the UN was shown Powells laughable powerpoint demonstration that showed a drawing of a truck that was meant to be evidence of a mobile weapons factory...lol..****ing hell thats funny...what happened when they invaded? The truck was being used for weather experiments. lol |
#35
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On Tue, 11 Nov 2003 10:47:44 GMT, Vince Brannigan
wrote: Fred J. McCall wrote: Especially since Vince's delusions seem to be rewriting history. I'm not sure just how he thinks "el Busho" managed to make the intelligence services of the UK, France, Germany, Russia, and the US all believe that Iraq had chemical weapons ready to deploy nonsense From 29 jan Russia's UN ambassador said that any fresh US evidence against Iraq will have to contain "undeniable proof" that Baghdad has retained banned nuclear, biological or chemical weapons. [snip] What Mr. McCall has written is not nonsense; the passage Prof. Brannigan has provided does not refute the claim that the intelligence services of France, Germany, and Russia more or less agreed with the US and UK that Saddam had biological and chemical weapons but disagreed on what actions to take as a result. The key phrase is "undeniable proof;" intelligence never provides undeniable proof. For example, I could show Vince aerial photographs of the stockpiles of chemical weapons that the US and Russia have declared to OPCW and are in the process of destroying, and I could argue convincingly that the images do not provide undeniable proof that those weapons exist; one must trust that the OPCW inspectorate has done its job. The Russian ambassador was engaged in raising the bar, which not coincidentally furthered Russia's declared policy of resisting war. Regards, George ************************************************** ******************** Dr. George O. Bizzigotti Telephone: (703) 610-2115 Mitretek Systems, Inc. Fax: (703) 610-1558 3150 Fairview Park Drive South E-Mail: Falls Church, Virginia, 22042-4519 ************************************************** ******************** |
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On Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:25:26 +0000, "Paul J. Adam"
wrote: [I've posted elsewhere that Mr. Adam deserves whatever measure of credit is due for having been first in this forum to advance the suggestion that we were all fooled by Saddam into thinking he had a capability that he did not possess. I write here not to disagree with the overall theme of his posts on this subject, even if I do take issue with one of his points.] In message , Kevin Brooks writes That approach makes it so much easier for them to continue to bash Bush and the US. I'm an old-fashioned sort of guy: I like to see people (even politicians) pick a story and stick to it; or accept that intel is not perfect. This appears to be the dirty little secret that everyone seems to be ignoring; intelligence is by nature imperfect. The major intelligence services all had a very hazy picture of the state of Iraqi WMDs, but at some point they had to make a judgment of "do they or don't they?" I'm not sure that policy makers themselves always understand the ramifications of forcing intelligence services to arrive at "yes" or "no" answers, but if any of them accept "maybe," it's news to me. Parenthetically, I would suggest that the trouble embodied by the above statement arises in that very, very few politicians are capable of stating "it was reasonable at the time, but it turns out that I was wrong." Most who have made that statement tend to undertake severe career changes, so there is an immense Darwinian pressure to fudge, although that can have adverse career consequences as well. We may _like_ our politicians to admit being fallible, but we tend to _vote_ for the ones claiming infallibility. (Whether the level of fallibility exhibited by the Blair and Bush administrations on the subject of Iraqi WMDs is worthy of voter forgiveness is a separate issue.) Trouble is, at least over here, it appears that the answer was decided before the intelligence was studied: we _were_ going to war with Iraq, and the analysts were going to produce the answers to suit. I would respectfully disagree with that statement, although I acknowledge that it could turn out to be correct. If that is the appearance, why did the French, German, and Russian intelligence services arrive at the same basic judgment (the Iraqis did retain WMDs) when their governments had decided they were _not_ going to war. It appears that judgment was incorrect, but whatever faults led to the error appear to have been shared by those nations both for and against the war in Iraq. Regards, George ************************************************** ******************** Dr. George O. Bizzigotti Telephone: (703) 610-2115 Mitretek Systems, Inc. Fax: (703) 610-1558 3150 Fairview Park Drive South E-Mail: Falls Church, Virginia, 22042-4519 ************************************************** ******************** |
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In message , Dr. George O.
