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russia vs. japan in 1941 [WAS: 50% of NAZI oil..]



 
 
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  #1  
Old October 21st 03, 12:57 PM
L'acrobat
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"Cub Driver" wrote in message
...
Without that oil the gains made in China would collapse, the attack south
was always meant to be a limited operation to secure resource


I don't think that an attack waged on a 4,000-mile front could fairly
be called limited.

It was intended to be a six-month operation, followed by a lifetime
occupation of a defense zone too vast to be challenged by the U.S.
navy. But the hoped-for brevity of the war doesn't suggest that it was
minor. After all, Germany invaded and occupied most of continental
Europe in nine months. That wasn't limited!


It was a limited operation in that its goal was not to defeat the C'wealth
or the USA strategically, it was to simply push them back outside the
planned area of fortifications and then dig in.

A limited operation does not have to be minor, it just has to have well
defined limits.


  #2  
Old October 22nd 03, 10:48 AM
Cub Driver
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The book title, by the way, is Flyboys: A True Story of Courage, by
James Bradley. After initially being put off by the moral equivalence
(oh sure, the Japanese murdered, cooked, and ate bits of seven
American fliers off Chichi Jima, but hey! Americans behaved badly at
the Battle of Wounded Knee!), I've decided it's worth the read.

http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/AS...f=nosim/annals

all the best -- Dan Ford
email: www.danford.net/letters.htm#9

see the Warbird's Forum at www.warbirdforum.com
and the Piper Cub Forum at www.pipercubforum.com
  #3  
Old October 22nd 03, 11:08 AM
Cub Driver
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A limited operation does not have to be minor, it just has to have well
defined limits.


Shucks, by that definition, the U.S. fought World War II as a limited
operation.

a) defeat Germany

b) defeat Japan

What limits could be better defined than those?

all the best -- Dan Ford
email: www.danford.net/letters.htm#9

see the Warbird's Forum at www.warbirdforum.com
and the Piper Cub Forum at www.pipercubforum.com
  #4  
Old October 21st 03, 06:07 AM
Hugo S. Cunningham
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On 20 Oct 2003 12:19:08 -0700, (The Black
Monk) wrote:

[...]

At Khalkyn Gol between May and September 1939 the Japanese were
crushed by Zhukov, sustaining over 80,000 casualties to the Russians'
11,130. Within a single week the Japanses lost 25,000 men. The
entire Japanese 6th army was completely destroyed.

The Battle of Khalkin Gol was Zhukov's illustration of Deep
Penetration tactics. The use of deception tactics, extremely fast
tanks and mechanized forces to outflank an opponent's defenses, and
the combination of aerial, airborne, and ground troops lead to the
complete destruction of the Japanese 6th Army and to Japan's loss of a
sphere of influence in the Mongolian and Far Eastern regions.

This battle also featured the first successful use of air-to-air
missiles. Five Polikarpov I-16 Type 10 fighters under the command of
Capt. Zvonarev claimed destruction two Mitsubishi A5M by RS-82
unguided rockets.

Historians describe a conflict within the Japanese military about
whether to attack the USSR or the USA. The complete defeat att he
hands of the Soviets made that decision:


Also, Hitler did not *ask* for Japan's assistance when he was planning
Barbarossa in the spring of 1941. Instead, he hid his plans from
visiting Japanese foreign minister Matsuoka in March 1941, and
encouraged Matsuoka to sign a non-aggression pact with Stalin in April
1941. In retrospect, this was a disastrous mistake by Hitler; at the
time, he probably expected to walk over Russia easily, and didn't want
to share the spoils.
By the time stiff Soviet resistance changed Hitler's mind and he
sought Japanese intervention in late summer 1941, it was too late:
Japan was preoccupied with US President F.D. Roosevelt's oil embargo,
announced on 26 July.

Pearl Harbor happened because
the Japanese chose to attack the weaker foe.


Their hand was forced by FDR's oil embargo (by diplomatic arrangement
with Great Britain and the Netherlands government-in-exile, then in
control of Indonesia).

