Global Warming The debbil made me do it

On Mar 9, 2:16 pm, Bertie the Bunyip wrote:

I'll just move to Iowa where's it gonna be paradise pretty soon!

Why, is Jay moving?

Seriously, you seem to fail to undersnd what this is all about. it's not
about a slightly balmier climate. It's about a good deal more energy
being involved in the wx. Whatever else may happen, that is certain.

Bertie

You're right that I am failing.

I am failing to agree with those who insist that the oceans will rise
20 feet, the 0.6 Degree rise we see is solely due to man made causes,
and that the earth is unable to regulate the temperature through
natural processes.

I'm also failing to agree that when the Climate change apostles
preach, "All the world's scientists agree," but when anyone dares
offer contrary opinion, they are pilloried as "not climate
scientists."

You fly in weather -- when the hell did a "scientist" ever get it
right 50% of the time?

In fact, that's another laughable trait of this latest "crisis" -- it
is the first time in science history that "all scientist agree."

Dan

Dan wrote in news:f50cda79-23cf-46c7-b0f9-
:

On Mar 9, 2:16 pm, Bertie the Bunyip wrote:

I'll just move to Iowa where's it gonna be paradise pretty soon!

Why, is Jay moving?

Seriously, you seem to fail to undersnd what this is all about. it's
not
about a slightly balmier climate. It's about a good deal more energy
being involved in the wx. Whatever else may happen, that is certain.

Bertie

You're right that I am failing.

I am failing to agree with those who insist that the oceans will rise
20 feet, the 0.6 Degree rise we see is solely due to man made causes,
and that the earth is unable to regulate the temperature through
natural processes.

I'm also failing to agree that when the Climate change apostles
preach, "All the world's scientists agree," but when anyone dares
offer contrary opinion, they are pilloried as "not climate
scientists."

You fly in weather -- when the hell did a "scientist" ever get it
right 50% of the time?


These days they're getting it right about 90% of the time.

My flight logs come with forecast winds for every waypoint. they are
generaly within 10degrees and 5 knots of forecast hours form when the
forecast was made.
Vis, winds, precip, are all forecast to an accuracy that would have been
thought impossible just a few years ago.


In fact, that's another laughable trait of this latest "crisis" -- it
is the first time in science history that "all scientist agree."


Jesus wept.


Bertie

On Mar 9, 2:41 pm, Bertie the Bunyip wrote:

You fly in weather -- when the hell did a "scientist" ever get it
right 50% of the time?

These days they're getting it right about 90% of the time.

My flight logs come with forecast winds for every waypoint. they are
generaly within 10degrees and 5 knots of forecast hours form when the
forecast was made.
Vis, winds, precip, are all forecast to an accuracy that would have been
thought impossible just a few years ago.


Bertie

From which source?

I've yet to see winds aloft match the forecast except when very strong
(40 Knots @ 3000) or very light.

That said, I think the effect of the local topography is not factored
in or perhaps ignored (The Alleghenies).

Dan

Dan wrote in
:

On Mar 9, 2:41 pm, Bertie the Bunyip wrote:

You fly in weather -- when the hell did a "scientist" ever get it
right 50% of the time?

These days they're getting it right about 90% of the time.

My flight logs come with forecast winds for every waypoint. they are
generaly within 10degrees and 5 knots of forecast hours form when the
forecast was made.
Vis, winds, precip, are all forecast to an accuracy that would have
been thought impossible just a few years ago.


Bertie

From which source?


Can't you read? Me. I just told you. Moi, Ich, myself with my own eyes.


I've yet to see winds aloft match the forecast except when very strong
(40 Knots @ 3000) or very light.


Well, what can I tel you, must be a denier serivce you're using.

That said, I think the effect of the local topography is not factored
in or perhaps ignored (The Alleghenies).




Mine are for high alt. The wx service wont tell you the wind at the top
of every peak, that's YOUR job to extrapolate.

They could if they were so inclined, though.


Bertie

On Mar 9, 3:35 pm, Bertie the Bunyip wrote:

These days they're getting it right about 90% of the time.

My flight logs come with forecast winds for every waypoint. they are
generaly within 10degrees and 5 knots of forecast hours form when the
forecast was made.
Vis, winds, precip, are all forecast to an accuracy that would have
been thought impossible just a few years ago.

Bertie

From which source?

Can't you read? Me. I just told you. Moi, Ich, myself with my own eyes.

I've yet to see winds aloft match the forecast except when very strong
(40 Knots @ 3000) or very light.

Mine are for high alt. The wx service wont tell you the wind at the top
of every peak, that's YOUR job to extrapolate.

Bertie

I don't fly high alt -- I fly between 5-14k.

I know what my job is -- thanks, and therefore how to extrapolate.



Dan

Dan wrote in news:c95ff77d-661d-48a0-9a9c-
:

On Mar 9, 3:35 pm, Bertie the Bunyip wrote:

These days they're getting it right about 90% of the time.

My flight logs come with forecast winds for every waypoint. they
are
generaly within 10degrees and 5 knots of forecast hours form when
the
forecast was made.
Vis, winds, precip, are all forecast to an accuracy that would
have
been thought impossible just a few years ago.

Bertie

From which source?

Can't you read? Me. I just told you. Moi, Ich, myself with my own
eyes.

I've yet to see winds aloft match the forecast except when very
strong
(40 Knots @ 3000) or very light.

Mine are for high alt. The wx service wont tell you the wind at the
top
of every peak, that's YOUR job to extrapolate.

Bertie

I don't fly high alt -- I fly between 5-14k.

I know what my job is -- thanks, and therefore how to extrapolate.


Then how come you didn't realise that that is where the error lay?


Bertie

On Mar 9, 3:49 pm, Bertie the Bunyip wrote:

I know what my job is -- thanks, and therefore how to extrapolate.

Then how come you didn't realise that that is where the error lay?

Bertie

The errors are in velocity as well as direction, and far above "every
peak."

I used winds aloft as one example -- if you're going to assert that
current weather forecasting is 90% exact, I wanna know what service
your using.

And that's forecast -- not observation.


Dan