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OK, having read through this thread for awhile, I might as well chime in
with a few observations: 1) Roll the dice often enough, and they will eventually come up snake-eyes. The question is whether they are likely to do that before something else gets you. Most people want to make it more likely that they will die of cancer or heart disease than in an airplane crash. Apparently we want to die slowly and old. 2) Here in the Pacific Northwest, flying at night in the mountains is dangerous, no question about it. Indeed, the mountain ranges around here are possibly some of the most dangerous in the world. The trouble is, flying anywhere around here at night as not much better. The whole area is mountainous, heavily forested, with large tracts of water that is barely above freezing year 'round. Visible emergency landing areas at night are few and far between. Low ceilings, low freezing levels, haze, mountain obscuration, micro-climates with weather wildly different from anything forecast -- these are the norm around here. Many students around here manage to log over an hour of actual IFR before they get their private certificate. On top of that, the days get real short and real dark during the winter, so restricting yourself to daytime flight is difficult. 3) Even if you live through an emergency landing at night in this area, the odds of surviving until you are found are vanishingly small, especially considering that most pilots do nothing to increase their chances of survival. They fly without jackets or coats, take no survival gear, have no way of signaling rescuers, etc. You are going to be wet and cold and probably injured. Not good. OK, if you want to die slowly and old, don't fly at night in the Pacific Northwest, especially in the mountains. If you don't want to kill your son or anybody else, don't take them with you when you fly little single engine airplanes at night in the mountains around here. But even if you don't give a rip about yourself or anybody else, I would ask you not to do it anyway. Too many good people are killed every year trying to rescue selfish, thoughtless bozos who thought they were invulnerable to the laws of averages. |
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