Perhaps they would have done better to take a defensive attitude
toward the US fleet at Pearl Harbor while seizing the oil fields in
Indonesia. Pearl Harbor vaporized isolationist sentiment in the USA,
while a far-off colonial war might not have.

--Hugo S. Cunningham
  #5  
Old October 21st 03, 06:58 AM
L'acrobat
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"Hugo S. Cunningham" wrote in message
...


Perhaps they would have done better to take a defensive attitude
toward the US fleet at Pearl Harbor while seizing the oil fields in
Indonesia. Pearl Harbor vaporized isolationist sentiment in the USA,
while a far-off colonial war might not have.


IMO opinion that was their best credible move, but not a good one - they had
no good options, given the revulsion the Japs had generated in the USA over
Nanking and the atrocity prone nature of the Japanese military, attacking
south where these atrocities would inevitably be directed against whites
(the race would have mattered a lot back then), throw in the fact that it
would be a pretty clear defiance of the purpose of the embargo and the US
would probably have come in anyway.

The big difference is that the US fleet would have been intact and the PI
would have been a lot more secure, also the USA might not have been at war
with Germany (unless Hitler repeated his idiot declaration).

Honestly, Japans best bet was probably to side with the Allies against
Germany and hope that by supporting them, they could buy silence on the
Chinese front, but I doubt it was politically feasible in Japan or USA.


  #6  
Old October 22nd 03, 08:42 PM
Peter Twydell
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In article , The Black
Monk writes
wrote in message ...
In article , "Bill
Silvey" wrote:

Then there was the fact that the Reds did nothing while Japan massacred
hundreds of thousands of Chinese in the '30s. Stalin only declared war on
Japan *after* Japan had lost, just to gain Kamchatka. 100% fact.


russia fought japan until the german invasion of russia. you don't have
to look in obscure sources to find out about it.

readers of rec.aviation.military are undoubtably familiar with the
accounts of the flying tigers in china. these books describe the
russian conflict with china in this period, both as mercenaries for
china and direct conflict on the soviet border.



Indeed.

At Khalkyn Gol between May and September 1939 the Japanese were
crushed by Zhukov, sustaining over 80,000 casualties to the Russians'
11,130. Within a single week the Japanses lost 25,000 men. The
entire Japanese 6th army was completely destroyed.

The Battle of Khalkin Gol was Zhukov's illustration of Deep
Penetration tactics. The use of deception tactics, extremely fast
tanks and mechanized forces to outflank an opponent's defenses, and
the combination of aerial, airborne, and ground troops lead to the
complete destruction of the Japanese 6th Army and to Japan's loss of a
sphere of influence in the Mongolian and Far Eastern regions.

This battle also featured the first successful use of air-to-air
missiles. Five Polikarpov I-16 Type 10 fighters under the command of
Capt. Zvonarev claimed destruction two Mitsubishi A5M by RS-82
unguided rockets.

It depends on your definitions. Aerial rockets had been used in WW I, to
destroy balloons rather than enemy heavier-than-air craft.
See: http://www.firstworldwar.com/atoz/leprieur.htm

Historians describe a conflict within the Japanese military about
whether to attack the USSR or the USA. The complete defeat att he
hands of the Soviets made that decision: Pearl Harbor happened because
the Japanese chose to attack the weaker foe.

BM


--
Peter

Ying tong iddle-i po!
  #7  
Old October 22nd 03, 12:09 AM
The Black Monk
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Default

"John Mullen" wrote in message ...


Yep, there still wasnt any oil in Siberia and that was the limiting factor
for Japan.


Accepted. I still think it's an interesting thought experiment to imagine
what happens if Germany and Japan get their act together and do some proper
joint planning either before or even during the war. The Panama Canal comes
to mind.

