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US Army Cancels Comanche Helo



 
 
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  #21  
Old February 24th 04, 04:28 PM
Raymond Chuang
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default

"Paul F Austin" wrote in message
. ..

This is the first big lessons learned to come out of Iraq War-2. Between

the
Apaches getting put out of action by massed gunfire and the demonstrated
advantages of UAVs, the Army decided that Comanche was last-war's weapon.


There's also another factor: the development of GPS-guided munitions and the
arrival of the JSTARS command platform with its powerful side-scanning radar
that could track targets hundreds of miles away. During Operation Iraqi
Freedom, JSTARS planes frequently guided attack planes carrying JDAM and
JSOW weapons to attack targets with great accuracy where the launch plane
was well away from MANPAD rockets and low-altitude AA guns. At the rate
things are going, we may see after 2010 stealthy fast-flying UAV's dropping
GPS-guided bombs and launching TV/laser-guided missiles.

In short, the days of low-flying attacks by manned aircraft are coming to an
end.

--
Raymond Chuang
Sacramento, CA USA


  #22  
Old February 24th 04, 04:59 PM
Kevin Brooks
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default


"Paul F Austin" wrote in message
...

"Kevin Brooks" wrote

"Paul F Austin" wrote



As for the lack of SEAD, my impression (and that's all it is) was that

the
Iraqis had everyone with a weapon that could elevate far enough fire

into
the night once the alarm was given, much the way the Vietnamese did.

If
you
can suppress_that_then you don't need to AHs in the first place.


I don't think you fully understand the SEAD effort, and the resources

that
it can include, that normally supports such an operation. Likely areas

where
ground fire or weapons systems would be encountered during the ingress

and
egress can be suppressed (actually saturated) by a combination of tube

arty
fires, MLRS (which is probably the best single SEAD asset out to around

70
klicks), and even ATACMS (which can go to around 300 klicks) if the
mission/threat requires them. Any idea what the effect of those

submunitions
going off around your "everybody shoot up" crowd would be? How many of

those
that just *witness* that kind of firestorm are subsequently willing to
expose themselves if they *do* get a shot? Would it have been highly
effective if it had been included in this attack? Maybe--we'll never

know.
But the idea that the results of a single mission flown under one set of
circumstances and without SEAD support should be the decisive factor in
determining the feasibility of attack helo operations is not a very
supportable postion IMO.


Kevin, why fly the AH strike in the first place if you're going to use

this
much support for ingress and egress?


You really have no idea as to the difference in terminal effects and
capabilities between indirect dire systems and direct fire systems?

You're taking it as a given that AHs
are more efficient at delivering ordnance to some class of targets than

any
other alternative. That may be true against armor in a maneuver battle but
in Iraq-2, that wasn't the target set.


Actually, it sometimes was (they did not always remain dug in and waiting).
I did not say anything about "any other alternative", now did I?


If we were arming for the Fulda Gap, then AHs make a lot of sense. It's

not
clear to me that it's true for the battles we fight these days.


They guys fighting in Anaconda like their support. As did the USMC units
supported by their AH-1W's (interesting account in last month's AFM on their
use in OIF). Note that the USMC is also still pursuing their AH-1Z program
as fast as they can. So where do you get this strange idea that OIF
condemned the attack helo concept to the trashpile?




Your UCAV concept is not new--the Army has already initiated a

rotary
UCAV
R&D program. In fact, the early idea was to have such UCAV's support

the
Commanches, and even be controlled from the Commanches in some

cases.

Of course it's not. It's not even "my idea". I'm under no illusion

that
I
or
anyone on this forum will "think up" a new paradigm that those

blockheads
at
the Pentagon, yadayada... Real analysis doesn't happen on Usenet.

Although
why the Army restricts its thinking to rotorcraft is a good question.


Kind of hard to have a CTOL airframe use a FARP, isn't it? Or use

terrain
masking effectively while it loiters and peeks, or loiters and shoots?


The object is warheads on foreheads. The FARP/short flight time ordnance
taxi is one model for doing that. A cloud of UCAVs in another. A Giant
Bombtruck In the Sky is still another. Because the Army has been wedded to
short range, low endurance platforms is no reason not to open up the
analysis space to consider other alternatives.


Hint--long endurance usually meand long transit time, and long preparation.
The immediate CAS/AI situation may not allow for that. Which is why they
like that whole FARP concept--need more 2.75 inch FFAR's and 30mm to
continue that suppression mission that just moved to the top of the target
heap? The FARP has them close by--that UAV orbiting with its BAT's is not
going to do you a lot of good in that scenario. Just a simple example. Ever
wonder why the USMC also values the attack helo, and for that matter its
AV-8B's? There is a lot to be said for quick response to a changing
situation's requirements.




The last two years have clearly illustrated some major advantages for

UAVs.
They can't do everything by any means but the "natural advantage" of

an
unmanned platform lies in great persistence, being able to stay on

station
for very long times so that the platform is there exactly when needed.

The
ISR community has found that there are step-change improvements in

coverage
over satellites and manned aircraft that derive from keeping a

platform
overhead all day long. Likewise, hitting fleeting, moving targets

benefits
from having a launcher available_right now_, not five minutes off and

that's
hard to do with manned platforms and_may_be easier with UCAVs. It's
a_may_because the analysis is in progress but apparently OSD decided

that
in
light of bad management, bad programmatic news and repeated program

replans,
to cut its losses.


