At this web cast, Boeing' director of marketing, Drew McGill said:
* 2006 was the second year of sales in excess of 1,000 aircraft.
* Boeing's backlog of 2,500 aircraft that, if the aircraft were
placed end to end, they would span 77 miles.
* 60% of the revenue of those orders is for twin-isle airliners.
* 17,000 worldwide airliner fleet will increase to 35,000 over
next 20 years.
* 9,600 replacement aircraft will be required over the next 20
years.
* Since 1980 worldwide air travel has increased 350% largely
through the use of more aircraft, rather than larger aircraft.
* In 1990 China there were 2,000 flights per week between Chinese
cities. By 2000 that increased to 12,000 flights per week. In
2006 that increased 29,000 flights per week, while average
airplane size has gone down.
* Large airliner fleet is only 10% and predicted to decline in
favor of smaller aircraft.
So it would seem that Boeing is predicting the worldwide airline fleet
to double within the next 20 years. Is there any wonder that Boeing
is pushing for ATC modernization? Imagine the NAS with twice as many
airliners in flight at any given time. Clearly that is not possible
with the current technology and infrastructure. And with UAVs poised
to start filling the NAS with freight haulers, the NAS is going to
become even more congested well before 20 years hence.
While Boeing's solution is to increase the capacity of the NAS, would
it make more sense to just put a cap on the number of concurrent
flights? What would be the downside to such a restriction?
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On Tue, 08 May 2007 23:45:28 GMT, Larry Dighera
wrote in :
Here may be an opportunity to see what Boeing has in store for us or
at least get some information about what's on Boeing Marketing's
agenda.
The Boeing Company
http://www.boeing.com/news/releases/index.html
Boeing Executive to Speak at Analyst Conference
CHICAGO, May 08, 2007 -- Boeing Commercial Airplanes Marketing
Director Drew Magill will speak to the Merrill Lynch 9th Annual
Global Industries Conference in London on Wednesday, May 9, 2007.
He is expected to discuss Boeing Commercial Airplanes'
performance, strategy and outlook.
A live audio webcast http://www.wsw.com/webcast/ml64/ba/ of Mr.
Magill's remarks will be available on the Internet at 9:20 a.m.
GMT.
Individuals should check the web sites ahead of time to ensure
their computers are configured for the audio stream.
You have to provide your name, company, and e-mail address to view the
live web cast. http://www.wsw.com/webcast/ml64/ba/