John


I think that Germany would only have had a chance if it had done what
Spengler envisioned it should do - become the leader of Europe. Had
Germany attacked the USSR with the motive of liberating its captive
peoples - through establishing friendly semi-puppet republics as was
done following Russia's collapse during World War I - it is likely
that Moscow would have fallen. And if I recall correctly, Stalin
would have been ready to offer terms had Moscow been taken.
Intelligent, not fanatic, leadership would have accepted such terms,
which would have meant the gain of the Baltics, Ukraine, and probably
the Caucuses. Had the Germans been statesmen they would not have had
to contend with resistence in eastern Europe, indeed they would
probably have had several 100,000 more allied troops. It is likely
that even within Russia some friendly troops cpuld be had. Not
Vlasov's sullen war criminals, but free cossacks from the Don, Terek
or Kuban fighting willingly against their oppresors. If the Germans
had wanted to make the war into a crusade for Europe (naturally at the
expense of a few unfortunates - the French and Poles) they would have
stood a chance of winning. Instead, of course, Hitler's war was a
crusade only for his grotesque and evil ideology, as bad as if not
worse than the Bolshevism he fought. In this world, the British
would not have held onto the middle east with its oil, and the world
would have been a much different place for the past fifty years.

This alternative strategy is not as far-fetched as it seems. Elements
in the Wehrmacht were outraged at the Nazi mistreatment of Eastern
Europeans, and even within the Nazi party there was for example
Rosenberg, an ethnic German from Estonia, who envisioned an allied
puppet Ukraine stretching from "Lviv to Saratov" (there as an
interesting article about this in the Ukrainian Weekly a year or so
ago).

Unfortunately, rather than statesmen Germany was led by madmen.
Hitler's racial theories prevented him from making Germany a leader of
Europe in the manner that America would later be. As Spengler
predicted in 1936, Hitler's sick reich didn't last 10 years.

BM
  #8  
Old October 22nd 03, 12:25 AM
Keith Willshaw
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Posts: n/a
Default


"The Black Monk" wrote in message
om...
"John Mullen" wrote in message

...


Yep, there still wasnt any oil in Siberia and that was the limiting

factor
for Japan.


Accepted. I still think it's an interesting thought experiment to

imagine
what happens if Germany and Japan get their act together and do some

proper
joint planning either before or even during the war. The Panama Canal

comes
to mind.

John


I think that Germany would only have had a chance if it had done what
Spengler envisioned it should do - become the leader of Europe. Had
Germany attacked the USSR with the motive of liberating its captive
peoples - through establishing friendly semi-puppet republics as was
done following Russia's collapse during World War I - it is likely
that Moscow would have fallen. And if I recall correctly, Stalin
would have been ready to offer terms had Moscow been taken.
Intelligent, not fanatic, leadership would have accepted such terms,


However intelligent leaders would not have embarked on such
a war in the first place. The lessons of history are clear enough
on the wisdom of invading Russia and frankly the possible gains
were never going to be worth the cost.


which would have meant the gain of the Baltics, Ukraine, and probably
the Caucuses.


The Caucasian oil fields were never really achievable. Even had the
German forces got across the mountains the Soviets had ample
time to blow up the facilities.

Keith


  #9  
Old October 22nd 03, 12:28 AM
raymond o'hara
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default


"The Black Monk" wrote in message
om...
"John Mullen" wrote in message

...


Yep, there still wasnt any oil in Siberia and that was the limiting

factor
for Japan.


Accepted. I still think it's an interesting thought experiment to

imagine
what happens if Germany and Japan get their act together and do some

proper
joint planning either before or even during the war. The Panama Canal

comes
to mind.