You are mixing your systems up a bit. Long duration ISR missions are
normally flown at altitude; but the Army needs a system that can also

get
in
closer (lower) for finite detail. When you switch to the UCAV role, all

of
those current long duration UAV's have a pretty miserly weapons load
capability--they are of little value rotating overhead if they don't

still
have munitions capable of doing the various jobs required. Fixed wing

UAV's
can't hit a FARP and be back into the fight quickly after rearming and
refueling--they have to mosey on back to the rear, land, get turned

around,
take back off and mosey on back up to the battle area, dispense their
munitions (which from what I have seen so far is a load of maybe two
Hellfires, or four BAT's), after which they have to do it all over

again.
Which tells me that the larger attack helos still have a role in the

fight,
and if you are planning to go the UCAV route, a VTOL system that can use
your FARP's is an advantage.


AHs may have their place. The Israelis certainly get a lot of use from

them
(and so do the Iranians from what I've read). In the current environment,
the target set that needs servicing is the "30 second" target, between
detection and identification and either a warhead on a forehead or *oops*

he
disappeared. That kind of target requires ubiquitous platforms rather than

a
heavy loadout on a few platforms.


No, that is just ONE of the target types that need we have to address. You
also need to be able to address that immediate CAS request from the poor
groundpounder who is sitting there with his SINCGARS and incapable of
talking to the UAV operator sitting a hundred klicks back--so you still need
those manned CAS assets, to include the attack helos. Do the UCAV's have a
role? Of course they do, and in all likelihood it will continue to grow in
the future. But taking the single example of the 11th AVN deep mission
during OIF and extrapolating a result of "no role or mission for the attack
helo in the modern fight" in favor of the UCAV (which does not yet exist in
terms of the capabilites you are requiring of them) is not a logical
conclusion.


Snooping and pooping is a traditional role that OHs have filled. There's a
real question whether they're the best way to do it.


In all circumstances? No they would not be. Are you ready to replace their
capabilities with UAV's *right now*? No (a glance at the Army's UAV programs
and history will prove that). Will we be ready to completely do so in five
years? I seriously doubt it. Ten years? I still doubt that we will be ready
to fully hand off the scouting role to unmanned platforms at that point,
unless we really experienced a change in luck in terms of tactical UAV
success. So what do use during that time period until your "uber UAV's" are
ready and fully fielded?

A platform that flies
in the Predator envelope (about 10Kfeet) misses nothing from a sensor
standpoint that could be gained by flying at a hundred feet.


Really? You can ensure that the same detail is acheived? I doubt that.

In any case,
you're ignoring the value of fused sensor data from multiple platforms.


Which you think we have already conquered--but we have not. We are working
towards it, and guess what--one of those contributing platforms is, and will
be, the manned scout helo.

No
single scout is_ever_going to operate outside the data network in the
future. To do so would be stupid.


Who ssaid it would?


There are two missions here.

The first is an ISR mission that's going to be served by a network of
sensors and platforms. Some of the platforms will be under control of
brigade and lower, some will be controlled by higher echelons but_all_the
take will be available to all the forces.


You are dreaming here. We currently have the ASIC reside at *division*
level. Will we improve the picture at the BCT and even BN TF levels? No
doubt we will. But do we want some poor company team commander, or platoon
leader, or for that matter the BN TF staff, to have to wade through the
plethora of data that does NOT impact their mission needs? Nope. Do you want
to crap out the bandwidth with the transfer of data that is not needed by
lower echelon units? Nope again. And how does any of this imply that the
manned helo does not have a role today, or for that matter during the
foreseeable future? It doesn't.


The second mission is ordnance delivery. AHs can do that although they
compete with fixed wing assets as well as the artillery crowd.


Used properly they *complement* those systems, just as those systems
complement its use; "compete" is the wrong term of use.

An AH
integrates sensors and ordnance and it's not clear to me, given that data
network, where the right place in the number of platforms/loadout per
platform/sensors per platform/endurance per platform space is the right
place to be. If you're dealing with a Sea O' Tanks heading your way,

that's
one thing. If you're looking to pot a target speeding from one hide to
another, that's another thing. If you're looking for a rascal on a
motorcycle that just launched an RPG at the local headquarters, that's

still
another.

One abiding fault of armies is the desire to equip yourself to fight the

war
you_want_to fight. That's a cardinal error.


Another cardinal error is trying to take the results of the last conflict
(in this case of the 11th AVN deep attack a singular battle at that) and
apply them with undue rigor to all future conflicts.

Brooks





  #23  
Old February 24th 04, 08:19 PM
Paul F Austin
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default


"Felger Carbon" wrote in message
nk.net...
"Paul F Austin" wrote in message
news

The last two years have clearly illustrated some major advantages

for UAVs.
They can't do everything by any means but the "natural advantage" of

an
unmanned platform lies in great persistence, being able to stay on

station
for very long times so that the platform is there exactly when

needed. The
ISR community has found that there are step-change improvements in

coverage
over satellites and manned aircraft that derive from keeping a

platform
overhead all day long. Likewise, hitting fleeting, moving targets

benefits
from having a launcher available_right now_, not five minutes off

and that's
hard to do with manned platforms and_may_be easier with UCAVs. It's
a_may_because the analysis is in progress but apparently OSD decided

that in
light of bad management, bad programmatic news and repeated program

replans,
to cut its losses.


