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On Feb 23, 1:04 pm, " wrote:
On Feb 23, 12:45 pm, "Ken S. Tucker" wrote: I think war is usually a business mistake, nowadays. Ken Right, and that is always the overriding concern that trumps the war option, I suppose? Certainly that was the case in 1861, 1914, and 1939 -- years devoid of business interests. Every time that argument comes up, I'm more and more tempted to go digging through the college textbooks I have in storage until I find one reading that mentions a very compelling book, written by a well- respected economist, that was very popular in its time. It carefully explained how, due to the interconnected nature of international trade, widespread war was now impossible because it would call too much economic damage to everyone involved. Written in 1912. -JTD |
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On Feb 25, 12:29 pm, Jeff Dougherty
wrote: On Feb 23, 1:04 pm, " wrote: On Feb 23, 12:45 pm, "Ken S. Tucker" wrote: I think war is usually a business mistake, nowadays. Ken Right, and that is always the overriding concern that trumps the war option, I suppose? Certainly that was the case in 1861, 1914, and 1939 -- years devoid of business interests. Every time that argument comes up, I'm more and more tempted to go digging through the college textbooks I have in storage until I find one reading that mentions a very compelling book, written by a well- respected economist, that was very popular in its time. It carefully explained how, due to the interconnected nature of international trade, widespread war was now impossible because it would call too much economic damage to everyone involved. Written in 1912. -JTD Messy divorces are proof that emotions trumps economic interest every time. Dan |
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On Feb 25, 12:52 pm, " wrote:
On Feb 25, 12:29 pm, Jeff Dougherty wrote: On Feb 23, 1:04 pm, " wrote: On Feb 23, 12:45 pm, "Ken S. Tucker" wrote: I think war is usually a business mistake, nowadays. Ken Right, and that is always the overriding concern that trumps the war option, I suppose? Certainly that was the case in 1861, 1914, and 1939 -- years devoid of business interests. Every time that argument comes up, I'm more and more tempted to go digging through the college textbooks I have in storage until I find one reading that mentions a very compelling book, written by a well- respected economist, that was very popular in its time. It carefully explained how, due to the interconnected nature of international trade, widespread war was now impossible because it would call too much economic damage to everyone involved. Written in 1912. -JTD Messy divorces are proof that emotions trumps economic interest every time. Dan Maybe not *every* time, but it only has to happen some of the time for Bad Things to result. It doesn't even have to be emotion, either- when you're leading a country, the economic is just one of the dimensions you have to contend with. Take the U.S. and Japan in the years just before WWII: Japan imported much more from the U.S. than she exported, and from a strictly economic point of view the best thing might have been to let Japan's campaign of conquest in Asia go on. Most of the things Japan was importing were manufactured goods as opposed to raw materials, with the exception of a few things like bauxite that weren't really present in the territories under attack anyway, so absent any U.S. interference it's likely that trade deficit would have increased, if anything, to feed Japan's war effort. From a strict making-money point of view, the thing to do would be to let Japan grab what it could- but the political consequence would have been accepting Japanese hegemony in Eastern Asia, which was unacceptable to the U.S. There are more things on heaven and Earth than are dreamt of in economics texts. -JTD |
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On Feb 25, 2:42 pm, Jeff Dougherty
wrote: On Feb 25, 12:52 pm, " wrote: On Feb 25, 12:29 pm, Jeff Dougherty wrote: On Feb 23, 1:04 pm, " wrote: On Feb 23, 12:45 pm, "Ken S. Tucker" wrote: I think war is usually a business mistake, nowadays. Ken Right, and that is always the overriding concern that trumps the war option, I suppose? Certainly that was the case in 1861, 1914, and 1939 -- years devoid of business interests. Every time that argument comes up, I'm more and more tempted to go digging through the college textbooks I have in storage until I find one reading that mentions a very compelling book, written by a well- respected economist, that was very popular in its time. It carefully explained how, due to the interconnected nature of international trade, widespread war was now impossible because it would call too much economic damage to everyone involved. Written in 1912. -JTD Messy divorces are proof that emotions trumps economic interest every time. Dan Maybe not *every* time, but it only has to happen some of the time for Bad Things to result. It doesn't even have to be emotion, either- when you're leading a country, the economic is just one of the dimensions you have to contend with. Take the U.S. and Japan in the years just before WWII: Japan imported much more from the U.S. than she exported, and from a strictly economic point of view the best thing might have been to let Japan's campaign of conquest in Asia go on. Most of the things Japan was importing were manufactured goods as opposed to raw materials, with the exception of a few things like bauxite that weren't really present in the territories under attack anyway, so absent any U.S. interference it's likely that trade deficit would have increased, if anything, to feed Japan's war effort. From a strict making-money point of view, the thing to do would be to let Japan grab what it could- but the political consequence would have been accepting Japanese hegemony in Eastern Asia, which was unacceptable to the U.S. There are more things on heaven and Earth than are dreamt of in economics texts. -JTD Wait a second ... This ahistorical drivel needs to be corrected, and fast. WW2 wasn't simply a clash of Empire. Despite the best efforts of various revisionsists, the reality was that WW2 pitted various democracies (in spite of all the imperfections of each) against totalitarian regimes that posited racial superiority as validation of their claims. Of course the US had Jim Crow and segregation at the time -- but evidence of inconsistency in application of a fundamental principal -- that All men are endowed by their creator, etc. -- does not invalidate the principal. Of course the Allies included the Stalin's dictatorship. But the enemy of my enemy is my friend. Remember -- the USSR joined the allies *after* Hitler invaded Russia in 1940. Read Paul Fussel and a host of others who realized when they opened the concentration camps (in Europe and in Asia) that theirs was a crusade -- not a mere squabble over territory. And anyone who says different is itchin for a fight. Dan |