John


I think that Germany would only have had a chance if it had done what
Spengler envisioned it should do - become the leader of Europe. Had
Germany attacked the USSR with the motive of liberating its captive
peoples - through establishing friendly semi-puppet republics as was
done following Russia's collapse during World War I - it is likely
that Moscow would have fallen. And if I recall correctly, Stalin
would have been ready to offer terms had Moscow been taken.
Intelligent, not fanatic, leadership would have accepted such terms,
which would have meant the gain of the Baltics, Ukraine, and probably
the Caucuses. Had the Germans been statesmen they would not have had
to contend with resistence in eastern Europe, indeed they would
probably have had several 100,000 more allied troops. It is likely
that even within Russia some friendly troops cpuld be had. Not
Vlasov's sullen war criminals, but free cossacks from the Don, Terek
or Kuban fighting willingly against their oppresors. If the Germans
had wanted to make the war into a crusade for Europe (naturally at the
expense of a few unfortunates - the French and Poles) they would have
stood a chance of winning. Instead, of course, Hitler's war was a
crusade only for his grotesque and evil ideology, as bad as if not
worse than the Bolshevism he fought. In this world, the British
would not have held onto the middle east with its oil, and the world
would have been a much different place for the past fifty years.

This alternative strategy is not as far-fetched as it seems. Elements
in the Wehrmacht were outraged at the Nazi mistreatment of Eastern
Europeans, and even within the Nazi party there was for example
Rosenberg, an ethnic German from Estonia, who envisioned an allied
puppet Ukraine stretching from "Lviv to Saratov" (there as an
interesting article about this in the Ukrainian Weekly a year or so
ago).

Unfortunately, rather than statesmen Germany was led by madmen.
Hitler's racial theories prevented him from making Germany a leader of
Europe in the manner that America would later be. As Spengler
predicted in 1936, Hitler's sick reich didn't last 10 years.

BM



this has been said a thousand times before in a hundred books . the truth is
if they were reasonable thoughtful men they wouldn't have been nazies .


  #10  
Old October 22nd 03, 02:20 PM
The Black Monk
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default

"raymond o'hara" wrote in message .net...
"The Black Monk" wrote in message
om...
"John Mullen" wrote in message

...


Yep, there still wasnt any oil in Siberia and that was the limiting

factor
for Japan.

Accepted. I still think it's an interesting thought experiment to

imagine
what happens if Germany and Japan get their act together and do some

proper
joint planning either before or even during the war. The Panama Canal

comes
to mind.

John


I think that Germany would only have had a chance if it had done what
Spengler envisioned it should do - become the leader of Europe. Had
Germany attacked the USSR with the motive of liberating its captive
peoples - through establishing friendly semi-puppet republics as was
done following Russia's collapse during World War I - it is likely
that Moscow would have fallen. And if I recall correctly, Stalin
would have been ready to offer terms had Moscow been taken.
Intelligent, not fanatic, leadership would have accepted such terms,
which would have meant the gain of the Baltics, Ukraine, and probably
the Caucuses. Had the Germans been statesmen they would not have had
to contend with resistence in eastern Europe, indeed they would
probably have had several 100,000 more allied troops. It is likely
that even within Russia some friendly troops cpuld be had. Not
Vlasov's sullen war criminals, but free cossacks from the Don, Terek
or Kuban fighting willingly against their oppresors. If the Germans
had wanted to make the war into a crusade for Europe (naturally at the
expense of a few unfortunates - the French and Poles) they would have
stood a chance of winning. Instead, of course, Hitler's war was a
crusade only for his grotesque and evil ideology, as bad as if not
worse than the Bolshevism he fought. In this world, the British
would not have held onto the middle east with its oil, and the world
would have been a much different place for the past fifty years.

This alternative strategy is not as far-fetched as it seems. Elements
in the Wehrmacht were outraged at the Nazi mistreatment of Eastern
Europeans, and even within the Nazi party there was for example
Rosenberg, an ethnic German from Estonia, who envisioned an allied
puppet Ukraine stretching from "Lviv to Saratov" (there as an
interesting article about this in the Ukrainian Weekly a year or so
ago).

Unfortunately, rather than statesmen Germany was led by madmen.
Hitler's racial theories prevented him from making Germany a leader of
Europe in the manner that America would later be. As Spengler
predicted in 1936, Hitler's sick reich didn't last 10 years.

BM



this has been said a thousand times before in a hundred books . the truth is
if they were reasonable thoughtful men they wouldn't have been nazies .


Of course!

BM
 




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