I've read the above three times, and I still can't see where UAVs get
credit for saving our side's human lives. Heli pilots fully
expendable??


I don't think I said that. UAVs have an advantage over manned platforms for
extremely hazardous missions like SEAD because of the reduced risk to crews
but another advantage is the option of extremely long mission times because
the "crew" can change without bringing the aircraft back to base. Manned
aircraft do put aircrew at risk but you have the advantage of a human being
on the spot. One hump UCAVs will have to get over is the reluctance that
"higher" has in turning an autonomous weapon loose with reduced human
supervision. Certainly at first, the "trigger" will remain firmly in human
hands. Probably the_last_"trigger" to be turned over to robotic killers will
be air-to-air weapons, since the pilots' union will be extremely reluctant
to share the sky with them.


  #24  
Old February 24th 04, 08:30 PM
Paul F Austin
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default


"Raymond Chuang" wrote
"Paul F Austin" wrote

This is the first big lessons learned to come out of Iraq War-2. Between

the
Apaches getting put out of action by massed gunfire and the demonstrated
advantages of UAVs, the Army decided that Comanche was last-war's

weapon.

There's also another factor: the development of GPS-guided munitions and

the
arrival of the JSTARS command platform with its powerful side-scanning

radar
that could track targets hundreds of miles away. During Operation Iraqi
Freedom, JSTARS planes frequently guided attack planes carrying JDAM and
JSOW weapons to attack targets with great accuracy where the launch plane
was well away from MANPAD rockets and low-altitude AA guns. At the rate
things are going, we may see after 2010 stealthy fast-flying UAV's

dropping
GPS-guided bombs and launching TV/laser-guided missiles.


No single sensor sees all and knows all. For example, JSTARS is extremely
limited in mountainous terrain (because of limited sight lines). Likewise,
very high fliers like U-2 and G-Hawk have trouble with some sensors and some
angles. It takes (and we're deploying) a wide range of sensorcraft that
complement each other. Some of the key ones (U-2, G-Hawk, Rivet Joint and
JSTARs) are extremely over-committed right now.


In short, the days of low-flying attacks by manned aircraft are coming to

an
end.


That may be true in the future, which isn't here yet.


  #25  
Old February 24th 04, 09:19 PM
Paul F Austin
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default


"Kevin Brooks" wrote

"Paul F Austin" wrote

"Kevin Brooks" wrote

"Paul F Austin" wrote



As for the lack of SEAD, my impression (and that's all it is) was

that
the
Iraqis had everyone with a weapon that could elevate far enough fire

into
the night once the alarm was given, much the way the Vietnamese did.

If
you
can suppress_that_then you don't need to AHs in the first place.

I don't think you fully understand the SEAD effort, and the resources

that
it can include, that normally supports such an operation. Likely areas

where
ground fire or weapons systems would be encountered during the ingress

and
egress can be suppressed (actually saturated) by a combination of tube

arty
fires, MLRS (which is probably the best single SEAD asset out to

around
70
klicks), and even ATACMS (which can go to around 300 klicks) if the
mission/threat requires them. Any idea what the effect of those

submunitions
going off around your "everybody shoot up" crowd would be? How many of

those
that just *witness* that kind of firestorm are subsequently willing to
expose themselves if they *do* get a shot? Would it have been highly
effective if it had been included in this attack? Maybe--we'll never

know.
But the idea that the results of a single mission flown under one set

of
circumstances and without SEAD support should be the decisive factor

in
determining the feasibility of attack helo operations is not a very
supportable postion IMO.


Kevin, why fly the AH strike in the first place if you're going to use

this
much support for ingress and egress?


You really have no idea as to the difference in terminal effects and
capabilities between indirect dire systems and direct fire systems?


You're right about that. I'm a swivel chair hussar with no practical
knowledge of which weapons are appropriate for which particular mission. And
if it makes you feel better, I don't think all the AHs should be thrown on
the junk heap. I'm a conservative after all.


You're taking it as a given that AHs
are more efficient at delivering ordnance to some class of targets than

any
other alternative. That may be true against armor in a maneuver battle

but
in Iraq-2, that wasn't the target set.


Actually, it sometimes was (they did not always remain dug in and

waiting).
I did not say anything about "any other alternative", now did I?


If we were arming for the Fulda Gap, then AHs make a lot of sense. It's

not
clear to me that it's true for the battles we fight these days.


They guys fighting in Anaconda like their support. As did the USMC units
supported by their AH-1W's (interesting account in last month's AFM on

their
use in OIF). Note that the USMC is also still pursuing their AH-1Z program
as fast as they can. So where do you get this strange idea that OIF
condemned the attack helo concept to the trashpile?


I don't and I didn't focus particularly on the 11th's engagement. What I
paid more attention to was the air campaign over Afghanistan with
the_extremely_long mission times required. Yep, the guys on the ground in
the Anaconda op needed a great deal of CAS. I just want to open the box a
bit on how to deliver those fires, considering what would have happened if
the SF teams had needed urgent support before the Marines opened up shop at
Camp Rhino.


The object is warheads on foreheads. The FARP/short flight time ordnance
taxi is one model for doing that. A cloud of UCAVs in another. A Giant
Bombtruck In the Sky is still another. Because the Army has been wedded

to
short range, low endurance platforms is no reason not to open up the
analysis space to consider other alternatives.


