On Fri, 30 Dec 2005 02:08:01 -0500, "Morgans"
wrote:


"Robert M. Gary" wrote in message
roups.com...
I agree Ron, it sounds like a bunch of 172 pilots. I would have had no
problem flying my Mooney under the same situation (IFR of course), in
fact I've flown that route several times. However, I know my Mooney. I
have a factory new (not factory reman, not rebuilt, not overhauled,
factory new) engine with regular oil analysis and scoping. I've also
been known to cross the Gorman pass IFR at night IMC as well (or, if
icing exists, the V25/V27 coastal route).

You like to throw the dice, and hope they come up double 6's. I hope they
do.

If ever you are slapped with some system failure that is necessary to keep
the plane in the air, you just shot craps. In the mountains, (in IFR
especially) you are not too likely to find a good enough landing place to
save your life.

It is all about risk management, and risk acceptance. You are willing to
minimize the risk, and take what ever hand is dealt, from there on out.
Some are not.

Yes, I, and I presume Robert, minimize our risk by assuring that excellent
maintenance is done on our equipment; and by keeping current in our own
aircraft.

This gives us a substantially better than the 1 in 35 chance you seem to
expect you would have had on that flight (that's the odds of rolling double
6's). If those were my odds, I, too, would not take the risk. :-)


Ron (EPM) (N5843Q, Mooney M20E) (CP, ASEL, ASES, IA)