"Chad Irby" wrote...

I think it *did* hit from above the wing. WIth the flight path we saw
in the videos, it probably came in from the side, aiming at that
outboard engine, and the tip of the wing got in the way.

I didn't see the videos. Your scenario is plausible in a couple variations.

However, it is also possible that the missile came from low and to the left
(more likely from a close-range shot), tracking on the engine plume, and fuzed
on the wing. The frag pattern could have been radial from the missile
trajectory, missing everything on the airplane except the aft portion of the
wing (though I would also expect some hits on the belly or horizontal stab,
which I could not see in any of the pix). The remains of the missile body could
have missed the airplane completely.