Hint--long endurance usually meand long transit time, and long

preparation.

Neither one is necessarily true. Because e.g. G-Hawk-can-fly
intercontinental missions, the temptation on the part of mission planners is
to use the endurance that way. The same endurance can result in multi-day
time on station using a regional base.

The immediate CAS/AI situation may not allow for that. Which is why they
like that whole FARP concept--need more 2.75 inch FFAR's and 30mm to
continue that suppression mission that just moved to the top of the target
heap? The FARP has them close by--that UAV orbiting with its BAT's is not
going to do you a lot of good in that scenario. Just a simple example.

Ever
wonder why the USMC also values the attack helo, and for that matter its
AV-8B's? There is a lot to be said for quick response to a changing
situation's requirements.


The Marines love their organic air because of institutional memory that goes
back to Guadalcanal, when the Navy sailed away, leaving the Marines holding
the bag (and I'm an ex-sailor). I understand the virtues of organic assets.
But. The Army's institutional experience with CAS systems is strongly
colored by the Key West Agreement and the limitations that put on the kinds
of aircraft the Army was allowed to operate. Helos were allowed so the Army
got expert in helicopters. I have a submariners's prejudices that helos are
unnatural contrivances.

Yes, quick response is the key and since Comanche is dead (and we both agree
that was the right decision), now is the time to determine the best way to
generate responsive CAS. My prejudices say that the CAS assets should be
organic to the Army but that's Unjoint.


The last two years have clearly illustrated some major advantages

for
UAVs.
They can't do everything by any means but the "natural advantage" of

an
unmanned platform lies in great persistence, being able to stay on

station
for very long times so that the platform is there exactly when

needed.
The
ISR community has found that there are step-change improvements in
coverage
over satellites and manned aircraft that derive from keeping a

platform
overhead all day long. Likewise, hitting fleeting, moving targets

benefits
from having a launcher available_right now_, not five minutes off

and
that's
hard to do with manned platforms and_may_be easier with UCAVs. It's
a_may_because the analysis is in progress but apparently OSD decided

that
in
light of bad management, bad programmatic news and repeated program
replans,
to cut its losses.

You are mixing your systems up a bit. Long duration ISR missions are
normally flown at altitude; but the Army needs a system that can also

get
in
closer (lower) for finite detail. When you switch to the UCAV role,

all
of
those current long duration UAV's have a pretty miserly weapons load
capability--they are of little value rotating overhead if they don't

still
have munitions capable of doing the various jobs required. Fixed wing

UAV's
can't hit a FARP and be back into the fight quickly after rearming and
refueling--they have to mosey on back to the rear, land, get turned

around,
take back off and mosey on back up to the battle area, dispense their
munitions (which from what I have seen so far is a load of maybe two
Hellfires, or four BAT's), after which they have to do it all over

again.
Which tells me that the larger attack helos still have a role in the

fight,
and if you are planning to go the UCAV route, a VTOL system that can

use
your FARP's is an advantage.


AHs may have their place. The Israelis certainly get a lot of use from

them
(and so do the Iranians from what I've read). In the current

environment,
the target set that needs servicing is the "30 second" target, between
detection and identification and either a warhead on a forehead or

*oops*
he
disappeared. That kind of target requires ubiquitous platforms rather

than
a
heavy loadout on a few platforms.


No, that is just ONE of the target types that need we have to address. You
also need to be able to address that immediate CAS request from the poor
groundpounder who is sitting there with his SINCGARS and incapable of
talking to the UAV operator sitting a hundred klicks back--so you still

need
those manned CAS assets, to include the attack helos. Do the UCAV's have a
role? Of course they do, and in all likelihood it will continue to grow in
the future. But taking the single example of the 11th AVN deep mission
during OIF and extrapolating a result of "no role or mission for the

attack
helo in the modern fight" in favor of the UCAV (which does not yet exist

in
terms of the capabilites you are requiring of them) is not a logical
conclusion.


If the PBI can't talk to the UAV operator a hundred klicks back, he likely
can't talk to the orbiting CAS either. You miss a key point. We do CAS very
well now. We-don't- do the 30 second sensor to shooter against a moving
target well at all and that's a hole in our capabilities. The reality is
that we do most things very well indeed, so that we're filling in the
corners that were missed the first time around.



Snooping and pooping is a traditional role that OHs have filled. There's

a
real question whether they're the best way to do it.


In all circumstances? No they would not be. Are you ready to replace their
capabilities with UAV's *right now*? No (a glance at the Army's UAV

programs
and history will prove that). Will we be ready to completely do so in five
years? I seriously doubt it. Ten years? I still doubt that we will be

ready
to fully hand off the scouting role to unmanned platforms at that point,
unless we really experienced a change in luck in terms of tactical UAV
success. So what do use during that time period until your "uber UAV's"

are
ready and fully fielded?


Use AHs. It may come as some surprise that I don't think UAVs are the
Swiss-Army-Knife of airborne systems. The Army has a long and crappy history
of UAV development (I worked on the tail-end of Aquilla). The various Unions
seem to be getting their **** together now, in light of real combat
experience but it will take years to field the right systems in the right
numbers.

A platform that flies
in the Predator envelope (about 10Kfeet) misses nothing from a sensor
standpoint that could be gained by flying at a hundred feet.


Really? You can ensure that the same detail is acheived? I doubt that.


