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![]() "Gary Drescher" wrote in message news:_LvNb.59755$5V2.69373@attbi_s53... Not necessarily. You're right that the statistics reflect an unknown number of dumb decisions that you and I might never make. But they also reflect an unknown number of instances where a pilot escaped harm by exercising better skill or judgment than you or I possess. We don't know which factor predominates, so we don't know if our personal risk is greater or less than what the raw stats show. At the CAA safety evenings in the UK, they open up the discussion with the lecturer explaining saying hello, and that just by turning up, even if they didn't stay for the lecture, they're 20 (or was it 15, can't remember) times less likely to suffer a fatality than average. Nothing magical about turning up, just that people who are interested in safety in flying are those who aren't likely to have the accidents...they know what causes fatal accidents and avoid such situations. Paul |
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"Paul Sengupta" wrote in message
... At the CAA safety evenings in the UK, they open up the discussion with the lecturer explaining saying hello, and that just by turning up, even if they didn't stay for the lecture, they're 20 (or was it 15, can't Sorry, I wasn't concentrating when I wrote that! Let's try again: The lecturer opens the discussion by saying hello and explaining that just by turning up... Paul |
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"Paul Sengupta" wrote in message
... At the CAA safety evenings in the UK, they open up the discussion with the lecturer explaining saying hello, and that just by turning up, even if they didn't stay for the lecture, they're 20 (or was it 15, can't remember) times less likely to suffer a fatality than average. That would be an astonishing correlation, if true. Does the lecturer cite any data to support the notion that it's true? (Even if these pilots have ZERO chance of ever making a mistake of any kind, that would still make them only 3 or 4 times less likely than average to suffer a fatality.) --Gary |
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