![]() |
If this is your first visit, be sure to check out the FAQ by clicking the link above. You may have to register before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below. |
|
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
![]() |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Subject: On this day in 1944..
From: Ed Rasimus Date: 12/20/03 7:45 AM Pacific Standard Time Message-id: And, arguably proved once and for all the Douhet principle that strategic bombing can be decisive politically without ground invasion. IMNSHO! And tactical bombing helped too. IMNSHO ! (grin) Arthur Kramer 344th BG 494th BS England, France, Belgium, Holland, Germany Visit my WW II B-26 website at: http://www.coastcomp.com/artkramer |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
And, on this day in 1972, the Linebacker II operation experienced the
worst losses of the campaign with six B-52s downed over Hanoi. The Eleven Days of Christmas, however, drove the recalcitrant North Vietnamese back to the bargaining table and resulted in the release of our POWs by March of '73. And, arguably proved once and for all the Douhet principle that strategic bombing can be decisive politically without ground invasion. IMNSHO! You know Ed, I believed (past tense) this too, its what the Air Force teaches at every step of PME, but after completing a masters course about the air war in Vietnam, I'm not so convinced anymore. I may get drubbed out of the B-52 community, but I think the BUFFs could have sat the whole thing out and by early January 1973, Le Duc Tho would have still signed the Paris Peace Accord. Most of the targets hit by the BUFFs, had already been hit the previous Spring and Fall during Linebacker I. This is where people usually say; "the bombing demoralized the population and the politicians of North Vietnam". There are stories, most from former POWs being held in Hanoi, about the psychological effect the bombing had on the North Vietnamese, but no proof or any evidence that the communist party leadership was aware, or if they were, even cared about the psychological effect on their people. Marshall L. Michel (heck Ed, you may even know this guy?) wrote an outstanding book titled; "The Eleven Days of Christmas" where he interviewed NV SA-2 commanders and crews. One SA-2 commander said the politicians who visited his battalian, located close to the party headquarters, up until the last day, were confident and supportive, hardly the actions of a demoralized population. Additionally, the government ordered residence of Hanoi to evacuate, if they were non-essential, and to send their children to the camps in the country side, both orders were violated en mass, most Hanoi residents stayed put. Another great book addressing this issue is Mark Clodfelter's "The Limits of Air Power". Anyway, just a few opinions to counter current day "common logic". Regardless of their effect on North Vietnamese politicans, the BUFFs provided moral support to POWs (fact) and the crews layed the ground work for every BUFF mission flown today (fact). BUFDRVR "Stay on the bomb run boys, I'm gonna get those bomb doors open if it harelips everyone on Bear Creek" |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
![]() |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
You hit upon one good reason for guys writing memoirs. Too quickly we
wind up with the participants and on-scene observers passing away and only the historians interpreting stacks of OPREP-4s and cryptic correspondence then interpreting the runes in the politically correct light of the day. Well, it goes both ways Ed. Michel absolutely destroys some of the material published by actual participants, whose "facts" were quite questionable. Hell Ed, I can pick up a book called "The View From the Rock" where I can read about how great the SAC-13th Air Force relationship was. This book was written by either the Group or Wing Commander at Andersen during LB II. As a participant in LB I and II, I would have to debate the conclusions of the course you took. Don't blame the course, these were my own conclusions. My final paper was on B-52 targeting effectiveness during LB II. Just a bit of what I discovered; "They dropped over 4,000 bombs on the Kinh No rail yard and vehicle repair facility. Impressive, however the Kinh No rail yard had already been disabled during Linebacker I". 