I don't. I can go into no detail. There are specific terrains where medium
altititude sensors are at a disadvantage because of geometric issues but in
terms of militarily useable sensor resolution, there's nothing much to
choose.


In any case,
you're ignoring the value of fused sensor data from multiple platforms.


Which you think we have already conquered--but we have not. We are working
towards it, and guess what--one of those contributing platforms is, and

will
be, the manned scout helo.

No
single scout is_ever_going to operate outside the data network in the
future. To do so would be stupid.


Who ssaid it would?


You're right, that's a bit of a strawman. And the sensor net is nothing like
complete yet. But it is the future. And once the future is here, it's not
clear what role manned scout helos will play.


There are two missions here.

The first is an ISR mission that's going to be served by a network of
sensors and platforms. Some of the platforms will be under control of
brigade and lower, some will be controlled by higher echelons

but_all_the
take will be available to all the forces.


You are dreaming here. We currently have the ASIC reside at *division*
level. Will we improve the picture at the BCT and even BN TF levels? No
doubt we will. But do we want some poor company team commander, or platoon
leader, or for that matter the BN TF staff, to have to wade through the
plethora of data that does NOT impact their mission needs? Nope. Do you

want
to crap out the bandwidth with the transfer of data that is not needed by
lower echelon units? Nope again. And how does any of this imply that the
manned helo does not have a role today, or for that matter during the
foreseeable future? It doesn't.


As I said, I may be premature on the data dissimination issue. You
tell_me_what a manned helo brings to the party as a sensor platform.



The second mission is ordnance delivery. AHs can do that although they
compete with fixed wing assets as well as the artillery crowd.


Used properly they *complement* those systems, just as those systems
complement its use; "compete" is the wrong term of use.


No, they don't. The reality is that helos are what the Army is allowed, not
that helos have specific mission properties that are unique. They are
maintenance intensive, expensive and based on the Kosovo experience, not
very mobile strategically. To earn their place, they have to deliver better
than the alternatives.


An AH
integrates sensors and ordnance and it's not clear to me, given that

data
network, where the right place in the number of platforms/loadout per
platform/sensors per platform/endurance per platform space is the right
place to be. If you're dealing with a Sea O' Tanks heading your way,

that's
one thing. If you're looking to pot a target speeding from one hide to
another, that's another thing. If you're looking for a rascal on a
motorcycle that just launched an RPG at the local headquarters, that's

still
another.

One abiding fault of armies is the desire to equip yourself to fight the

war
you_want_to fight. That's a cardinal error.


Another cardinal error is trying to take the results of the last conflict
(in this case of the 11th AVN deep attack a singular battle at that) and
apply them with undue rigor to all future conflicts.


Didn't do that. As I said. You're the one that obsesses on that engagement.

And you still don't address the fleeting target.


  #26  
Old February 24th 04, 11:34 PM
phil hunt
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default

On Mon, 23 Feb 2004 17:26:04 -0500, Paul F Austin wrote:

"robert arndt" wrote

Too bad, only wish it would have been the V-22 or F-22 programs.


This is the first big lessons learned to come out of Iraq War-2. Between the
Apaches getting put out of action by massed gunfire and the demonstrated
advantages of UAVs, the Army decided that Comanche was last-war's weapon.


That's my take on it too.

--
"It's easier to find people online who openly support the KKK than
people who openly support the RIAA" -- comment on Wikipedia
(Email: zen19725 at zen dot co dot uk)


  #28  
Old February 25th 04, 12:02 AM
Kevin Brooks
external usenet poster
 
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"Paul F Austin" wrote in message
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"Kevin Brooks" wrote

"Paul F Austin" wrote

"Kevin Brooks" wrote

"Paul F Austin" wrote



As for the lack of SEAD, my impression (and that's all it is) was

that
the
Iraqis had everyone with a weapon that could elevate far enough

fire
into
the night once the alarm was given, much the way the Vietnamese

did.
If
you
can suppress_that_then you don't need to AHs in the first place.

I don't think you fully understand the SEAD effort, and the

resources
that
it can include, that normally supports such an operation. Likely

areas
where
ground fire or weapons systems would be encountered during the

ingress
and
egress can be suppressed (actually saturated) by a combination of

tube
arty
fires, MLRS (which is probably the best single SEAD asset out to

around
70
klicks), and even ATACMS (which can go to around 300 klicks) if the
mission/threat requires them. Any idea what the effect of those
submunitions
going off around your "everybody shoot up" crowd would be? How many

of
those
that just *witness* that kind of firestorm are subsequently willing

to
expose themselves if they *do* get a shot? Would it have been highly
effective if it had been included in this attack? Maybe--we'll never

know.
But the idea that the results of a single mission flown under one

set
of
circumstances and without SEAD support should be the decisive factor

in
determining the feasibility of attack helo operations is not a very
supportable postion IMO.


Kevin, why fly the AH strike in the first place if you're going to use

this
much support for ingress and egress?


You really have no idea as to the difference in terminal effects and
capabilities between indirect dire systems and direct fire systems?


You're right about that. I'm a swivel chair hussar with no practical
knowledge of which weapons are appropriate for which particular mission.

And
if it makes you feel better, I don't think all the AHs should be thrown on
the junk heap. I'm a conservative after all.


