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  #1  
Old January 10th 10, 05:02 PM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
T8
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Posts: 429
Default Global Warming/Climate Change (was contrails)

On Jan 10, 2:11*am, Eric Greenwell wrote:
T8 wrote:
On Jan 9, 6:56 am, Tom Gardner wrote:


On Jan 9, 9:27 am, delboy wrote:


Have we actually proved
that CO2 is a greenhouse gas anyway,


Yes, of course it has been proven. If you can't accept
that then there is never going to be the basis of any
form of useful discussion.


Of course CO2 is a selective IR filter. *That's basic physics.


The more interesting question is: what is the effect of changing the
atmospheric CO2 concentration?


Most of the IR absorption spectrum of CO2 is so strong that at these
wavelengths, the little CO2 in the atmosphere is optically dense, and
increasing (or decreasing) its concentration has only tertiary and
probably unmeasurable effects on climate. *There are weaker absorption
bands that may make a difference, but some/most(?) of these are in
areas of the spectrum where water vapor dominates completely as long
as water vapor is present.


If this explanation made sense, we'd be as hot as Venus;


Eric, that's nonsense worthy of Al Gore.

in fact, heat
does work it's way up to the top of the atmosphere, and radiate into
space. It is up there, where the heat is actually escaping the planet


Yes, that's part of the story.

that the concentration of CO2 is important, and the concentration of
water vapor is very low by comparison. Increasing the CO2 in the upper
levels of the atmosphere does significantly effect how easily heat
leaves the planet.


In theory. But that theory predicts temperature changes in the upper
atmosphere that aren't observed, yes? I'll admit to be being a good
deal less than current here, but I think this is the nut of Lindzen's
recent work compiling satellite measurements. If this 'problem' has
been resolved, good for the scientists that did it (but let's
carefully check the results, please), possibly rather bad for the
human race. It's something I've been meaning to look into a little
further. This is hugely important. Very much more so than any number
of computer models invoking huge amounts of positive feedback.

This site has a pretty good explanation:

http://skepticalscience.com/link_to_...?Argument0=133


Link isn't working. Previous trips to that site were somewhat
unsatisfying -- too much hot air -- but I'll try to hunt this down.

-Evan Ludeman / T8
  #2  
Old January 10th 10, 06:07 PM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
Eric Greenwell
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Posts: 1,096
Default Global Warming/Climate Change (was contrails)

T8 wrote:

This site has a pretty good explanation:

http://skepticalscience.com/link_to_...?Argument0=133


Link isn't working. Previous trips to that site were somewhat
unsatisfying -- too much hot air -- but I'll try to hunt this down.

-Evan Ludeman / T8

It's broken, alright. Use the direct link:

http://skepticalscience.com/empirica...use-effect.htm

--
Eric Greenwell - Washington State, USA
* Change "netto" to "net" to email me directly
  #3  
Old January 9th 10, 04:54 PM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
Scott[_7_]
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Posts: 256
Default Global Warming/Climate Change (was contrails)

delboy wrote:
On 9 Jan, 00:57, Mark Jardini wrote:


Add: John Coleman owns the weather channel. While this gives him a
forum from which to sound off, it is hardly "bona fides" for an
informed opinion on climate change.


As long as he is not being sponsored by the Oil or Coal Industries, I
would tend to believe him. The data he presents is accurate as far as
I can tell.

The UK Government is now running an advertising campaign to persuade
us to drive 5 miles less per week to 'save the planet'. Fat lot of
difference that will make in our tiny country, compared with all the
CO2 and other pollutants being pumped out by US and Far Eastern power
stations, manufacturing plants and vehicles. Have we actually proved
that CO2 is a greenhouse gas anyway, and should we give up all modern
technology because of an unproven mathematical model? Global warming
or Climate Change seems to be more of a religion, or political
crusade, than hard science. That's not to say that we shouldn't
continue to monitor the situation and to improve the model.

Derek Copeland


Don't forget that humans emit CO2! You don't want the government
shutting THEM down, do you?

Scott
  #4  
Old January 10th 10, 06:25 AM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
Eric Greenwell[_3_]
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Posts: 2
Default Global Warming/Climate Change (was contrails)

delboy wrote:
On 9 Jan, 00:57, Mark Jardini wrote:

Add: John Coleman owns the weather channel. While this gives him a
forum from which to sound off, it is hardly "bona fides" for an
informed opinion on climate change.


As long as he is not being sponsored by the Oil or Coal Industries, I
would tend to believe him. The data he presents is accurate as far as
I can tell.

The UK Government is now running an advertising campaign to persuade
us to drive 5 miles less per week to 'save the planet'. Fat lot of
difference that will make in our tiny country, compared with all the
CO2 and other pollutants being pumped out by US and Far Eastern power
stations, manufacturing plants and vehicles. Have we actually proved
that CO2 is a greenhouse gas anyway,

OMG! Delboy, it's time to take your confusion about science back to
the forums that are made for it (and you know where they are). That
CO2 is a greenhouse gas isn't even controversial amongst the skeptics.
and should we give up all modern
technology because of an unproven mathematical model?