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On Feb 25, 3:41 pm, " wrote:
On Feb 25, 2:42 pm, Jeff Dougherty It doesn't even have to be emotion, either- when you're leading a country, the economic is just one of the dimensions you have to contend with. Take the U.S. and Japan in the years just before WWII: Japan imported much more from the U.S. than she exported, and from a strictly economic point of view the best thing might have been to let Japan's campaign of conquest in Asia go on. Most of the things Japan was importing were manufactured goods as opposed to raw materials, with the exception of a few things like bauxite that weren't really present in the territories under attack anyway, so absent any U.S. interference it's likely that trade deficit would have increased, if anything, to feed Japan's war effort. From a strict making-money point of view, the thing to do would be to let Japan grab what it could- but the political consequence would have been accepting Japanese hegemony in Eastern Asia, which was unacceptable to the U.S. There are more things on heaven and Earth than are dreamt of in economics texts. -JTD Wait a second ... This ahistorical drivel needs to be corrected, and fast. WW2 wasn't simply a clash of Empire. Despite the best efforts of various revisionsists, the reality was that WW2 pitted various democracies (in spite of all the imperfections of each) against totalitarian regimes that posited racial superiority as validation of their claims. snip I think we may be in violent agreement here. :-) The point I was trying to make was that wars happen for many, many reasons, and that national leaders have to consider many, many different dimensions when they're making decisions. Reducing the entire thing to economics, as the poster I was initially replying to did, is a dangerous oversimplification. All I was doing with that part of my post is illustrating my point by looking at *one* of the other dimensions that led to war between the U.S. and the Japanese Empire in the Pacific. I did not mean to suggest that there weren't any others, or that politics alone could explain the war any more than economics could, or that the Pacific War was a "clash of Empire". (For one thing, it's a bit hard to have a "clash of Empire" when one party is in the process of giving up its empire in the area, as the U.S. was doing at the time WWII kicked off.) There are a lot of other dimensions that I could have picked, and many more if I wanted to look at the Japanese decision to attack the U.S. I was just making a point about the causes of war in general, and the dangers of looking at one particular factor as the end all and be all. As a side note, I would agree with you that anyone who says the U.S. and Japan were ideologically equivalent at the time simply hasn't done the reading. -JTD |
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On Feb 25, 4:17 pm, Jeff Dougherty
wrote: On Feb 25, 3:41 pm, " wrote: On Feb 25, 2:42 pm, Jeff Dougherty It doesn't even have to be emotion, either- when you're leading a country, the economic is just one of the dimensions you have to contend with. Take the U.S. and Japan in the years just before WWII: Japan imported much more from the U.S. than she exported, and from a strictly economic point of view the best thing might have been to let Japan's campaign of conquest in Asia go on. Most of the things Japan was importing were manufactured goods as opposed to raw materials, with the exception of a few things like bauxite that weren't really present in the territories under attack anyway, so absent any U.S. interference it's likely that trade deficit would have increased, if anything, to feed Japan's war effort. From a strict making-money point of view, the thing to do would be to let Japan grab what it could- but the political consequence would have been accepting Japanese hegemony in Eastern Asia, which was unacceptable to the U.S. There are more things on heaven and Earth than are dreamt of in economics texts. -JTD Wait a second ... This ahistorical drivel needs to be corrected, and fast. WW2 wasn't simply a clash of Empire. Despite the best efforts of various revisionsists, the reality was that WW2 pitted various democracies (in spite of all the imperfections of each) against totalitarian regimes that posited racial superiority as validation of their claims. snip I think we may be in violent agreement here. :-) The point I was trying to make was that wars happen for many, many reasons, and that national leaders have to consider many, many different dimensions when they're making decisions. Reducing the entire thing to economics, as the poster I was initially replying to did, is a dangerous oversimplification. All I was doing with that part of my post is illustrating my point by looking at *one* of the other dimensions that led to war between the U.S. and the Japanese Empire in the Pacific. I did not mean to suggest that there weren't any others, or that politics alone could explain the war any more than economics could, or that the Pacific War was a "clash of Empire". (For one thing, it's a bit hard to have a "clash of Empire" when one party is in the process of giving up its empire in the area, as the U.S. was doing at the time WWII kicked off.) There are a lot of other dimensions that I could have picked, and many more if I wanted to look at the Japanese decision to attack the U.S. I was just making a point about the causes of war in general, and the dangers of looking at one particular factor as the end all and be all. As a side note, I would agree with you that anyone who says the U.S. and Japan were ideologically equivalent at the time simply hasn't done the reading. -JTD OK, thanks for the clarification. My WW2 reading was buttressed by my Father's experience (DEs and Subs in the Pacific). Dan |
