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Derek Lyons skrev i meddelelsen ...
You and Phil, and to a lesser extent George, who should know better, don't seem to realize that killing the enemy C&C is how the US fights wars today. The entire idea behind assymetric warfare is to refuse to play by the enemy's rules - so if fighting the US use a doctrine not reqirering an C3I infrastructure, which can be attacked - have lots of small dispersed units capable of operating on their own initiative. If you can devise a doctrine without a conventional decision cycle noone can get inside it. A "not so smart" bomb made out of an inflatable boat, 2 suicidal maniacs and a lot of explosives almost taking out the Cole - thats assymetric warfare. Forget about taking and holding terrain - just inflict casualties. If you can't beat the enemy's physical strenght attack his will to fight. -------------------------------------- Carl Alex Friis Nielsen Love Me - take me as I think I am |
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"Carl Alex Friis Nielsen" wrote:
Derek Lyons skrev i meddelelsen ... You and Phil, and to a lesser extent George, who should know better, don't seem to realize that killing the enemy C&C is how the US fights wars today. The entire idea behind assymetric warfare is to refuse to play by the enemy's rules - so if fighting the US use a doctrine not reqirering an C3I infrastructure, which can be attacked - have lots of small dispersed units capable of operating on their own initiative. Which sounds pretty on paper, but the reality is that those units will be picked off and killed individually, they emphatically won't win the war for you. They won't stop your country from being occupied, they won't accomplish much beyond dying gloriously. (And they won't exist in the kind of country that's most likely to take on the US because of internal politics.) If you can devise a doctrine without a conventional decision cycle noone can get inside it. OK, you first. A "not so smart" bomb made out of an inflatable boat, 2 suicidal maniacs and a lot of explosives almost taking out the Cole - thats assymetric warfare. ROTFLMAO. That's suicide. Or did you notice the attack didn't touch the heart of the CVBG? Forget about taking and holding terrain - just inflict casualties. If you can't beat the enemy's physical strenght attack his will to fight. It might work, but it probably won't. D. -- The STS-107 Columbia Loss FAQ can be found at the following URLs: Text-Only Version: http://www.io.com/~o_m/columbia_loss_faq.html Enhanced HTML Version: http://www.io.com/~o_m/columbia_loss_faq_x.html Corrections, comments, and additions should be e-mailed to , as well as posted to sci.space.history and sci.space.shuttle for discussion. |
#3
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Derek Lyons skrev i meddelelsen ...
"Carl Alex Friis Nielsen" wrote: Derek Lyons skrev i meddelelsen ... You and Phil, and to a lesser extent George, who should know better, don't seem to realize that killing the enemy C&C is how the US fights wars today. The entire idea behind assymetric warfare is to refuse to play by the enemy's rules - so if fighting the US use a doctrine not reqirering an C3I infrastructure, which can be attacked - have lots of small dispersed units capable of operating on their own initiative. Which sounds pretty on paper, but the reality is that those units will be picked off and killed individually, they emphatically won't win the war for you. They won't stop your country from being occupied, they won't accomplish much beyond dying gloriously. (And they won't exist in the kind of country that's most likely to take on the US because of internal politics.) Ok, but remember while the Israelis have occupied land outside their recognized borders for decades without the locals ever being able to throw them out the price hasnīt really been low - or do you really view Israel as a nice place to live. Is their military might really effective at protecting them ? If you can devise a doctrine without a conventional decision cycle noone can get inside it. OK, you first. A "not so smart" bomb made out of an inflatable boat, 2 suicidal maniacs and a lot of explosives almost taking out the Cole - thats assymetric warfare. ROTFLMAO. That's suicide. Or did you notice the attack didn't touch the heart of the CVBG? Almost eliminating a billion dollar warship and taking it out of action for over a year plus killing 17 US sailors in the process is a laughing matter to you ? That sort of arrogance is probably the largest vulnerability of the US - don't expect the rest of the world to be as defeatist as you wish them to be. People refusing to give in even in the face of impossible odds have been known to end up winning in the end on several ocasions. Forget about taking and holding terrain - just inflict casualties. If you can't beat the enemy's physical strenght attack his will to fight. It might work, but it probably won't. It worked in Somalia, it worked in Vietnam, it worked in Iran, it worked in Lebanon - why not toss the dice again ? -------------------------------------- Carl Alex Friis Nielsen Love Me - take me as I think I am |
#4
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In article ,
