A aviation & planes forum. AviationBanter

If this is your first visit, be sure to check out the FAQ by clicking the link above. You may have to register before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.

Go Back   Home » AviationBanter forum » rec.aviation newsgroups » Soaring
Site Map Home Register Authors List Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read Web Partners

What have we learned from all this?



 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #41  
Old April 9th 20, 09:12 PM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
Dan Marotta
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 4,601
Default What have we learned from all this?

+1



On 4/8/2020 10:00 PM, wrote:
Boy I have a different viewpoint.
And sometimes I have to kick it back towards the center court line...

Most daily deaths?
https://www.iihs.org/topics/fatality...state-by-state

In 2018, we were killing, by average, 3670 people DAILY in car wrecks in the US. I can't imagine we've cut that in half, but with the StayAtHome mandates, it likely has dropped this month.

That's a few more deaths than the ILLNESS chart which was touted.
And with the scrutiny of covid-19 infection confirmation and mortality reporting, no one cares/reports about counting car wrecks or shootings this month.


I imagine the flu rates have dropped, due to SAH. If we got around the single topic focus, which I view as our more serious disease, we would perhaps find that ALL transmittable illness is down this month.

I agree that SAH will flatten a Covid-19 transmission curve.
I agree that personal filters of any sort, on any percentage of folks, will lessen transmission of lots of things (TB anyone?). All transmissions will drop with social distancing, and hygenic improvements. Duh.

But I have a heel digging response to the guvmint telling the entire US population what to do. The sheeple response scares me. But I have been worried about our 'social training' since the 3 week stand down of civil aviation in 2001, and subsequent creation of DHS and TSA.

I have large worries about 6-7-8 million Americans going on unemployment from a government hugely upside down in cash flow. Never mind that my job evaporated, too.

I prefer to be told what the risks are, and be left to make my choices. I can drive sober, in good weather, at moderate speeds, no distractions, and will accept the risk of someone careening drunk across the median at me.

I don't see a huge difference in my exposure to TB, flu, covid, sars, avian Newcastle being worth crushing the world's economy.

Should this health issue cause us to rethink transportation? Communication? National manufacturing and local sustainability of food supply? Priorities?

Yes.

Am I an isolationist? Raving nationalist? Hopefully not in the negative connotation. Naive? Maybe, still a bit.
Hopeful that we'll return to 'normalcy' & soaring? You damn betcha.

But I've started my garden, just in case I'm not soaring in June.

Cindy


--
Dan, 5J
  #42  
Old April 9th 20, 09:20 PM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
Dan Marotta
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 4,601
Default What have we learned from all this?

Oops, the German study said "0,37 percent",Â* in US speak, that's 0.37%
or 0.0037.



On 4/9/2020 10:52 AM, wrote:
Germans saying .3 death rate.
https://www.bccourier.com/these-are-...insberg-study/

--
Dan, 5J
  #43  
Old April 9th 20, 10:10 PM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
Duster[_2_]
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 198
Default What have we learned from all this?

On Thursday, April 9, 2020 at 3:20:08 PM UTC-5, Dan Marotta wrote:
Oops, the German study said "0,37 percent",Â* in US speak, that's 0.37%
or 0.0037.
Dan, 5J


Dan; You're smarter than you think. 0.3 percent is indeed 0.37%, .0037 is the multiple.
However, most readers have misinterpreted the half-completed study in Germany. The interim results use both the "swab test" which reveals those presently infected plus the "serological blood test" which reveals those that had been infected but were mostly asymptomatic. Not surprising, those that were no longer testing positive were 7 times more prevalent than those confirmed to be currently infected. So, the "0.37%" figure uses the combined number and does not represent the % lethality of those infected. Another misquote by the OP was that Germany has a 0.3% lethality figure. They currently have a bit less than 2% lethality. It is expected that when the serologic testing is complete world-wide, the infection rate for this virus will be very impressive, and the lethality measured using both IGG and PCR tests will go lower. Don't interpret that to mean the virus is less lethal, it means many more of us caught it than suffered with it.
  #44  
Old April 9th 20, 10:16 PM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
[email protected]
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 478
Default What have we learned from all this?

How dare you try to take away my fear/sarcasm
  #45  
Old April 9th 20, 10:21 PM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
Duster[_2_]
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 198
Default What have we learned from all this?

On Thursday, April 9, 2020 at 3:20:08 PM UTC-5, Dan Marotta wrote:
Oops, the German study said "0,37 percent", in US speak, that's 0.37%
or 0.0037.
Dan, 5J


Dan; You're smarter than you think. 0.37 percent is indeed 0.37%, .0037 is the multiple.
However, most readers have misinterpreted the half-completed study in Germany. The interim results use both the "swab test" which reveals those presently infected plus the "serological blood test" which reveals those that had been infected but were mostly asymptomatic. Not surprising, those that were no longer testing positive were 7 times more prevalent than those confirmed to be currently infected. So, the "0.37%" figure uses the combined number and does not represent the % lethality of those infected. Another misquote by the OP was that Germany has a 0.3% lethality figure. They currently have a around a 2% lethality. It is expected that when the serologic testing is complete world-wide, the infection rate for this virus will be quite impressive, and the "lethality" measured using both IGG and PCR tests will go lower. Don't interpret that to mean the virus is less lethal, it means many more of us caught it than suffered with it.
  #46  
Old April 9th 20, 10:31 PM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
Bob Youngblood
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 390
Default What have we learned from all this?