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On Feb 25, 5:01 pm, " wrote:
On Feb 25, 4:17 pm, Jeff Dougherty wrote: On Feb 25, 3:41 pm, " wrote: On Feb 25, 2:42 pm, Jeff Dougherty It doesn't even have to be emotion, either- when you're leading a country, the economic is just one of the dimensions you have to contend with. Take the U.S. and Japan in the years just before WWII: Japan imported much more from the U.S. than she exported, and from a strictly economic point of view the best thing might have been to let Japan's campaign of conquest in Asia go on. Most of the things Japan was importing were manufactured goods as opposed to raw materials, with the exception of a few things like bauxite that weren't really present in the territories under attack anyway, so absent any U.S. interference it's likely that trade deficit would have increased, if anything, to feed Japan's war effort. From a strict making-money point of view, the thing to do would be to let Japan grab what it could- but the political consequence would have been accepting Japanese hegemony in Eastern Asia, which was unacceptable to the U.S. There are more things on heaven and Earth than are dreamt of in economics texts. -JTD Wait a second ... This ahistorical drivel needs to be corrected, and fast. WW2 wasn't simply a clash of Empire. Despite the best efforts of various revisionsists, the reality was that WW2 pitted various democracies (in spite of all the imperfections of each) against totalitarian regimes that posited racial superiority as validation of their claims. snip I think we may be in violent agreement here. :-) The point I was trying to make was that wars happen for many, many reasons, and that national leaders have to consider many, many different dimensions when they're making decisions. Reducing the entire thing to economics, as the poster I was initially replying to did, is a dangerous oversimplification. All I was doing with that part of my post is illustrating my point by looking at *one* of the other dimensions that led to war between the U.S. and the Japanese Empire in the Pacific. I did not mean to suggest that there weren't any others, or that politics alone could explain the war any more than economics could, or that the Pacific War was a "clash of Empire". (For one thing, it's a bit hard to have a "clash of Empire" when one party is in the process of giving up its empire in the area, as the U.S. was doing at the time WWII kicked off.) There are a lot of other dimensions that I could have picked, and many more if I wanted to look at the Japanese decision to attack the U.S. I was just making a point about the causes of war in general, and the dangers of looking at one particular factor as the end all and be all. As a side note, I would agree with you that anyone who says the U.S. and Japan were ideologically equivalent at the time simply hasn't done the reading. -JTD OK, thanks for the clarification. My WW2 reading was buttressed by my Father's experience (DEs and Subs in the Pacific). Hats off to him, then. You don't hear nearly enough about what a crucial difference the "Silent Service" made during the war years. Have you read Blair's _Silent Victory_? It's probably the best single history of U.S. sub operations in the Pacific during WWII, and if you haven't it's well worth the read. Just got reprinted a few years back, so you can even get a copy without promising someone your firstborn son. -JTD |
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On Feb 25, 9:29 am, Jeff Dougherty
wrote: On Feb 23, 1:04 pm, " wrote: On Feb 23, 12:45 pm, "Ken S. Tucker" wrote: I think war is usually a business mistake, nowadays. Ken Right, and that is always the overriding concern that trumps the war option, I suppose? Certainly that was the case in 1861, 1914, and 1939 -- years devoid of business interests. Every time that argument comes up, I'm more and more tempted to go digging through the college textbooks I have in storage until I find one reading that mentions a very compelling book, written by a well- respected economist, that was very popular in its time. It carefully explained how, due to the interconnected nature of international trade, widespread war was now impossible because it would call too much economic damage to everyone involved. Written in 1912. -JTD That's a case of too much power, not enough brains. 1% of those in control, say we must build 1000's of ICBM's because the other are guys are. Yet, 99% of the people on both sides have not motive or desire to harm the other guys, apart from being told they should. Ken |
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"Ken S. Tucker" wrote in news:050125fe-1edc-4441-
: That's a case of too much power, not enough brains. 1% of those in control, say we must build 1000's of ICBM's because the other are guys are. Yet, 99% of the people on both sides have not motive or desire to harm the other guys, apart from being told they should. What bout fuedin'? Bertie |
#10
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On Feb 25, 1:15 pm, Bertie the Bunyip wrote:
"Ken S. Tucker" wrote in news:050125fe-1edc-4441- : That's a case of too much power, not enough brains. 1% of those in control, say we must build 1000's of ICBM's because the other are guys are. Yet, 99% of the people on both sides have not motive or desire to harm the other guys, apart from being told they should. What bout fuedin'? Bertie Now that's jes plain fun... |
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