"Carl Alex Friis Nielsen" wrote: Ok, but remember while the Israelis have occupied land outside their recognized borders for decades without the locals ever being able to throw them out the price hasnīt really been low - or do you really view Israel as a nice place to live. Is their military might really effective at protecting them ? Extremely so, when you consider the huge amount of money and time invested in their destruction by pretty much every country that borders them. They've got a higher standard of living than all of their neighbors, they live longer, and have a moderate guarantee that they're going to be in the same place for a while. Overall, the Israeli military solution seems to be good enough so far. ROTFLMAO. That's suicide. Or did you notice the attack didn't touch the heart of the CVBG? Almost eliminating a billion dollar warship and taking it out of action for over a year plus killing 17 US sailors in the process is a laughing matter to you ? I can certainly see why someone might be upset that a one-shot, not-to-be-repeated attack isn't as effective in the long run, and I can certainly see why someone might think it's funny that other prople can rely on it for their future military actions. That sort of arrogance is probably the largest vulnerability of the US - don't expect the rest of the world to be as defeatist as you wish them to be. Why not? It's worked pretty well so far. "The US will get slaughtered in Afghanistan, like everyone else." "The US will be in another Ivetnam when they invade Iraq." "The Libyans caved in due to worldie pressure." People refusing to give in even in the face of impossible odds have been known to end up winning in the end on several ocasions. ....and have gotten beat into a pulp on many more. Not to mention that most places don't have the "victory or death" mindset that the popular literature hopes for. Especially when fighting against someone who's really not that interested in invading those countries for direct profit, like everyone else seems to do. It worked in Somalia, it worked in Vietnam, it worked in Iran, it worked in Lebanon - why not toss the dice again ? Because it didn't work in Afghanistan and Iraq, in a very blatant and obvious fashion. And without another opposing superpower to pay for it, you won't get another Vietnam. Many folks can't learn, but a lot of countries have gotten the message that the US has figured out how to beat them at their own game. The photos of Saddam put the final nail in that coffin. -- cirby at cfl.rr.com Remember: Objects in rearview mirror may be hallucinations. Slam on brakes accordingly. |
#5
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On Thu, 25 Dec 2003 21:42:11 +0100, "Carl Alex Friis Nielsen"
wrote: Derek Lyons skrev i meddelelsen ... "Carl Alex Friis Nielsen" wrote: Derek Lyons skrev i meddelelsen ... You and Phil, and to a lesser extent George, who should know better, don't seem to realize that killing the enemy C&C is how the US fights wars today. The entire idea behind assymetric warfare is to refuse to play by the enemy's rules - so if fighting the US use a doctrine not reqirering an C3I infrastructure, which can be attacked - have lots of small dispersed units capable of operating on their own initiative. Which sounds pretty on paper, but the reality is that those units will be picked off and killed individually, they emphatically won't win the war for you. They won't stop your country from being occupied, they won't accomplish much beyond dying gloriously. (And they won't exist in the kind of country that's most likely to take on the US because of internal politics.) Ok, but remember while the Israelis have occupied land outside their recognized borders for decades without the locals ever being able to throw them out the price hasnīt really been low - or do you really view Israel as a nice place to live. Is their military might really effective at protecting them ? If you can devise a doctrine without a conventional decision cycle noone can get inside it. OK, you first. A "not so smart" bomb made out of an inflatable boat, 2 suicidal maniacs and a lot of explosives almost taking out the Cole - thats assymetric warfare. ROTFLMAO. That's suicide. Or did you notice the attack didn't touch the heart of the CVBG? Almost eliminating a billion dollar warship and taking it out of action for over a year plus killing 17 US sailors in the process is a laughing matter to you ? Well, remember, that there were concerns about docking the cole there, that were overrruled for political reasons. So killing the Cole at peacetime, and killing it in wartime, when it would presumably be allowed to sink any shipo approaching it are two different things. As an opening move, it has some plausibility, but it woudl quickly cease to be a viable tactic. That sort of arrogance is probably the largest vulnerability of the US - don't expect the rest of the world to be as defeatist as you wish them to be. Not arrogance-- but I do think the U.S. has always had the problem of discounting non-technological solutations. Witness 9/11-- before that every magazine was full of articles about terrorist nukes/bios/emp weapons-- but that was how an *american* woudl likely do things, going for the technological knock out blow. It's a bit of a blind spot with us. People refusing to give in even in the face of impossible odds have been known to end up winning in the end on several ocasions. Not always-- usually what happens is that they hold on until outside events conspire to bring them victory. The resitance in Europe and the phillipines is an example-- they were unable to