In article
outaviation.com,
says...


The one that kills several innocents on the ground is coming --
statistically inevitable. That will generate lots of negative press, and
place safety, noise, pollution square in the public eye again. Boyer will
be busy spinning bull****.



Well, if you're including larger turboprops, bizjets and airliners in your
estimate you may be correct. However if you're referring to small singles
and twins, it's hard to understand how you can describe something that
virtually never happens as being "statistically inevitable".

Of course it's possible - a 172 could hit car on the freeway and slam it
into another car or something - you almost need to find such a scenario,
where the destructive force invloved is greater than that engendered by the
little plane itself, which was only the trigger event. Otherwise, small
planes crashing just don't pack enough destructive force to make the killing
of several innocents on the ground "statistically inevitable".
Statistically, the most likely result, in fact, is that this will not happen
any time soon.

GF