Plane Watching

Well let's see - An NTSB database research shows eight crashes at Leominster
in the past 40 years. So what you have to do is find a good spot, stand
there, or sit, but do not sleep. You may not divert your attention at any
time, even for a moment. Theoretically, within five years (43,800 hours) you
should see at least an incident, if you do not lower you level of vigilance
for even one of those 2.6 million minutes.

Of course, probably no more than any two or three of these incidents would
have been visible from any one vantage point, so you will have to chose
carefully, and probably increase your wait time expectation by at least
10,000 hours. General aviation safety records have improved significantly in
the past 40 years as well - pad another 20,000 hours to your wait time
expectation.

You may choose to believe that the recent incidents there (you cite seven in
as many years) represent more than a coincidence, perhaps an identifiable
trend. So go for it! If you think one per year is a good bet, that's only
8760 hours (still add the "right spot at the right time" multiplier though
- say 12,000 hours expected wait time).

I think you're on to something. I would strongly suggest you do this.
Don't forget to send us your videos!

G Faris