"Skylune" wrote in message
lkaboutaviation.com...
In any randomized event, preceding events do not effect future
probabilities. If the risks of crashing a plane are 1 out of 10,000
flights, you are not risk free on the 10,001st flight.

Of course. And that's completely consistent with what Mike and I said.
You're misunderstanding a very fundamental aspect of probability.

--Gary