The plain fact of the matter is that the indirect fire systems can't acheive
the same results that the Apaches can in the EA. For example, the standard
DPICM bomblet, while it can be lethal against troops in the open, thin
skinned vehicles, and even light armor, is not likely to kill an MBT *if* it
hits it. The Apache can kill that MBT quite easily, as we have seen in the
past. Artillery is becoming more capable of killing point targets, but we
are not yet at the stage where we can hand-off all of the killing to such
indirect fire systems. But indirect fire systems can (right now) provide
excellent suppression against the kind of threats that the Apache has to
concern itself with while it ingresses and egresses. Nor are they limited to
providing that kind of support to rotary assets; ATACMS has been used in the
SEAD role in support of fast mover efforts (the SEAD role being one of
ATACMS primary reasons for existing).



You're taking it as a given that AHs
are more efficient at delivering ordnance to some class of targets

than
any
other alternative. That may be true against armor in a maneuver battle

but
in Iraq-2, that wasn't the target set.


Actually, it sometimes was (they did not always remain dug in and

waiting).
I did not say anything about "any other alternative", now did I?


If we were arming for the Fulda Gap, then AHs make a lot of sense.

It's
not
clear to me that it's true for the battles we fight these days.


They guys fighting in Anaconda like their support. As did the USMC units
supported by their AH-1W's (interesting account in last month's AFM on

their
use in OIF). Note that the USMC is also still pursuing their AH-1Z

program
as fast as they can. So where do you get this strange idea that OIF
condemned the attack helo concept to the trashpile?


I don't and I didn't focus particularly on the 11th's engagement. What I
paid more attention to was the air campaign over Afghanistan with
the_extremely_long mission times required.


No, your original statement that I took exception to said nothing of the
sort, and was evidently directly related to that single deep attack mission
by the 11th AVN: "This is the first big lessons learned to come out of Iraq
War-2. Between the Apaches getting put out of action by massed gunfire..."
Now where do we see any reference to Afghani operations in that statement?
And who in heck has claimed that the Apache should be the *primary* CAS/BAI
platform, especially in long range engagements like those that typified the
early stages of OEF?

Yep, the guys on the ground in
the Anaconda op needed a great deal of CAS. I just want to open the box a
bit on how to deliver those fires, considering what would have happened if
the SF teams had needed urgent support before the Marines opened up shop

at
Camp Rhino.


You are delving into METT-T concerns, not indicting the continuing valid
roles of attack helos. No single system can perform all roles across the
spectrum of combat, and throughout the depth of the battlespace. That the
Apache can't do that either means nothing.



The object is warheads on foreheads. The FARP/short flight time

ordnance
taxi is one model for doing that. A cloud of UCAVs in another. A Giant
Bombtruck In the Sky is still another. Because the Army has been

wedded
to
short range, low endurance platforms is no reason not to open up the
analysis space to consider other alternatives.


Hint--long endurance usually meand long transit time, and long

preparation.

Neither one is necessarily true. Because e.g. G-Hawk-can-fly
intercontinental missions, the temptation on the part of mission planners

is
to use the endurance that way. The same endurance can result in multi-day
time on station using a regional base.


OK, first off, nobody is talking about using Global Hawk in the CAS/BAI role
that I am aware of. And yes, it does take a while to get fixed wing UAV's
regenerated and back into the fight, and yes, their basing requirements will
normally put them some distance from the FLOT. The ground commander needs a
whole plethora of different platforms to support him, including UAV's, and
ideally also including manned helos. The VTOL aircraft, and its ability to
use a FARP and conduct quick turnarounds with task-driven weapons loadout,
contributes to his versatility much more than any of the current (or soon to
be available) crop of armed UAV's can.


The immediate CAS/AI situation may not allow for that. Which is why they
like that whole FARP concept--need more 2.75 inch FFAR's and 30mm to
continue that suppression mission that just moved to the top of the

target
heap? The FARP has them close by--that UAV orbiting with its BAT's is

not
going to do you a lot of good in that scenario. Just a simple example.

Ever
wonder why the USMC also values the attack helo, and for that matter its
AV-8B's? There is a lot to be said for quick response to a changing
situation's requirements.


The Marines love their organic air because of institutional memory that

goes
back to Guadalcanal, when the Navy sailed away, leaving the Marines

holding
the bag (and I'm an ex-sailor).


Who cares about "organic"? The USMC loved the support it got from its
AH-1W's during OIF. Period. Granted that giving the ground force commander
his own dedicated and owned source of CAS/BAI can also be valuable, but the
key fact from the above is that the attack helo was deemed to still be an
important asset by the USMC.

I understand the virtues of organic assets.
But. The Army's institutional experience with CAS systems is strongly
colored by the Key West Agreement and the limitations that put on the

kinds
of aircraft the Army was allowed to operate. Helos were allowed so the

Army
got expert in helicopters. I have a submariners's prejudices that helos

are
unnatural contrivances.

Yes, quick response is the key and since Comanche is dead (and we both

agree
that was the right decision), now is the time to determine the best way to
generate responsive CAS. My prejudices say that the CAS assets should be
organic to the Army but that's Unjoint.


I don't in the end care *who* owns the assets, my concern is that we need to
ensure the commander has *all* of the tools that he can get which contribute
to his versatility and agility on the battlefield. Right now, and for the
foreseeable future, that includes the manned helo; yes, it faces threats
from groundfire (but so does the UAV), but it can perform in environments
that might be difficult for the UAV (ie., effective enemy ECM).