4000 750 pound bombs on an already damaged (and certainly by the 2000th M-117, destroyed) railyard! I won't even go in to the targeting of Hanoi Radio, ok...yes I will. Four B-52s were shot down the first week trying to knock it off the air permanently, over 36 sorties and 2000 bombs to hit a small building and an antenna. On day number 9 two F-4s dropped three GBU-10s and knocked it off the air permenantly. If it wasn't the damage being inflicted by the BUFFs, how can we credit them with forcing the NV back to the table in Paris? Linebacker started to get the NVN and VC back to the table. Because their conventional offensive had stalled and ARVN units had actually begun to re-take some of the lost ground. As it progressed they observed the typical gradualism that had characterized each previous bombing cycle. Linebacker I didn't suffer from any of Johnson's "graduated response". The only mistake Nixon made was to restrict bombing below 20-North when the communists agreed to resume peace talks. By October, Kissinger announced the "light at the end of the tunnel" and we paused again, only to see the resolve of the NVN and VC return. The "pause" was not Nixon's fault, or Kissenger's. The agreement reached in October was reached between the US and North Vietnam, with no input from South Vietnam. Nixon demanded that Nguyen Van Thieu, South Vietnam's President approve the deal. The North Vietnamese never admitted its forces were involved inside the border of South Vietnam, as such, there was nothing in the agreement about removing them. Thieu refused to "ok" the deal because of this issue. So...the US and NVN had an agreement in principle, but needed to convince *our ally South Vietnam* to approve the deal. Bombing never halted, but interdiction sorties south of the DMZ were reduced to show NVN we were serious about the deal. When they didn't follow through, Nixon unleased LB II, which raised the stakes considerably. Nixon unleashed LB II after several political catastrophies had occured. First, in late November several democrats from both the House and Senate *publically* called for a vote on the suspension of funding for the military operation in SE Asia. These idiots made this request public on every national TV and newspaper media outlet and said the issue would be brought for a vote following the Christmas holiday break. As this was happening, Kissenger was attempting to add verbage to the Paris agreement stating regular NVN military forces would be withdrawn from South Vietnamese territory (Thieu wanted the statement to include all NVN supported forces such as the VC). Kissenger presented this to Le Duc Tho. The NVN were pretty savy on US internal political issues, they were well aware of the threat to withdraw funding and they seized this opportunity to claim we were changing an agreement already agreed upon (we were!) and left the conferance on 13 December 1972. The NVN were gambling that the House and Senates resolve to end the war would "hamstring" Nixon who would be unable to take any bold action, additionally if US funds were withdrawn, this would allow NVN to get *everything* and a cost of *nothing*. What ended up happening was; Nixon took strong action, and few members of congress spoke out against it. The bombing continued for 9 days (Le Duc Tho agreed to return to Paris and sign the *orginal* agreement on the 27th, bombing continued for two more days.) without a huge public or congressional outcry. The NVN decided that those in congress opposed to the war were such a minority that it would be highly doubtful they would vote to suspend funding. Kissenger literally told South Vietnamese President Thieu that he was signing the Paris Peace Accord, with or without Thieu's blessing, so reluctantly Thieu agreed and nothing in the final Paris Peace Accord mentions the withdrawl of NVN military forces. Basically a long way of saying that the NVN didn't sign anything more or less than they had already agreed upon in late October. What they didn't get was the "whole enchillada" with the complete withdrawl of US forces *and* the suspension of aid to South Vietnam that they thought they may get should congress vote to suspend funding. The overall silence from American politicians during LB II was every bit as powerful as the 750-pound bombs raining down on Hanoi and Haiphong. The intensity of night one where the original frag was for 150 BUFF sorties. Do the math, even if all of them weren't "big belly" D's. That's a lot of bombs falling in an area the size of Connecticutt. The 24 hour a day campaign of LB II was unprecedented. Yet most residents refused to leave or even send thier children away. I know Marshall quite well. You'll find my name mentioned on page 82 of his book. I finished it in September, but don't recall seeing your name. I've lent the book to someone, I'll have to check it out when I get it back. While I have great respect for Marshall's efforts in gaining the NVN perspective of LB II, let us not forget that he was interviewing functionaries of a Communist government and their statements "might" reflect typical revisionism. Possibly, but this is true for any person. You might also look at