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"Thomas Schoene" wrote in message ink.net...
s.p.i. wrote: "Thomas Schoene" wrote in message nk.net... s.p.i. wrote: (Darrell A. Larose) wrote in message ... Global Security has a good illustration of the 737 MMA at: http://www.globalsecurity.org/milita.../mma-boeing.jp g or if this wraps try: http://tinyurl.com/yveo Boeing needs to update their info(is the old info a sign of the company's disarray?). That's not a Boeing website, you know. True, but they still have this out there... http://www.boeing.com/ids/allsystems...3/story09.html Well, yes. But it's a periodical newsletter (though it doesn't have a date on it). What shoud they dio, rewrite all their old press releases and newsletters every time a program changes? That would sort of undermine the value of these as historical records, wouldn't it? (Not to mention eating up huge amounts of resources.) Well, I'm certainly on record for maintaining historical posterity... However, this is as much about commercial marketing for commercial purposes (selling 737 NGs)so I'm pretty surprised they haven't touted thier offering more. For a view on the cynical nature of these companies'(one of them at least) aircraft offerings for a current project, check this out: http://www.lexingtoninstitute.org/defense/031211.asp |
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s.p.i. wrote:
Well, I'm certainly on record for maintaining historical posterity... However, this is as much about commercial marketing for commercial purposes (selling 737 NGs)so I'm pretty surprised they haven't touted thier offering more. I think the Boeing plan is to concentrate more on swaying the actual users -- hence the barnstorming trips. IMO, this is probably a better (or at least more palatable) way to spend their marketing money. For a view on the cynical nature of these companies'(one of them at least) aircraft offerings for a current project, check this out: http://www.lexingtoninstitute.org/defense/031211.asp I'm not quite sure what lesson is to be drawn here. Cost vs performance is a perfectly valid issue. As long as they fulfil the threshold requirements, there's always a trade space where aircraft performance can be balanced against cost. I will point out the Lexington is not an unbiased source. They are, frankly, paid marketeers. (I know, I've been in a similar business myself, and our group did some business with Lexington.) -- Tom Schoene Replace "invalid" with "net" to e-mail "If brave men and women never died, there would be nothing special about bravery." -- Andy Rooney (attributed) |
#3
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"Thomas Schoene" wrote in message hlink.net...
s.p.i. wrote: Well, I'm certainly on record for maintaining historical posterity... However, this is as much about commercial marketing for commercial purposes (selling 737 NGs)so I'm pretty surprised they haven't touted thier offering more. I think the Boeing plan is to concentrate more on swaying the actual users -- hence the barnstorming trips. IMO, this is probably a better (or at least more palatable) way to spend their marketing money. For a view on the cynical nature of these companies'(one of them at least) aircraft offerings for a current project, check this out: http://www.lexingtoninstitute.org/defense/031211.asp I'm not quite sure what lesson is to be drawn here. Cost vs performance is a perfectly valid issue. As long as they fulfil the threshold requirements, there's always a trade space where aircraft performance can be balanced against cost. The lesson is, when cost becomes the overarching factor in weapons system procurement, bad things will eventually happen. Keeping the shareholders happy seems to be a more important consideration than the combat effectiveness of the airframes being offered. Of course ISR assets have always gotten the short shrift when it comes to survivability. During the Cold War (and even more recently off Hainan Island), when they met hostile misfortune, it was because of a miscalculation by one side or the other. Now that they are taking on a more tactical role, the probability of ISR assets taking fire is increasing significantly(OP-2E reprise). The role of these aircraft in achieving combat objectives is also increasing. Given the fact that only very limited numbers of these aircraft will be procured, and increasingly very limited numbers of skilled people will be available to man them, keeping these missions on vulnerable airframes is going to prove a tragically false economy one day. Its a bit of a tangential example, but the loss of the Atlantic Conveyor and the subsequent severe impact to the Brit's operational plan is one such case of using a vulnerable civil platform in a hostile environment that turned out very badly. I will point out the Lexington is not an unbiased source. They are, frankly, paid marketeers. (I know, I've been in a similar business myself, and our group did some business with Lexington.) So do you think Lexington is in the employ of Northrop Grumman? |
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s.p.i. wrote:
"Thomas Schoene" wrote I will point out the Lexington is not an unbiased source. They are, frankly, paid marketeers. (I know, I've been in a similar business myself, and our group did some business with Lexington.) So do you think Lexington is in the employ of Northrop Grumman? I think it's possible. Or more precisely, I think NG gives them money and expects to see favorable comments. -- Tom Schoene Replace "invalid" with "net" to e-mail "If brave men and women never died, there would be nothing special about bravery." -- Andy Rooney (attributed) |
#5
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"Thomas Schoene" wrote in message hlink.net...
