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Peter Duniho wrote:
"Jessica Taylor" wrote in message ... If you had ever studied statistics, you would know that is not true. That is why sample sizes are less than population sizes, and how confidence levels are relevant. I have studied statistics. Statistics are only relevant if you are trying to make a statement about some proportion of a population. Not true. The very foundation of Statistics is infering facts about an entire population through the use of a much smaller representative sample. A blanket generalization is necessarily about 100% of the population, and the only way to actually *prove* something about 100% of the population is to survey the entire population. Not true. We can prove that a medicine is effective at treating a malady without testing its effectiveness on 100% of its population. We can prove that chronic smokers have a higher risk of bladder and lung cancers than their peers who have never smoked without needing to find the entire populations of smokers and non smokers. Statistics has nothing to do with it. Not true but then again, I don't believe that the original poster said 100%. |
#2
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"Jessica Taylor" wrote in message
... Not true. The very foundation of Statistics is infering facts about an entire population through the use of a much smaller representative sample. The "facts" that one infers describe a known *portion* of the population. You cannot prove anything about 100% of a population with statistics. It is impossible. Not true. We can prove that a medicine is effective at treating a malady without testing its effectiveness on 100% of its population. You cannot use statistics to prove that a medicine will be effective on 100% of the population. We can prove that chronic smokers have a higher risk of bladder and lung cancers than their peers who have never smoked without needing to find the entire populations of smokers and non smokers. The very term "risk" precludes an absolute statement about 100% of the population. That's why statistics can be used to describe risk. You can use statistics to prove "risk", but you cannot use statistics to prove actual outcomes. In this example, you cannot use statistics to prove that 100% of chronic smokers WILL have bladder and lung cancers. The best you can do is prove that it is likely a certain percentage of them will. Those are two different things. If you fail to comprehend that, you have no idea what statistics actually is. Statistics has nothing to do with it. Not true but then again, I don't believe that the original poster said 100%. Any blanket generalization is necessarily applied to the entire population. That's why blanket generalizations are so offensive in the first place. I'm not surprised you're having trouble understanding this. You're a woman. Those people are the least mathematically inclined around! Pete |
#3
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Peter Duniho wrote:
"Jessica Taylor" wrote in message ... Not true. The very foundation of Statistics is infering facts about an entire population through the use of a much smaller representative sample. The "facts" that one infers describe a known *portion* of the population. You cannot prove anything about 100% of a population with statistics. It is impossible. Again, the only one who is tossing "100%" around is you. Not true. We can prove that a medicine is effective at treating a malady without testing its effectiveness on 100% of its population. You cannot use statistics to prove that a medicine will be effective on 100% of the population. So what? That is what confidence intervals are for. But you already knew that, right? We can prove that chronic smokers have a higher risk of bladder and lung cancers than their peers who have never smoked without needing to find the entire populations of smokers and non smokers. The very term "risk" precludes an absolute statement about 100% of the population. That's why statistics can be used to describe risk. You can use statistics to prove "risk", but you cannot use statistics to prove actual outcomes. In this example, you cannot use statistics to prove that 100% of chronic smokers WILL have bladder and lung cancers. The best you can do is prove that it is likely a certain percentage of them will. Of course you cannot prove something that is not true. Those are two different things. If you fail to comprehend that, you have no idea what statistics actually is. Statistics has nothing to do with it. Not true but then again, I don't believe that the original poster said 100%. Any blanket generalization is necessarily applied to the entire population. Maybe. That's why blanket generalizations are so offensive in the first place. Sort of like somebody stating that they know their politics will be different because they "are from mass [sic]," right? I'm not surprised you're having trouble understanding this. You're a woman. Those people are the least mathematically inclined around! I understand just fine, thank you. |
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"Jessica Taylor" wrote in message
... Again, the only one who is tossing "100%" around is you. You wish that were the case, obviously. Any blanket generalization is necessarily applied to the entire population. Maybe. No maybe about it. By definition. That's why blanket generalizations are so offensive in the first place. Sort of like somebody stating that they know their politics will be different because they "are from mass [sic]," right? Yes, much like that. So? I understand just fine, thank you. Clearly, you do not. You're welcome. Pete |
#5
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Peter Duniho wrote:
"Jessica Taylor" wrote in message ... Again, the only one who is tossing "100%" around is you. You wish that were the case, obviously. I have no need to wish. Any blanket generalization is necessarily applied to the entire population. Maybe. No maybe about it. By definition. Whose definition? That's why blanket generalizations are so offensive in the first place. Sort of like somebody stating that they know their politics will be different because they "are from mass [sic]," right? Yes, much like that. So? You stated no quarrel with that generalization in this same thread. You were claiming that blanket generalizations are "so offensive." How so? I understand just fine, thank you. Clearly, you do not. You're welcome. "Do not...". There is not even any indication of what you think you are talking about. |
#6
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"Jessica Taylor" wrote in message