The last two years have clearly illustrated some major advantages

for
UAVs.
They can't do everything by any means but the "natural advantage"

of
an
unmanned platform lies in great persistence, being able to stay on
station
for very long times so that the platform is there exactly when

needed.
The
ISR community has found that there are step-change improvements in
coverage
over satellites and manned aircraft that derive from keeping a

platform
overhead all day long. Likewise, hitting fleeting, moving targets
benefits
from having a launcher available_right now_, not five minutes off

and
that's
hard to do with manned platforms and_may_be easier with UCAVs.

It's
a_may_because the analysis is in progress but apparently OSD

decided
that
in
light of bad management, bad programmatic news and repeated

program
replans,
to cut its losses.

You are mixing your systems up a bit. Long duration ISR missions are
normally flown at altitude; but the Army needs a system that can

also
get
in
closer (lower) for finite detail. When you switch to the UCAV role,

all
of
those current long duration UAV's have a pretty miserly weapons load
capability--they are of little value rotating overhead if they don't

still
have munitions capable of doing the various jobs required. Fixed

wing
UAV's
can't hit a FARP and be back into the fight quickly after rearming

and
refueling--they have to mosey on back to the rear, land, get turned
around,
take back off and mosey on back up to the battle area, dispense

their
munitions (which from what I have seen so far is a load of maybe two
Hellfires, or four BAT's), after which they have to do it all over

again.
Which tells me that the larger attack helos still have a role in the
fight,
and if you are planning to go the UCAV route, a VTOL system that can

use
your FARP's is an advantage.

AHs may have their place. The Israelis certainly get a lot of use from

them
(and so do the Iranians from what I've read). In the current

environment,
the target set that needs servicing is the "30 second" target, between
detection and identification and either a warhead on a forehead or

*oops*
he
disappeared. That kind of target requires ubiquitous platforms rather

than
a
heavy loadout on a few platforms.


No, that is just ONE of the target types that need we have to address.

You
also need to be able to address that immediate CAS request from the poor
groundpounder who is sitting there with his SINCGARS and incapable of
talking to the UAV operator sitting a hundred klicks back--so you still

need
those manned CAS assets, to include the attack helos. Do the UCAV's have

a
role? Of course they do, and in all likelihood it will continue to grow

in
the future. But taking the single example of the 11th AVN deep mission
during OIF and extrapolating a result of "no role or mission for the

attack
helo in the modern fight" in favor of the UCAV (which does not yet exist

in
terms of the capabilites you are requiring of them) is not a logical
conclusion.


If the PBI can't talk to the UAV operator a hundred klicks back, he likely
can't talk to the orbiting CAS either.


Bullpoopie. His basic FM *can* let him talk to line-of-sight targets, but he
is not going to be able to hit that UAV site without a retrans chain (and
then only problematically).

You miss a key point. We do CAS very
well now. We-don't- do the 30 second sensor to shooter against a moving
target well at all and that's a hole in our capabilities. The reality is
that we do most things very well indeed, so that we're filling in the
corners that were missed the first time around.


But that does not imply in any way that the attack helo is a product of a
bygone era.




Snooping and pooping is a traditional role that OHs have filled.

There's
a
real question whether they're the best way to do it.


In all circumstances? No they would not be. Are you ready to replace

their
capabilities with UAV's *right now*? No (a glance at the Army's UAV

programs
and history will prove that). Will we be ready to completely do so in

five
years? I seriously doubt it. Ten years? I still doubt that we will be

ready
to fully hand off the scouting role to unmanned platforms at that point,
unless we really experienced a change in luck in terms of tactical UAV
success. So what do use during that time period until your "uber UAV's"

are
ready and fully fielded?


Use AHs. It may come as some surprise that I don't think UAVs are the
Swiss-Army-Knife of airborne systems. The Army has a long and crappy

history
of UAV development (I worked on the tail-end of Aquilla). The various

Unions
seem to be getting their **** together now, in light of real combat
experience but it will take years to field the right systems in the right
numbers.

A platform that flies
in the Predator envelope (about 10Kfeet) misses nothing from a sensor
standpoint that could be gained by flying at a hundred feet.


Really? You can ensure that the same detail is acheived? I doubt that.


I don't. I can go into no detail. There are specific terrains where medium
altititude sensors are at a disadvantage because of geometric issues but

in
terms of militarily useable sensor resolution, there's nothing much to
choose.


Unless things have changed dramatically since OAF, then I can't buy that.
One of the lessons learned there was that the UAV's could not find the
targets with the desired reliability. Terrain and vegetative cover, enemy
camouflage efforts (including multi-spectral systems)--they all can degrade
sensor performance, especially from increased range.



In any case,
you're ignoring the value of fused sensor data from multiple

platforms.

Which you think we have already conquered--but we have not. We are

working
towards it, and guess what--one of those contributing platforms is, and

will
be, the manned scout helo.

No
single scout is_ever_going to operate outside the data network in the
future. To do so would be stupid.


Who ssaid it would?


You're right, that's a bit of a strawman. And the sensor net is nothing

like
complete yet. But it is the future. And once the future is here, it's not
clear what role manned scout helos will play.


There are two missions here.

The first is an ISR mission that's going to be served by a network of
sensors and platforms. Some of the platforms will be under control of
brigade and lower, some will be controlled by higher echelons

but_all_the
take will be available to all the forces.