Should we listen to someone who has no idea of the physical
characteristics of CO2? Derek, please visit this well known skeptic
site and look up the blog entries by Mr. Watts and his guest bloggers
to see what they have to say on the subject (also check out the
entries of Venus, the premier display of CO2 in action):

http://wattsupwiththat.com/

Those that want to learn more about climate science, but don't know
where to start, try this site for a good grounding, and explanations
covering the usual questions and claims.

http://skepticalscience.com/

If you are yearning for science at a higher level (but still
accessible), try this site, which is run by real, practicing,
publishing, climate scientists at the highest level:

http://www.realclimate.org/

RAS is NOT a good place to rehash decades old climate questions, as
Derek is trying to do, because these sites are well organized, easy
to search, and have comments by people that have been paying attention
for years. And if you are interested in the political and economic
aspects of global climate change, you'll find plenty of those, too.

And while Derek's off catching up on the science, we can go back to
soaring.

--
Eric Greenwell - Washington State, USA



  #5  
Old January 10th 10, 03:32 PM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
delboy
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 56
Default Global Warming/Climate Change (was contrails)

On 10 Jan, 06:25, Eric Greenwell wrote:
delboy wrote:
On 9 Jan, 00:57, Mark Jardini wrote:


Add: John Coleman owns the weather channel. While this gives him a
forum from which to sound off, it is *hardly "bona fides" for an
informed opinion on climate change.


As long as he is not being sponsored by the Oil or Coal Industries, I
would tend to believe him. The data he presents is accurate as far as
I can tell.


The UK Government is now running an advertising campaign to persuade
us to drive 5 miles less per week to 'save the planet'. Fat lot of
difference that will make in our tiny country, compared with all the
CO2 and other pollutants being pumped out by US and Far Eastern power
stations, manufacturing plants and vehicles. Have we actually proved
that CO2 is a greenhouse gas anyway,


OMG! Delboy, it's time to take your confusion about science back to
the forums that are made for it (and you know where they are). That
CO2 is a greenhouse gas isn't even controversial amongst the skeptics.

*and should we give up all modern
technology because of an unproven mathematical model?


Should we listen to someone who has no idea of the physical
characteristics of CO2? Derek, please visit this well known skeptic
site and look up the blog entries by Mr. Watts and his guest bloggers
to see what they have to say on the subject (also check out the
entries of Venus, the premier display of CO2 in action):

http://wattsupwiththat.com/

Those that want to learn more about climate science, but don't know
where to start, try this site for a good grounding, and explanations
covering the usual questions and claims.

http://skepticalscience.com/

If you are yearning for science at a higher level (but still
accessible), try this site, which is run by real, practicing,
publishing, climate scientists at the highest level:

http://www.realclimate.org/

RAS is NOT a good place to rehash decades old climate questions, as
Derek is trying to do, because these sites *are *well organized, easy
to search, and have comments by people that have been paying attention
for years. And if you are interested in the political and economic
aspects of global climate change, you'll find plenty of those, too.

And while Derek's off catching up on the science, we can go back to
soaring.

--
Eric Greenwell - Washington State, USA- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


I can only assume that Eric thinks he is losing the argument, as he
has lowered himself to slagging me off. For the record I have a
Masters degree in Chemistry and spent most of my life earning a crust
as an atomic spectroscopist. I am quite familiar with the absorption
characteristics of CO2 thanks.

The salesmen of AGW are in a similar position to financial services
salesmen in a bull market. They can point to a graph showing ever
increasing share values (global temperatures), and predict that you
will worth billions by the time you retire (the world will have become
a fireball). Unfortunately stock markets are as cyclical as the
climate, and sooner or later you will hit a bear market. This is what
seems to be happening now to global temperatures.

I would also like to do some soaring, but at the moment my club's site
is under a few feet of snow!

Derek Copeland
  #6  
Old January 9th 10, 10:48 AM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
Doug Hoffman[_3_]
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Posts: 26
Default Global Warming/Climate Change (was contrails)

On Jan 8, 7:57*pm, Mark Jardini wrote:
I have been told that if lake Tahoe was emptied onto the entire state
of California it would cover the whole state 4 inches deep in water.


According to the Lake Tahoe Vacation Guide http://www.tahoevacationguide.com/laketahoe.html
it is 14 inches. 14 inches is geometrically/mathematically correct if
the entire state were at the same elevation. Calif is about 404,000
sq. km in projected area and Lake Tahoe contains about 39 trillion
gallons of water if one accepts the figures given. That would be
1.48e18 cubic cm / 4.04e16 square cm = 36.6 cm = about 14 inches. But
I would think that the peaks in elevation of California exceed the
valleys so in "reality" the lowland flooding would exceed 14" and
higher ground would be left dry - but that's a bit of a quibble.
Thinking of it as 14" is just fine for illustration.

Regards,

-Doug (It must be winter or why would I bother doing the math?) ;-)
  #7  
Old January 9th 10, 04:04 PM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
Lewis Hartswick
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Posts: 13
Default Global Warming/Climate Change (was contrails)

Mark Jardini wrote:
I have been told that if lake Tahoe was emptied onto the entire state
of California it would cover the whole state 4 inches deep in water.
It hardly seems possible when seen from the air. The lake is so small
compared to the whole state.
Volumes, as oppposed to areas, can be very deceptive to the human eye
and mind.


If someone told you that they are full of something that should be
flushed down the drain line.

The volume of ice on greenland would not seem to possibly be enough to
raise the oceans 2-3 feet. And yet it is. Things are quite commonly
not what they seem.


Another bit of errata.

Mark Jardini

...lew...
 




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