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Five years ago, I would have agreed wholeheartedly with Gordon. Heck,
three years ago I would have agreed. But these days I have a whole lot better idea what it takes to develop, tool, and manufacture aircraft components. At this point I think I qualify for a .org domain on the basis of non-profit operation. An aircraft, even a light sport aircraft, represents a whole lot more than a pile of aluminum or composite materials. It has to be designed and developed. And even if it's not certificated, it does have to be tested. It has to be manufactured. And, for most folks, the designer, developer, tester, and manufacturer all want to get paid for their work. As do the companies that supply the materials. As does the landlord for the facility where the development and manufacturing takes place. As do the companies that sell the engines, bearings, transparencies, office supplies, and hardware that it takes to manufacture the aircraft. As does the bank that rents the money to the company so that they can buy stuff and generally get by. It all adds up, and it sure as hell adds up faster than anyone wants it to. But airplanes are basically hand-built, and will continue to be so for the forseeable future. Real volume production? That's for consumer items sold into markets where a walk through the oceans of most souls would scarcely get your feet wet. And, Gordon, I wish I had good news, but all signs point the other way: Aircraft take energy to make, and energy costs are rising acros the board. For the podunky little glider kit I'm developing, when I cost it out, about 25% of its price tag is hooked straight to oil. So even if I can hit its price target of $17,500 Y2K, balanced for inflation and oil it comes in at about $26000 of today's dollars (16 September 2005). The signs are that oil will likely (no promises!) tend to plateau out there for a while, but I don't see it taking any major dives. And the next time it starts to rise, I'm guessing there will be no reversals until we're buying French fusion technology and slurrying coal and old asphalt to make plastic resins. Sure, if you don't mind investing some effort and taking some risks, you can likely beat the market by a substantial margin. Just choose out a reputable design, buy the kit, build it and fly. But don't count the hours of time it takes to build, and for sure never multiply that effort by any decent hourly wage. Hand-building stuff never comes either easy or cheap. Thanks, and best regards to all bob K. http://www.hpaircraft.com/hp-24 |
#2
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Bob Kuykendall wrote:
hours of time it takes to build, and for sure never multiply that effort by any decent hourly wage. Hand-building stuff never comes either easy or cheap. A nitpick, about your statement "decent hourly wage," that reinforces your point- If the folks putting in the work hand building said aircraft are any good at it, they'll probably demand (and be able to command as premium labor) more than just a "decent hourly wage." Meantime they also need to be trained. With normal turnover the new ones need to be trained (using use up the time of the old experienced ones). In a manegerial sense, good people in a workforce cost a lot of money but are usually a relative bargain when you consider the cost of bad people (employees who are a net liability). There are a lot of idiots out there, and some make it through a hiring process. And so on and so on, like you said hand-building isn't cheap. |
#3
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In article .com, "Bob Kuykendall" wrote:
Five years ago, I would have agreed wholeheartedly with Gordon. Heck, three years ago I would have agreed. But these days I have a whole lot better idea what it takes to develop, tool, and manufacture aircraft components. At this point I think I qualify for a .org domain on the basis of non-profit operation. snip stuff about increasing costs As a relative newcomer to (small) aircraft manufacturing who is still digesting the ramifications of the Sport Pilot rule as it applies to manufacturers, I unfortunately have to agree with Bob K. While it very well may be true that some manufacturers (and importers) are looking to take undue advantage of Sport Pilot as an excuse to raise prices, for the smaller kit manufacturer there definitely are going to be substantial costs involved. Couple those with the rising costs of raw materials (aluminum), and transportation (fuel) and prices are bound to rise. For those looking to purchase something along the line of a "fat ultralight", (I can't speak for those 100K jobs) it may be worth thinking about buying sooner, rather than later, and then converting to E-LSA by the 2008 deadline, if that works for you. Realize that even for a manufacturer to produce a from-the-factory E-LSA kit, that manufacturer must first bear the cost of building and certifying that exact plane configuration as a ready-to-fly S-LSA. Ultimately many of us do it as a labor of love, but it will still have to pay the bills. Rob S. www.sport-flight.com |
#4
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Hello Bob!!! I can only agree with you on the cost of design and
manufacturing of todays aircraft of all types. It seams like this aviation stuff is fast becoming a rich mans sport as with all other types of transportation vehicles to. Also the cost of fuel , oil, and parts today are a major problem to. Maybe someday everything will get back to normal, what ever that is. Take Care. Ron |
#5
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![]() "rons321" wrote in message oups.com... Hello Bob!!! I can only agree with you on the cost of design and manufacturing of todays aircraft of all types. It seams like this aviation stuff is fast becoming a rich mans sport as with all other types of transportation vehicles to. Also the cost of fuel , oil, and parts today are a major problem to. Maybe someday everything will get back to normal, what ever that is. Take Care. Ron Back to normal? When was flying not a rich man's, and if not a rich man's at least a fairly well off man's sport? |
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