Wayne Thompson's "To Hanoi and Back" Not only have I read it, but I've discussed this issue with Dr. Thompson who attends our staff meetings every Tuesday and Thursday mornings. While I think I can catagorize his opinion accurately I won't try in case I am misunderstanding his position. What I can say is; Dr. Thompson did not flat out disagree with me. or Karl Eschmann's "Linebacker." I've read that as well. Probably most critical (and the major contribution of Marshall's "Eleven Days" is the acknowledgement that the LeMay elitism of the strategic bomber force as a "specified" command and not eligible to be CHOPped to the theater operational commanders is gone. While I agree whole heartedly with Michel's position (dysfunctional command chain with bombers), he loses some credibility to make an unbiased judgement in this area. In the opening chapter he states that for a fighter pilot, a tour in SAC was like a tour in hell (paraphrasing). If you then read the book cover jacket, you find Michel was a TAC-born F-4 guy during the 60s and 70s, one of those guys who though SAC was hell on earth. Bottom line; Michel was correct, but his position looks awful biased instead of factual based. BUFDRVR "Stay on the bomb run boys, I'm gonna get those bomb doors open if it harelips everyone on Bear Creek" |
#7
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
BUFDRVR wrote:
You hit upon one good reason for guys writing memoirs. Too quickly we wind up with the participants and on-scene observers passing away and only the historians interpreting stacks of OPREP-4s and cryptic correspondence then interpreting the runes in the politically correct light of the day. Well, it goes both ways Ed. Michel absolutely destroys some of the material published by actual participants, whose "facts" were quite questionable. Hell Ed, I can pick up a book called "The View From the Rock" where I can read about how great the SAC-13th Air Force relationship was. This book was written by either the Group or Wing Commander at Andersen during LB II. As a participant in LB I and II, I would have to debate the conclusions of the course you took. Don't blame the course, these were my own conclusions. My final paper was on B-52 targeting effectiveness during LB II. Just a bit of what I discovered; "They dropped over 4,000 bombs on the Kinh No rail yard and vehicle repair facility. Impressive, however the Kinh No rail yard had already been disabled during Linebacker I". 4000 750 pound bombs on an already damaged (and certainly by the 2000th M-117, destroyed) railyard! I won't even go in to the targeting of Hanoi Radio, ok...yes I will. Four B-52s were shot down the first week trying to knock it off the air permanently, over 36 sorties and 2000 bombs to hit a small building and an antenna. On day number 9 two F-4s dropped three GBU-10s and knocked it off the air permenantly. If it wasn't the damage being inflicted by the BUFFs, how can we credit them with forcing the NV back to the table in Paris? Linebacker started to get the NVN and VC back to the table. Because their conventional offensive had stalled and ARVN units had actually begun to re-take some of the lost ground. As it progressed they observed the typical gradualism that had characterized each previous bombing cycle. Linebacker I didn't suffer from any of Johnson's "graduated response". The only mistake Nixon made was to restrict bombing below 20-North when the communists agreed to resume peace talks. By October, Kissinger announced the "light at the end of the tunnel" and we paused again, only to see the resolve of the NVN and VC return. The "pause" was not Nixon's fault, or Kissenger's. The agreement reached in October was reached between the US and North Vietnam, with no input from South Vietnam. Nixon demanded that Nguyen Van Thieu, South Vietnam's President approve the deal. The North Vietnamese never admitted its forces were involved inside the border of South Vietnam, as such, there was nothing in the agreement about removing them. Thieu refused to "ok" the deal because of this issue. So...the US and NVN had an agreement in principle, but needed to convince *our ally South Vietnam* to approve the deal. Bombing never halted, but interdiction sorties south of the DMZ were reduced to show NVN we were serious about the deal. When they didn't follow through, Nixon unleased LB II, which raised the stakes considerably. Nixon unleashed LB II after several political catastrophies had occured. First, in late November several democrats from both the House and Senate *publically* called for a vote on the suspension of funding for the military operation in SE Asia. These idiots made this request public on every national TV and newspaper media outlet and said the issue would be brought for a vote following