"Jim Yanik" skrev i melding
.. .
) wrote in
om:

FAS shows probability of a fighter kill by SA-18 as somehwere between
30 and 50 percent. Not sure how that was measured. Therefore, I'd
imagine that PK on a liner taking off, is near 1. Most of them have
two engines now. Good luck gaining altitude with one out. But today on
CNN I read it's about 50/50 which sound like BS to me.

Of course that PK is for *one* SAM fired. ISTR that the Kenya attempt used
TWO missiles.

Terrorists learn as well,they might do better the next time.The attack in
Kenya was poorly carried out.The next attack will probably against an
aircraft on final approach,and at a closer range.Or imagine the damage a
small group of RPG-armed terrorist could do if they crashed through the
fence at a major airport in a pickup truck,and started blasting away at all
the aircraft in sight.Or a few men armed with 0.50 cal. sniper rifles -
readily available in the US.The possibilities are endless.