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Michael,
Actually, that's not true at all. FATALITY rates have improved dramatically; accident rates are actually up. Huh? You're saying there are more fatalities per miles driven, persons transported, cars in the system or whatever other meaningful rate you like to chose? It ain't so. -- Thomas Borchert (EDDH) |
#2
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On Mon, 12 Apr 2004 at 19:53:19 in message
, Thomas Borchert wrote: Both car and GA accident rates have dramatically declined with technical improvements to safety over the last decades. This expert is simply not supported by the numbers. I was convinced that that was the main effect until I read a book called 'Risk' by John Adams. Now I do believe in risk compensation and the possibility, for example that better and safer cars may lead to more accidents to pedestrians. The biggest factor for cars appears to be that the more traffic there is, then the more the accident rate falls. In the UK the highest annual road fatalities were in 1926. From then a steady decline took place until the last couple of years. The only exception to that was the war years when exceptional factors sent accidents through the roof. (Example: complete darkness everywhere at night and vehicles with almost non-existent head lights.) -- David CL Francis |
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