... I have no need to wish. Lack of need is no indication of lack of doing. No maybe about it. By definition. Whose definition? By the definition of the words. "Generalization" has a specific meaning, that is to generalize, or to infer a general conclusion. The word "blanket" means to cover completely. *Completely*. A "blanket generalization" is a generalization that applies the generalization completely. You stated no quarrel with that generalization in this same thread. Well, first of all, I'm under no obligation to respond to everything I disagree with. Do not infer that I condone everything to which I don't explicitly disagree. Secondly, the question at hand is whether Jay should have had any reason to expect the other person to respond negatively and whether Jay should have thought twice before stating the generalization in the first place. Unlike others, I am trying to stay focused on that question. Offensive generalizations posted by others within this thread have nothing to do with the actual topic at hand, and I see no reason to waste my time on them. You were claiming that blanket generalizations are "so offensive." How so? I find it amazing that I should have to explain why a blanket generalization is offensive (and in particular, insulting generalizations...I admit, most people aren't offended when they are part of a group that someone claims has some positive characteristic, but that's not what we're talking about here). This is basic kindergarten stuff, IMHO. Anyone with a proper upbringing should understand why it's not nice to say mean things about someone, and especially about a large population generally. If you can't comprehend this, then I believe it is hopeless to try to explain the specifics of the situation to you. You don't even understand the underlying concepts. I understand just fine, thank you. Clearly, you do not. You're welcome. "Do not...". There is not even any indication of what you think you are talking about. Of course there is an indication. It's the reason I quoted your text. Again, I find it amazing this needs to be explained to you, but since your comprehension level is so low, here it is, spelled out: "Clearly, you do not UNDERSTAND JUST FINE." (Note words taken directly from the quoted text to which my text referred). Pete |
#7
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![]() Peter Duniho wrote: "Jessica Taylor" wrote in message ... I have no need to wish. Lack of need is no indication of lack of doing. Irrelevant. No maybe about it. By definition. Whose definition? By the definition of the words. "Generalization" has a specific meaning, that is to generalize, or to infer a general conclusion. The word "blanket" means to cover completely. *Completely*. A "blanket generalization" is a generalization that applies the generalization completely. Yes, blanket, as in "generalizations are so offensive." You stated no quarrel with that generalization in this same thread. Well, first of all, I'm under no obligation to respond to everything I disagree with. Do not infer that I condone everything to which I don't explicitly disagree. Secondly, the question at hand is whether Jay should have had any reason to expect the other person to respond negatively and whether Jay should have thought twice before stating the generalization in the first place. Unlike others, I am trying to stay focused on that question. Offensive generalizations posted by others within this thread have nothing to do with the actual topic at hand, and I see no reason to waste my time on them. You were claiming that blanket generalizations are "so offensive." How so? I find it amazing that I should have to explain why a blanket generalization is offensive (and in particular, insulting generalizations...I admit, most people aren't offended when they are part of a group that someone claims has some positive characteristic, but that's not what we're talking about here). Actually, you made a blanket generalization that generalizations are offensive. This is basic kindergarten stuff, IMHO. Anyone with a proper upbringing should understand why it's not nice to say mean things about someone, and especially about a large population generally. Now you are making another generalization about "anyone with a proper upbringing." If you can't comprehend this, then I believe it is hopeless to try to explain the specifics of the situation to you. That's not nice, Pete. You don't even understand the underlying concepts. Incorrect. I understand just fine, thank you. Clearly, you do not. You're welcome. "Do not...". There is not even any indication of what you think you are talking about. Of course there is an indication. It's the reason I quoted your text. Again, I find it amazing this needs to be explained to you, but since your comprehension level is so low, here it is, spelled out: "Clearly, you do not UNDERSTAND JUST FINE." (Note words taken directly from the quoted text to which my text referred). Clearly, I do, and I also note that you continue to make generalizations while railing about generalizations. |
#8
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On Sat, 11 Nov 2006 16:12:34 -0800, "Peter Duniho"
wrote: "Jessica Taylor" wrote in message ... Not true. The very foundation of Statistics is infering facts about an entire population through the use of a much smaller representative sample. The "facts" that one infers describe a known *portion* of the population. You cannot prove anything about 100% of a population with statistics. It is impossible. Not true. We can prove that a medicine is effective at treating a malady without testing its effectiveness on 100% of its population. Isn't that "We can show within a specific margin of error (probability) what we can expect from the general population?" You cannot use statistics to prove that a medicine will be effective on 100% of the population. The two of you are using different definitions of proof. Stastical proof and absolute proof. When it comes to stastics there are usually exceptions to a proof. It's sorta like side effects from medication. Even when less than the placeibo they still have to be listed which generally means those side effects were probably "all in their head" or elsewhere. We can prove that chronic smokers have a higher risk of bladder and lung cancers than their peers who have never smoked without needing to find the entire populations of smokers and non smokers. The very term "risk" precludes an absolute statement about 100% of the population. That's why statistics can be used to describe risk. You can use statistics to prove "risk", but you cannot use statistics to prove actual outcomes. In this example, you cannot use statistics to prove that 100% of chronic smokers WILL have bladder and lung cancers. The best you can do is prove that it is likely a certain percentage of them will. Those are two different things. If you fail to comprehend that, you have no idea what statistics actually is. Statistics has nothing to do with it. Not true but then again, I don't believe that the original poster said 100%. Any blanket generalization is necessarily applied to the entire population. That's why blanket generalizations are so offensive in the first place. I'm not surprised you're having trouble understanding this. You're a woman. Those people are the least mathematically inclined around! Pete Roger Halstead (K8RI & ARRL life member) (N833R, S# CD-2 Worlds oldest Debonair) www.rogerhalstead.com |
#9
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Wadda maroon...
mike "Jessica Taylor" wrote in message ... Not true. The very foundation of Statistics is infering facts about an entire population through the use of a much smaller representative sample. |
#10
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mike regish wrote:
Wadda maroon... mike "Jessica Taylor" wrote in message ... Not true. The very foundation of Statistics is infering facts about an entire population through the use of a much smaller representative sample. ??? Can you actually support any of your statements, or you just prefer to make callow drive-by comments? |
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