s.p.i. wrote: "Thomas Schoene" wrote I will point out the Lexington is not an unbiased source. They are, frankly, paid marketeers. (I know, I've been in a similar business myself, and our group did some business with Lexington.) So do you think Lexington is in the employ of Northrop Grumman? I think it's possible. Or more precisely, I think NG gives them money and expects to see favorable comments. So, are you-or your employer-somehow affiliated with Boeing? You seem to favor their MMA offering. BTW I have worked for Boeing, Gulfstream, LM, and Embraer customers at various times, so I know a bit about their offerings. The bottom line is in order to save costs, folks are turning to these civil airframes and shoehorning them into roles they are not all that well suited for. Reading the little info LM is providing on the Orion-21, I see they want to make it inot a glass cokpit aircraft as well. Will they also engineer in the requisite toughness for a survivable electrical system? Or are too many people of the opinion that since no P-3s have been lost to hostile fire in 50 years, its not something to worry about for the next 50? If so, they are setting somebody up for needless losses somewhere down the road. |
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"...since no P-3s have been lost to hostile fire in 50 years..."
I wonder where you got your information from, try http://www.vpnavy.com/vp26_mishap.html , second entry from bottom. Also, see http://www.beernabeer.com/First.htm Cheers, Dano, VP-26 alumni 83-89 "s.p.i." wrote in message om... "Thomas Schoene" wrote in message hlink.net... s.p.i. wrote: "Thomas Schoene" wrote I will point out the Lexington is not an unbiased source. They are, frankly, paid marketeers. (I know, I've been in a similar business myself, and our group did some business with Lexington.) So do you think Lexington is in the employ of Northrop Grumman? I think it's possible. Or more precisely, I think NG gives them money and expects to see favorable comments. So, are you-or your employer-somehow affiliated with Boeing? You seem to favor their MMA offering. BTW I have worked for Boeing, Gulfstream, LM, and Embraer customers at various times, so I know a bit about their offerings. The bottom line is in order to save costs, folks are turning to these civil airframes and shoehorning them into roles they are not all that well suited for. Reading the little info LM is providing on the Orion-21, I see they want to make it inot a glass cokpit aircraft as well. Will they also engineer in the requisite toughness for a survivable electrical system? Or are too many people of the opinion that since no P-3s have been lost to hostile fire in 50 years, its not something to worry about for the next 50? If so, they are setting somebody up for needless losses somewhere down the road. |
#7
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"dano" wrote in message ...
"...since no P-3s have been lost to hostile fire in 50 years..." I wonder where you got your information from, try http://www.vpnavy.com/vp26_mishap.html , second entry from bottom. Also, see http://www.beernabeer.com/First.htm Cheers, Dano, VP-26 alumni 83-89 mea culpa...You know, when I sent that last post there was a little nagging feeling that I should've the Market Time histories. May those souls rest in peace. However, this simply buttresses my case. Where was this P-3-and also the only other P-3 combat casualty-lost? In a Littoral conflict. Where is the MMA expected to spend much of its service life...? |
#8
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s.p.i. wrote:
"Thomas Schoene" wrote in message hlink.net... s.p.i. wrote: "Thomas Schoene" wrote I will point out the Lexington is not an unbiased source. They are, frankly, paid marketeers. (I know, I've been in a similar business myself, and our group did some business with Lexington.) So do you think Lexington is in the employ of Northrop Grumman? I think it's possible. Or more precisely, I think NG gives them money and expects to see favorable comments. So, are you-or your employer-somehow affiliated with Boeing? No, I am not. I can't speak for the whole company, of course, but I don't have any knowledge of any MMA interests. I have done some work tangentially rrelated to MMA, but nothing that gives mae a financial stak in which company wins. When I do have a potential conflict (as has happened when I worked for a company supporting specific Navy commands) I have tried to either disclose my interests or refrain from commenting. You seem to favor their MMA offering. No, I don't. As I've said at least once, I'm largely playing devil's advocate. I will admit that I tend to be frustrated when people argue that the way we've always done things is the only possible answer for the future. So I do tend to favor "different" over "more of the same." I guess I'm also optimistic that companies don't offer solutions that they don't sincerely believe will do the job. Perhaps that's naive of me, but the conter-arguemrnt that cmoanies offer cut-rate products kowing that they will result in fatalities does not match the character of the people I've worked with. BTW I have worked for Boeing, Gulfstream, LM, and Embraer customers at various times, so I know a bit about their offerings. The bottom line is in order to save costs, folks are turning to these civil airframes and shoehorning them into roles they are not all that well suited for. You seem to be forgetting that the Orion was a civil airframe (it's basically an Electra, after all.) Whether a given