drive the enemy away, but did hold down large portions of his forces. Forget about taking and holding terrain - just inflict casualties. If you can't beat the enemy's physical strenght attack his will to fight. It might work, but it probably won't. It worked in Somalia, it worked in Vietnam, it worked in Iran, it worked in Lebanon - why not toss the dice again ? It depends on what sort of fight we're in. Vietnam and Iran ddn't come in the aftermath of an attack on the U.S.,a nd neither did lebanon. The whole 9/11 thing did change the political equation-- whether or not it will continue to do so remains to be seen, especially should Al Qaeda not launch another assualt. Often, the exterior factor that counts is U.S. public opinion. To fight that you have to make yourself sympathetic or make them think that occupation will only make things worse. In that case, the current war shows the danger of a dramatic first strike-- while many americans aren't completely on board with Bush's strategy (ranging from mild disagreement with some tactics to major strategy disagreemens), I doubt there are many here who advocate "doing nothing and hoping Bin Laden retires". Thats one factor of Asymetric warfare that we haven't talked about too much-- making certain your methods don't create such rage that they actually end up being counterproductive. If the U.S. is invading you with a division, blowing up Down Town LA won't get them sent home, It'll get them reinforced. -------------------------------------- Carl Alex Friis Nielsen Love Me - take me as I think I am |
#6
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"Carl Alex Friis Nielsen" wrote:
Ok, but remember while the Israelis have occupied land outside their recognized borders for decades without the locals ever being able to throw them out the price hasnīt really been low - or do you really view Israel as a nice place to live. Is their military might really effective at protecting them ? Which is a nice way of avoiding addressing the issues I raised. A "not so smart" bomb made out of an inflatable boat, 2 suicidal maniacs and a lot of explosives almost taking out the Cole - thats assymetric warfare. ROTFLMAO. That's suicide. Or did you notice the attack didn't touch the heart of the CVBG? Almost eliminating a billion dollar warship and taking it out of action for over a year plus killing 17 US sailors in the process is a laughing matter to you ? From a strategic viewpoint, it is worth a laugh or two. Again, you resort to an emotional argument to avoid addressing the hard facts. That sort of arrogance is probably the largest vulnerability of the US - don't expect the rest of the world to be as defeatist as you wish them to be. It's not arrogance, it's simple cold facts. Killing the Cole barely scratched the combat power of the CVBG. And in a real war, *that* is what matters. D. -- The STS-107 Columbia Loss FAQ can be found at the following URLs: Text-Only Version: http://www.io.com/~o_m/columbia_loss_faq.html Enhanced HTML Version: http://www.io.com/~o_m/columbia_loss_faq_x.html Corrections, comments, and additions should be e-mailed to , as well as posted to sci.space.history and sci.space.shuttle for discussion. |
#7
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In article ,
"Carl Alex Friis Nielsen" wrote: The entire idea behind assymetric warfare is to refuse to play by the enemy's rules - so if fighting the US use a doctrine not reqirering an C3I infrastructure, which can be attacked - have lots of small dispersed units capable of operating on their own initiative. One problem here; totalitarian regimes tend not to tolerate lots of initiative in their underlings, which makes preparing for this sort of fighting somewhat harder. |
#8
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On Mon, 22 Dec 2003 20:40:27 -0800, Steve Hix wrote:
One problem here; totalitarian regimes tend not to tolerate lots of initiative in their underlings, which makes preparing for this sort of fighting somewhat harder. True, but there are exceptions, Nazi Germany being an obvious one. -- "It's easier to find people online who openly support the KKK than people who openly support the RIAA" -- comment on Wikipedia (Email: , but first subtract 275 and reverse the last two letters). |
#9
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![]() "phil hunt" wrote in message . .. On Mon, 22 Dec 2003 20:40:27 -0800, Steve Hix wrote: One problem here; totalitarian regimes tend not to tolerate lots of initiative in their underlings, which makes preparing for this sort of fighting somewhat harder. True, but there are exceptions, Nazi Germany being an obvious one. Hardly, the Wehrmacht certainly encouraged soldiers to use their initiative at the tactical level but when it came to strategy $Godwin insisted on micro managing the war down to battalion level. The Panzer reserve was held back on D-Day because only the Fuhrer could release them and he had taken a sleeping pill and couldnt be wakened. Keith |
#10
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The Panzer reserve was held back on D-Day because only
the Fuhrer could release them and he had taken a sleeping pill and couldnt be wakened. And somebody,no other than Rommel assured Hitler only a couple of days ago that the invasion could only come from Calais so that the could sleep well. (Historians treat the legends gently !) |
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