Bizzigotti writes On Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:25:26 +0000, "Paul J. Adam" wrote: I'm an old-fashioned sort of guy: I like to see people (even politicians) pick a story and stick to it; or accept that intel is not perfect. This appears to be the dirty little secret that everyone seems to be ignoring; intelligence is by nature imperfect. The major intelligence services all had a very hazy picture of the state of Iraqi WMDs, but at some point they had to make a judgment of "do they or don't they?" I'm not sure that policy makers themselves always understand the ramifications of forcing intelligence services to arrive at "yes" or "no" answers, but if any of them accept "maybe," it's news to me. My concern is about how, in the UK at least, a reply of "maybe, and worst-case is pretty horrid" became a simple straightforward certainty of "Iraq has WME that are an immediate threat". That wasn't a 'worst-case possibility', it was reported as fact without contradiction. Now, it can be claimed that the Government isn't responsible for what the papers say, and there's a lot of truth there. But the Government does have a lot of influence - official and unofficial - about what information the papers use to produce their stories. Parenthetically, I would suggest that the trouble embodied by the above statement arises in that very, very few politicians are capable of stating "it was reasonable at the time, but it turns out that I was wrong." Most who have made that statement tend to undertake severe career changes, so there is an immense Darwinian pressure to fudge, although that can have adverse career consequences as well. Perhaps I'm showing my advanced age by respecting John Nott: if not for his disastrous decisions while Secretary of Defence, for his resignation when the results of those decisions became clear. I would much rather we'd had a wiser man at Defence (and again before him), but Nott had the integrity to stand down when his planning assumptions were shown to have been seriously incompatible with reality. I admire his honesty if not his judgement. And integrity _does_ mean accepting negative results of your decisions. It's arguable that one reason Thatcher won the 1983 election so decisively was that she had enough Falklands scapegoats (though the self-destruction of the opposing parties was probably the main factor) We may _like_ our politicians to admit being fallible, but we tend to _vote_ for the ones claiming infallibility. (Whether the level of fallibility exhibited by the Blair and Bush administrations on the subject of Iraqi WMDs is worthy of voter forgiveness is a separate issue.) It's not directly comparable in the UK, and I think this may be one of the differences. From here it seems that the US was solidly behind war with Iraq: there was significant opposition in the UK. Over here we were led to the belief that invading Iraq was an urgent necessity. Trouble is, at least over here, it appears that the answer was decided before the intelligence was studied: we _were_ going to war with Iraq, and the analysts were going to produce the answers to suit. I would respectfully disagree with that statement, although I acknowledge that it could turn out to be correct. The respect is returned; I'm arguing from a UK perspective and viewpoint. Easy to forget how different issues can look from overseas. One apparent outcome of the Hutton enquiry here was that that politicians _did_ adjust the wording of intelligence assessments to suit their ends... the question being whether they "tightened up" or "distorted" the presentation of what data was available. (As an engineer, thinking of threaded fasteners, I ask "what's the difference? One distorts _by_ tightening!" But I may be cynical) An oft-ignored element from Hutton is that while Dr Kelly was apparently concerned about the presentation of his data, he too never doubted that Iraq at the very least lusted for WMEs even if they'd made short-term sacrifices in the name of survival. If that is the appearance, why did the French, German, and Russian intelligence services arrive at the same basic judgment (the Iraqis did retain WMDs) when their governments had decided they were _not_ going to war. One guess - lack of capability to provide a significant threat outside of a fairly narrow area centred on Iraq? An issue to remember is that the Saudi Arabians and Kuwaitis and Israelis failed to either launch pre-emptive strikes or demand US military cover against the threat of Iraqi WMEs. They're the threatened neighbours... if they aren't shouting for help, perhaps the threat is being slightly oversold? (Or maybe there's more Arab pride at play. Or lots of other possibilities. This is a _large_ question) It appears that judgment was incorrect, but whatever faults led to the error appear to have been shared by those nations both for and against the war in Iraq. Intelligence is inherently imperfect. My concern is that certainty was assigned to data that was at best "highest probability". Nations that acted on that worst-case threat now have to try to pacify Iraq until a handover: nations that were more cautious about assigning certainty to intel data are branded "axis of Weasel" even though hindsight shows them correct. Lose-lose. Misuse intel, and you'll shape the results you get in the next crisis. -- When you have to kill a man, it costs nothing to be polite. W S Churchill Paul J. Adam MainBoxatjrwlynch[dot]demon{dot}co(.)uk |
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"Paul J. Adam" wrote in message ...
