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#1
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Could be a trend too. I think I heard on CNN a week or so ago, that WalMart
reported the largest single month sales decline in 20 years or so. Our business is level which, considering the addition of three major, government-funded hotels in our market, we consider a "victory". Of course, this comes after four years of double-digit growth, so suddenly going flat "feels" like losing... I think gas prices are really, really hurting the "common man". I've got housekeepers and desk staff who have seen a HUGE increase in their driving expense, with no compensating increase in wages. This shortfall has to be made up somewhere -- so I suspect we're seeing Wal- Mart (and other stores) get hit by the back wash. IMHO, the big-box restaurant chains ("Applebees" and such) will get hit the worst in an economic downturn. That's where a lot of discretionary American income gets ****ed away nowadays, and it'll be the first thing eliminated. -- Jay Honeck Iowa City, IA Pathfinder N56993 www.AlexisParkInn.com "Your Aviation Destination" |
#2
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![]() "Jay Honeck" wrote in message oups.com... Our business is level which, considering the addition of three major, government-funded hotels in our market, we consider a "victory". Of course, this comes after four years of double-digit growth, so suddenly going flat "feels" like losing... I think gas prices are really, really hurting the "common man". I've got housekeepers and desk staff who have seen a HUGE increase in their driving expense, with no compensating increase in wages. This shortfall has to be made up somewhere -- so I suspect we're seeing Wal- Mart (and other stores) get hit by the back wash. IMHO, the big-box restaurant chains ("Applebees" and such) will get hit the worst in an economic downturn. That's where a lot of discretionary American income gets ****ed away nowadays, and it'll be the first thing eliminated. -- I think so too. I think everyone tried to ignore the gas hikes last year and continue business as usual as much as possible, hoping it would be temporary. Then prices backed up a bit, and kind of reassured us. But this time I think we are all having to admit to a serious problem, it's here to stay, and people are starting to react. Hopefully your business is specialized enough to fair better than most. But I'm guessing most of us are in for a whole new ballgame, at least until post election 2008. |
#3
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Jay Honeck writes:
I think gas prices are really, really hurting the "common man". I've got housekeepers and desk staff who have seen a HUGE increase in their driving expense, with no compensating increase in wages. This shortfall has to be made up somewhere ... Have them buy stock in Exxon. The money they are paying out in gas is going into shareholders' pockets. IMHO, the big-box restaurant chains ("Applebees" and such) will get hit the worst in an economic downturn. That's where a lot of discretionary American income gets ****ed away nowadays, and it'll be the first thing eliminated. Unfortunately, GA will probably go first. -- Transpose mxsmanic and gmail to reach me by e-mail. |
#4
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![]() "Mxsmanic" wrote in message ... Have them buy stock in Exxon. The money they are paying out in gas is going into shareholders' pockets. Now you are a stock expert too. Unfortunately, GA will probably go first. We know you are hoping. Did it rain out the playground, or did you screw up and take double meds again? |
#5
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Mxsmanic wrote in
: Jay Honeck writes: I think gas prices are really, really hurting the "common man". I've got housekeepers and desk staff who have seen a HUGE increase in their driving expense, with no compensating increase in wages. This shortfall has to be made up somewhere ... Have them buy stock in Exxon. The money they are paying out in gas is going into shareholders' pockets. IMHO, the big-box restaurant chains ("Applebees" and such) will get hit the worst in an economic downturn. That's where a lot of discretionary American income gets ****ed away nowadays, and it'll be the first thing eliminated. Unfortunately, GA will probably go first. No, it won't fjukktard Bertie |
#6
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Jay Honeck wrote:
Could be a trend too. I think I heard on CNN a week or so ago, that WalMart reported the largest single month sales decline in 20 years or so. Our business is level which, considering the addition of three major, government-funded hotels in our market, we consider a "victory". Of course, this comes after four years of double-digit growth, so suddenly going flat "feels" like losing... I think gas prices are really, really hurting the "common man". I've got housekeepers and desk staff who have seen a HUGE increase in their driving expense, with no compensating increase in wages. This shortfall has to be made up somewhere -- so I suspect we're seeing Wal- Mart (and other stores) get hit by the back wash. IMHO, the big-box restaurant chains ("Applebees" and such) will get hit the worst in an economic downturn. That's where a lot of discretionary American income gets ****ed away nowadays, and it'll be the first thing eliminated. Yes, but many low income folks that I know (and I live in a low income area) spend more each week on cigarettes, beer and lottery tickets than on the increase in gasoline. I drive 40 miles to work and back each day for roughly 200 miles per week not counting trips out to lunch. I drive either my Sonata (29 MPG) or my Chevy truck (17 MPG), but let's use the truck as the worst case. The truck burns say 12 gallons/week for my commute. When gas was $2/gallon this was $24/week. Now at $3.14 I pay $38/week. I'm not saying that the extra $14/week goes unnoticed, but I know people who spend far more than that each week on cigarettes alone, not counting beer and lottery tickets. So, there are many places that can be cut back, but most folks will give up cigarettes last, beer next to last and lottery tickets right before the beer! :-) And if I drive the Sonata (which I do when my daughter doesn't need our other vehicle), the difference is only about $8/week. Hardly enough to dramatically change my buying habits. And folks that live closer to work have commensurately less of a change. Matt |
#7
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At this point I'd take the $3.14 a gallon... I just filled up today for
$3.59 for 87 unleaded. I still gave a wink to the Hummer guy next to me as I topped off my Accord. :-) I sold my partner my share of our Mooney a few months ago and I honestly haven't missed it a bit. I gave aviation a fiar shot for over 6 years and came to the conclusion that the expense wasn't worth the reward. Then again it has only been a few months without flying. I am reserving the right to change my mind at any time. I do know that if I do go back to flying that renting will be the way to go for me. I sure can do a lot with the 15 AMU's a year I was spending on owning. YMMV Jon Matt Whiting wrote: Now at $3.14 I pay $38/week. |
#8
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Jon Kraus wrote:
At this point I'd take the $3.14 a gallon... I just filled up today for $3.59 for 87 unleaded. I still gave a wink to the Hummer guy next to me as I topped off my Accord. :-) I sold my partner my share of our Mooney a few months ago and I honestly haven't missed it a bit. I gave aviation a fiar shot for over 6 years and came to the conclusion that the expense wasn't worth the reward. Then again it has only been a few months without flying. I am reserving the right to change my mind at any time. I do know that if I do go back to flying that renting will be the way to go for me. I sure can do a lot with the 15 AMU's a year I was spending on owning. YMMV I would agree if renting was an option. However, of the three airports within 35 miles of my house, none currently have aircraft available for rent. The one sold its last rental 172 to a friend of mine and the owner hasn't replaced it yet. I believe he will, but at the moment renting isn't even an option. Sigh... Matt |
#9
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Then again it has only been a few months without flying. I am reserving
the right to change my mind at any time. If you can go "a few months" without flying, you were never addicted. Probably a good thing, with prices rising. At some point, we addicts will have to make some hard choices. -- Jay Honeck Iowa City, IA Pathfinder N56993 www.AlexisParkInn.com "Your Aviation Destination" |
#10
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Jay Honeck wrote:
Then again it has only been a few months without flying. I am reserving the right to change my mind at any time. If you can go "a few months" without flying, you were never addicted. Probably a good thing, with prices rising. At some point, we addicts will have to make some hard choices. That is true. I love to fly, ride motorcycles, shoot, and several other things, but I am addicted to none of them. I can, and have, gone two or more years without doing any one of them as circumstances of college or work dictated. Being addicted to anything is a bad deal and causes poor decision making. This is true whether the addiction is to your job, your hobby or a drug. Matt |
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