On Thursday, April 9, 2020 at 5:21:35 PM UTC-4, Duster wrote:
On Thursday, April 9, 2020 at 3:20:08 PM UTC-5, Dan Marotta wrote:
Oops, the German study said "0,37 percent", in US speak, that's 0.37%
or 0.0037.
Dan, 5J


Dan; You're smarter than you think. 0.37 percent is indeed 0.37%, .0037 is the multiple.
However, most readers have misinterpreted the half-completed study in Germany. The interim results use both the "swab test" which reveals those presently infected plus the "serological blood test" which reveals those that had been infected but were mostly asymptomatic. Not surprising, those that were no longer testing positive were 7 times more prevalent than those confirmed to be currently infected. So, the "0.37%" figure uses the combined number and does not represent the % lethality of those infected. Another misquote by the OP was that Germany has a 0.3% lethality figure. They currently have a around a 2% lethality. It is expected that when the serologic testing is complete world-wide, the infection rate for this virus will be quite impressive, and the "lethality" measured using both IGG and PCR tests will go lower. Don't interpret that to mean the virus is less lethal, it means many more of us caught it than suffered with it.


Most of you people are missing the boat. When someone dies that test positive of COVD19 it is declared as a virus death. It may well be because of another related problem. Not saying that this is not serious, but underlying circumstance play an important role. Bob
  #47  
Old April 9th 20, 10:42 PM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
[email protected]
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 478
Default What have we learned from all this?

How dare they
https://www.americanthinker.com/arti...num bers.html
  #48  
Old April 10th 20, 12:22 AM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
Dan Marotta
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 4,601
Default What have we learned from all this?

Yeah, I figured it was something like that.

My take is that none of these "rates" are relevant until the dust
settles.Â* How can anyone quote a death rate when the rate of infection
information is at best a couple of weeks behind and at worst totally
unknown?

But it's giving a lot of reporters and politicians to talk about...

On 4/9/2020 3:10 PM, Duster wrote:
On Thursday, April 9, 2020 at 3:20:08 PM UTC-5, Dan Marotta wrote:
Oops, the German study said "0,37 percent",Â* in US speak, that's 0.37%
or 0.0037.
Dan, 5J

Dan; You're smarter than you think. 0.3 percent is indeed 0.37%, .0037 is the multiple.
However, most readers have misinterpreted the half-completed study in Germany. The interim results use both the "swab test" which reveals those presently infected plus the "serological blood test" which reveals those that had been infected but were mostly asymptomatic. Not surprising, those that were no longer testing positive were 7 times more prevalent than those confirmed to be currently infected. So, the "0.37%" figure uses the combined number and does not represent the % lethality of those infected. Another misquote by the OP was that Germany has a 0.3% lethality figure. They currently have a bit less than 2% lethality. It is expected that when the serologic testing is complete world-wide, the infection rate for this virus will be very impressive, and the lethality measured using both IGG and PCR tests will go lower. Don't interpret that to mean the virus is less lethal, it means many more of us caught it than suffered with it.


--
Dan, 5J
  #49  
Old April 10th 20, 12:24 AM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
Dan Marotta
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 4,601
Default What have we learned from all this?

SOMETHING to talk about...

On 4/9/2020 5:22 PM, Dan Marotta wrote:
But it's giving a lot of reporters and politicians to talk about...


--
Dan, 5J
  #50  
Old April 10th 20, 08:31 AM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
Bob Youngblood
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 390
Default What have we learned from all this?

On Thursday, April 9, 2020 at 7:24:11 PM UTC-4, Dan Marotta wrote:
SOMETHING to talk about...

On 4/9/2020 5:22 PM, Dan Marotta wrote:
But it's giving a lot of reporters and politicians to talk about...


--
Dan, 5J


Dan, the reporters and politicians can really put the spin on things. I tried watching the news yesterday after applying 3000 pounds of fertilizer to the strip here at the house and tending to the mango orchard. I needed a break, grabbed a cold beer and did something that caused me considerable discomfort, I watched 20 minutes of the following, CNN, MSNBC,and Fox News.
I have come to the conclusion that we live in three different worlds.
 




Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Add your own 'lessons learned' a[_3_] Piloting 3 July 7th 10 10:14 PM
I learned about flying from this, too... Ricky Piloting 166 February 17th 08 08:18 PM
I learned about flying from this Ricky Piloting 7 January 26th 08 05:50 PM
Always something to be learned [email protected] Owning 7 December 19th 07 05:22 PM
How many of you learned to fly from relatives? lardsoup Piloting 0 October 14th 03 11:40 PM


All times are GMT +1. The time now is 02:47 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004-2024 AviationBanter.
The comments are property of their posters.