airframe is survivable clearly has a lot more to do with detailed design than a simple "military vs. civilian" distinction. Reading the little info LM is providing on the Orion-21, I see they want to make it inot a glass cokpit aircraft as well. Will they also engineer in the requisite toughness for a survivable electrical system? Glass cockpits are not exactly foreign to combat aircraft. If the Orion-21's cockpit systems are related to those of the C-130J, I'd have fairly high confidence in their durability. Or are too many people of the opinion that since no P-3s have been lost to hostile fire in 50 years, its not something to worry about for the next 50? If so, they are setting somebody up for needless losses somewhere down the road. I'm not sure that "saving costs" isn't a necessary part of the acquisition process. In a long-term analysis, perhaps we need to shave airframe costs to ensure there are enough operational aircraft to cover he eventualities. It's probably impossible to do a complete risk/cost assessment, but you can certainly argue that having more MMA airframes might be worth a slightly higher combat loss rate, if those extra planes provide significant operational advantages. If, for example, having more MMAs prevents the loss of a single transport ship carrying a batttalion of troops and equipment, then you may want to accept losing a couple more MMAs over their combat life. That's a cold calculation, and unlikely to appeal to the operators, but it is something planners need to think about. -- Tom Schoene Replace "invalid" with "net" to e-mail "If brave men and women never died, there would be nothing special about bravery." -- Andy Rooney (attributed) |
#9
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"Thomas Schoene" wrote in message
No, I don't. As I've said at least once, I'm largely playing devil's advocate. Me too. I see problems with both offerings...Maybe it will be BAMS to The Rescue. I had the interesting perspective of seeing both a next-gen 737 and a P-3 on approach into two seperate airports in view at the same time a little bit ago. It put a little reality into these idle ponderings. I will admit that I tend to be frustrated when people argue that the way we've always done things is the only possible answer for the future. So I do tend to favor "different" over "more of the same." Me too(I am proud to say I've been Plonked By Fred). The one major thing I see here as "more of the same" is the lack of thought given to the potential of these aircraft taking battle damage. I guess I'm also optimistic that companies don't offer solutions that they don't sincerely believe will do the job. Perhaps that's naive of me, but the conter-arguemrnt that cmoanies offer cut-rate products kowing that they will result in fatalities does not match the character of the people I've worked with. Boeing's recent corporate behavior doesn't leave me as optimistic. They have been overly focused on keeping their shareholders happy-ethics be damned. In some quarters that has been defended, but there is a real downside. I'm not saying there is some Oliver Stone-esque corporate strategy to kill people for for profit; but I will say that Boeing's main motivation is to keep their civil transport production lines open. Add in the motivation of those on the military side to keep costs low so they can get their babies through Congress, and you have a bad combination. You seem to be forgetting that the Orion was a civil airframe (it's basically an Electra, after all.) Whether a given airframe is survivable clearly has a lot more to do with detailed design than a simple "military vs. civilian" distinction. No, I'm not forgetting. Its my point exactly. The detailed designs of the Boeings and Embraers are based on the possibility of failure, not damage. Whereas military designs are required by law to undergo live fire testing, programs such as the MMA, KC767, ACS, et all are apparently exempt. Yet its these platforms that are being thurst into new tactical scenarios where they could well take rounds. They will be WARplanes and should be reagrded as such. Glass cockpits are not exactly foreign to combat aircraft. If the Orion-21's cockpit systems are related to those of the C-130J, I'd have fairly high confidence in their durability. I can't speak for the C-130J, but the avionics of the F-18 and F-22 are specifically hardened against potential damage. From what I've personally seen on the Boeing and Embraer offerings, one round could put them completely in the dark. None these aircraft are expected to fly that way-and won't for too long. The COTS aspects of these flight systems is a major selling point, so its apparent that nothing is going to be done to harden them. That's a cold calculation, and unlikely to appeal to the operators, but it is something planners need to think about. Absolutely, they need to think about such things, but historically planners have not given much regard to aircraft vulnerability. For instance, it was a big problem in Vietnam and thats why these people came into existence: http://www.bahdayton.com/surviac/mission.htm. Even now you get the sense that the people in this business don't get the respect they deserve: http://www.dtic.mil/ndia/aircraft/ For tomorrow, we can only afford "just enough" airframes, manned by "just enough" people. We won't have the luxury of surplus that we have enjoyed in past conflicts. So we'd better get it right the first time. http://www.dtic.mil/ndia/aircraft/6.pdf |
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