You are dreaming here. We currently have the ASIC reside at *division*
level. Will we improve the picture at the BCT and even BN TF levels? No
doubt we will. But do we want some poor company team commander, or

platoon
leader, or for that matter the BN TF staff, to have to wade through the
plethora of data that does NOT impact their mission needs? Nope. Do you

want
to crap out the bandwidth with the transfer of data that is not needed

by
lower echelon units? Nope again. And how does any of this imply that the
manned helo does not have a role today, or for that matter during the
foreseeable future? It doesn't.


As I said, I may be premature on the data dissimination issue. You
tell_me_what a manned helo brings to the party as a sensor platform.


Ability to operate in a rigorous ECM environment for one. Better fieild of
view provided by the mark-one eyeballs of a couple of crewmembers.
Observation in 3-D versus the more sanitary 2-D of UAV optical sensors. And
most importantly, the ability to reason while absorbing sensory input. Add
in the fact that we can data link their onboard sensors just as we do that
of the UAV's (demonstrated similarly by USMC AV-8B's during OIF providing
datalinked images from their targeting pods to ground commanders).




The second mission is ordnance delivery. AHs can do that although they
compete with fixed wing assets as well as the artillery crowd.


Used properly they *complement* those systems, just as those systems
complement its use; "compete" is the wrong term of use.


No, they don't. The reality is that helos are what the Army is allowed,

not
that helos have specific mission properties that are unique.


Huh? They don't? Ever try to turn around an A-10 at a FARP cut into the
brush immediately to the rear of the FLOT? How long was it before we had
operational fighter strips up and running in Afghanistan? We had Cobras
operating there in quick fashion (and could have had them even more quickly
if we had so desired). Ever have your A-10 direct your arty? Armed scout
helos do that routinely.

They are
maintenance intensive, expensive and based on the Kosovo experience, not
very mobile strategically. To earn their place, they have to deliver

better
than the alternatives.


No they don't. They have to complement the other systems, as i said earlier.
You really need to look up the concept of "combined arms warfare". Each
system uses its strengths to help overcome the weaknesses of the other
systems. Sort of like the JAAT (joint air attack tactics) missions that the
A-10's and Apaches/Cobras used to sometimes train on.



An AH
integrates sensors and ordnance and it's not clear to me, given that

data
network, where the right place in the number of platforms/loadout per
platform/sensors per platform/endurance per platform space is the

right
place to be. If you're dealing with a Sea O' Tanks heading your way,

that's
one thing. If you're looking to pot a target speeding from one hide to
another, that's another thing. If you're looking for a rascal on a
motorcycle that just launched an RPG at the local headquarters, that's

still
another.

One abiding fault of armies is the desire to equip yourself to fight

the
war
you_want_to fight. That's a cardinal error.


Another cardinal error is trying to take the results of the last

conflict
(in this case of the 11th AVN deep attack a singular battle at that)

and
apply them with undue rigor to all future conflicts.


Didn't do that. As I said. You're the one that obsesses on that

engagement.

"This is the first big lessons learned to come out of Iraq War-2. Between
the Apaches getting put out of action by massed gunfire..." Your words, not
mine.


And you still don't address the fleeting target.


Neither does the 81mm mortar--are you going to want to can them, too?

Brooks





  #29  
Old February 25th 04, 01:11 AM
Bogospace
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"Paul F Austin" wrote in message
...
No single sensor sees all and knows all.


I think that's the point. The total awareness concept called for 5000
Comanches in service. Pfft.. 5000 UAVs is doable.


  #30  
Old February 25th 04, 03:38 AM
Thomas Schoene
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Kevin Brooks wrote:

I always thought the emphasis on radar stealth was off the mark. But
be careful drawing any hard and fast conclusions in regards to helo
survivability vis a vis the 11th AVN deep attack during OIF.


I'm not looking only at that attack. There are a bunch of incidents, from
Operation ANACONDA on, that suggest that attack helos are going to get hit
fairly often, and that those hits will come from optical or IR weapons.

I did not like Commanche, but I *can* see the wisdom
of including a strike capability in your cavalry scout
birds--increased versatility for when things don't go as planned, the


Sure, but I question the scale of the armament actually selected. With the
stub wings (which I think were deferred from the most recent production
plan), a Comanche could carry 14 Hellfires, almost 90% of the armament of an
Apache. That's a lot of targets of opportunity. And the requirement for
internal carriage for part of that load added both cost and complexity.

Personally, I think they should have started building a much less complex
scout sometime in the early 1990s, starting with AH-58 capabilities but
built in into a more combat-worthy airframe. It would look strikingly like
an early AH-1 or the Japanese OH-X in general outline. Sensors consist of
Londbow above the mast and Comanche optics above the cockpit but below the
rotor (the second-best spot,a fter the mast it taken by radar). Armament of
perhaps 4 Hellfire (or two rocket pods) and 4 Stinger (for UAV killing as
much as for self-defense) on stub wings plus maybe a GAU-19 .50-caliber
gatling in a chin mount for small arms suppression. Don't worry about radar
LO; concentrate on IR, front-aspect visual, and maybe acoustics.

With luck and planning, the same dynamic system can be adapted for that long
overdue Light Utility Helo requirement (shades of UH-1/AH-1 in reverse?).
--
Tom Schoene Replace "invalid" with "net" to e-mail
"If brave men and women never died, there would be nothing
special about bravery." -- Andy Rooney (attributed)




 




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