the Christmas holiday break. As this was happening, Kissenger was attempting to add verbage to the Paris agreement stating regular NVN military forces would be withdrawn from South Vietnamese territory (Thieu wanted the statement to include all NVN supported forces such as the VC). Kissenger presented this to Le Duc Tho. The NVN were pretty savy on US internal political issues, they were well aware of the threat to withdraw funding and they seized this opportunity to claim we were changing an agreement already agreed upon (we were!) and left the conferance on 13 December 1972. The NVN were gambling that the House and Senates resolve to end the war would "hamstring" Nixon who would be unable to take any bold action, additionally if US funds were withdrawn, this would allow NVN to get *everything* and a cost of *nothing*. What ended up happening was; Nixon took strong action, and few members of congress spoke out against it. The bombing continued for 9 days (Le Duc Tho agreed to return to Paris and sign the *orginal* agreement on the 27th, bombing continued for two more days.) without a huge public or congressional outcry. The NVN decided that those in congress opposed to the war were such a minority that it would be highly doubtful they would vote to suspend funding. Kissenger literally told South Vietnamese President Thieu that he was signing the Paris Peace Accord, with or without Thieu's blessing, so reluctantly Thieu agreed and nothing in the final Paris Peace Accord mentions the withdrawl of NVN military forces. Basically a long way of saying that the NVN didn't sign anything more or less than they had already agreed upon in late October. What they didn't get was the "whole enchillada" with the complete withdrawl of US forces *and* the suspension of aid to South Vietnam that they thought they may get should congress vote to suspend funding. The overall silence from American politicians during LB II was every bit as powerful as the 750-pound bombs raining down on Hanoi and Haiphong. snip While I have great respect for Marshall's efforts in gaining the NVN perspective of LB II, let us not forget that he was interviewing functionaries of a Communist government and their statements "might" reflect typical revisionism. Possibly, but this is true for any person. And since their views of the points at issue in the negotiations agree with the accounts of Kissinger, Nixon, and the US and SVN government documents, we have lots of confirmation of their accuracy. They didn't give up the right to keep troops in SVN, which was the key reason why Thieu refused to sign it at the end of October, and which he again balked at in January. BUFDRVR is correct in his description of the negotiations, a point which Marshall and numerous others have long since made. It seems that we have this discussion every couple of years -- Here's a post I made about two years ago, which makes the same points BUFDRVR does: ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Actually, LBII was designed to convince President Thieu of SVN that we would bomb and provide support if the NVN violated the peace accords, and to convince the NVN government of the same thing. The NVN had already agreed to essentially the same terms in negotiations with us back in October, but President Thieu balked at many of the terms (which we had agreed to), especially the one that allowed a cease-fire in place, i.e. the PAVN didn't have to remove their troops from SVN. So we went back to the N. Vietnamese and started to try and take back many of the points we'd already conceded, but the N. Vietnamese weren't willing to accept that. Then THEY started to take back many of the concessions they'd already made, knowing that we were going to have to get out regardless, and figuring they might get an even better deal than they already had, and ultimately the talks came to a halt. Nixon was well aware that he couldn't continue the bombing for very long, as Congress would probably cut off all funds for military action in SE Asia as soon as they re-convened in January (and as they in fact did later). Nixon ordered LB II, which convinced the N. Vietnamese to take the deal they'd already agreed to in October but which didn't improve the terms that Thieu objected to in the slightest. The NVN government considers LB II a victory for them, as they held firm and refused to be intimidated into giving up on their critical issues, such as keeping troops in the south. This virtually assured their eventual victory. Thieu still balked at signing, so Nixon gave him an ultimatum, as follows: "You must decide now whether you desire to continue our alliance, or whether you want me to seek a settlement with the enemy which serves U.S. interests alone." In other words, Nixon was telling Thieu