In message , Dr. George O. Bizzigotti writes On Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:25:26 +0000, "Paul J. Adam" wrote: snip If that is the appearance, why did the French, German, and Russian intelligence services arrive at the same basic judgment (the Iraqis did retain WMDs) when their governments had decided they were _not_ going to war. One guess - lack of capability to provide a significant threat outside of a fairly narrow area centred on Iraq? An issue to remember is that the Saudi Arabians and Kuwaitis and Israelis failed to either launch pre-emptive strikes or demand US military cover against the threat of Iraqi WMEs. They're the threatened neighbours... if they aren't shouting for help, perhaps the threat is being slightly oversold? (Or maybe there's more Arab pride at play. Or lots of other possibilities. This is a _large_ question) Paul, those Arab nations, and Israel, *had* demanded US protection from that Iraqi threat. That is why Patriot batteries remained stationed in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia throughout the nineties and up through this last conflict, or in the case of israel, why it received Patriot systems ahead of normal schedule (ISTR some of those came from German stocks?). It was also IIRC used to help justify continued US funding of Arrow. As to preemptive strikes, the Kuwaitis and the Saudis were non-starters in that regard--they were not going to be accused of attacking a fellow Arab nation. Reasoning for Israeli recalcitrance would undoubtedly include strong US pressure not to go that route; the last thing we wanted was for Iraq to become a chip in the greater Israel vs. Arabs game. It appears that judgment was incorrect, but whatever faults led to the error appear to have been shared by those nations both for and against the war in Iraq. Intelligence is inherently imperfect. My concern is that certainty was assigned to data that was at best "highest probability". Nations that acted on that worst-case threat now have to try to pacify Iraq until a handover: nations that were more cautious about assigning certainty to intel data are branded "axis of Weasel" even though hindsight shows them correct. Lose-lose. Hindsight has *not* shown them to be "correct"; as George noted, those "Axis of Weasel" nations also believed Iraq had WMD's or an ongoing significant program. They differed on *how* to address the problem, not the fact that a problem existed. Misuse intel, and you'll shape the results you get in the next crisis. So, what does that say about US intel assesments that underestimated the ability or intent of Japan to attack the US before 1942? Or British intel assessments that missed the German intent to invade Poland until too late, or its ability to overrun France in record time? In the intel game, the lesson seems to be that underestimation is more dangerous than overestimation in the long run. Brooks |
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"Kevin Brooks" wrote in message om... And BTW: you can add the development of the tactical ballistic missiles that exceeded the range allowed per the resolutions/cease fire agreement in your list as well. oh whoopee doo that was about all was found - they aren't weapons of mass destruction and they began destroying those. If Saddam had them he would have used them. USA now has free access to search all it wants and it has - still NOTHING....despite powell having everything in his powerpoint demo to the UN. |
#40
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"Kevin Brooks" wrote in message om... Vince Brannigan wrote in message ... Kevin Brooks wrote: Vince Brannigan wrote in message ... Kevin Brooks wrote: "Leslie Swartz" wrote in message ... Vince: - What about the 30 or so 55 gal drums of Lewisite? - What about the mobile chem labs? - What about the Rycin? - What about the Botulinum? - What about the anthrax cultures? - What about the residuals at various dumping sites? How much "evidence of WMD;" or, more to the point, "evidence of WMD programs" is enough for you? Steve Swartz You are forgetting that Vkince and his ilk only consider it a WMD program if they can point to a physical and truly massive stockpile of active agents already in a weaponized state. That approach makes it so much easier for them to continue to bash Bush and the US. And BTW: you can add the development of the tactical ballistic missiles that exceeded the range allowed per the resolutions/cease fire agreement in your list as well. I'll take a single solitary weapon ready for use. Those missiles? not WMDS Your definition of WMD's seems to change with the argument; I do believe you previously asserted that they were not limited to chem/bio/nuke devices? But now you seem to find the opposing definition more suitable. How typical; if the facts don't fit the framework you chose, change the framework, huh? The missiles that were supposedly over the 'allowed range' are not WMD. Even BUSH is not stupid enuff to claim that.. ( all bs anyway considering Israels Nuclear arsenal and whole range of 'nasties' dont see any weapons inspectors getting in there). |
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