that we were going to sign and leave with or without his signature; if he signed, Nixon promised that we'd bomb if NVN broke the accords, and provide SVN with the military supplies and equipment they needed; if he didn't, we were pulling out and washing our hands of SVN. Thieu didn't have much choice, so he signed. "Peace with Honor," it wasn't. It was a scuttle to get out with whatever dignity we could, rather similar to Chamberlain's "Peace in our Time," with similar results. Nixon's "No More Vietnams" gives many of the details (not the exact text of his message to Thieu, which I found in Stanley Karnow's book), as do many other works. --------------------------------------------------- You might also want to read a book titled "The Palace File," written by Thieu's former personal assistant Nguyen Tien Hung, which includes photos and text of the actual cables between Nixon, Kissinger and Thieu during the entire period, along with Thieu's attitude, and further confirms the details. LB II was never intended to "win the war"; Neither Nixon or Kissinger believed that could be done, and all they were trying to do was get Thieu to agree to sign the deal that we had already worked out and then presented to him as a fait accompli. Here's Nixon, from "No More Vietnams": "Most of our remaining disputes were hammered out . . . in mid-October. But on one major issue we could not budge the [NVN] from their position. They refused to withdraw their forces from South Vietnam . . . . We knew there was no way to force them to concede this point. . . . Thieu understandably wanted the agreement to require the North Vietnamese to withdraw the forces from his country . . . As a result he proposed over 20 changes to the draft agreement, seven of which we knew the [NVN] would never accept. . . . On November 20 . . . Kissenger presented Thieu's proposed changes , as well as some of our own . . . After several tough negotiating sessions, I concluded that if we were to reach an agreement , we would have to abandon most of Thieu's major demands. I instructed Kissinger to seek a settlement _along the lines of the October agreement_ [emphasis added]." Ed, that being the case, do you still hold that LB II somehow _forced_ the DRV to give up anything major that they hadn't already agreed to (there were a few minor concessions, none of which were substantive), or that they were the ones who were being intractable? Or that "strategic bombing," in this case, was "decisive politically"? After all, Nixon could have given Thieu the exact same "take it or leave it" offer at the beginning of November as he did in mid-January, with no need for LB II. Nixon was fully convinced that the DRVN would violate the accords regardless, and he believed that would give him the excuse he needed to continue to bomb when necessary (unlikely, given the mood of the recently elected Congress, which voted mid-year to cut off funds). Guy |
#8
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Sun, 21 Dec 2003 22:36:03 GMT, Guy Alcala
wrote: "Most of our remaining disputes were hammered out . . . in mid-October. But on one major issue we could not budge the [NVN] from their position. They refused to withdraw their forces from South Vietnam . . . . We knew there was no way to force them to concede this point. . . . Thieu understandably wanted the agreement to require the North Vietnamese to withdraw the forces from his country . What was the purpose of any peace agreement between two Vietnamese countries which didn't require North Vietnamese forces to pull out of South Vietnam? How did US benefit from signing such an agreement and especially once North Vietnamese renewed the invasion? Drax |
#9
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Sun, 21 Dec 2003 16:32:15 GMT, Ed Rasimus
wrote: The intensity of night one where the original frag was for 150 BUFF sorties. Do the math, even if all of them weren't "big belly" D's. That's a lot of bombs falling in an area the size of Connecticutt. The 24 hour a day campaign of LB II was unprecedented. What were the targets during this operation? Drax |
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Thread Starter | Forum | Replies | Last Post |
RAF sq 26 . Need help so find log for a tragic day 2nd July 1944 | Vidar Holum | Military Aviation | 1 | November 26th 03 11:09 AM |
Death Over Paris 28 May 1944 | ArtKramr | Military Aviation | 5 | November 20th 03 11:25 PM |
Attack on Tirpitz in 14 October 1944 | [email protected] | Military Aviation | 7 | October 27th 03 10:20 PM |
(Translated article) Saipan attacks by IJAAF, November 1944 | Gernot Hassenpflug | Military Aviation | 7 | October 8th 03 04:23 PM |
FA: 1944 The Physics of Aviation (Flight Theory) | Oldbooks78 | Aviation Marketplace | 0 | July 28th 03 10:47 PM |