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#1
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The debate on the merits and technicalities of winch launching will
rage on ad infinitum as it has for years in the winch newsgroups. However, in terms of winch safety the statistics for the UK and Germany are very different. Winch launching on the Continent shows a much lower accident rate than the British experience. In other cases a mishandling of statistics paints an out-of-focus picture. For example an article published in Soaring magazine a while back quoted statistics from a very small sample group to make a point about winch safety. The article was very much off-base and was a poor piece of work based on insufficient data. *The German study, however, does appropriately apply statistical analysis to an appropriate sample size. Glad you brought this up, I also didn't like that article. My main problem was less the sample data size, but rather the timeframe it represented. It lumps all the statistics going back to the 60s into single figures when it should really be separated into at least 2 or 3 different 'eras' for that same timeframe, when various gliding authorities and groups identified common problems and implemented standardized solutions that were game changers. Also, modern winches are orders of magnitude more powerful and more importantly quite controllable. That combined with material advances (UHMW etc) further separate modern winching from it's roots. Modern winching is pretty much a science and has come a long way since the 60s so it does not do the soaring community (US at least...) a favor to combine it all into single raw statistics cause it paints a negative biased picture based on irrelevant data. It would be like combining accident data from the era before seatbelts and airbags with modern car accident statistical data, and then using that to form statistics/articles to help potential future drivers decide how safe cars are. -Paul |
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On Sun, 15 Aug 2010 10:29:49 -0700 (PDT), sisu1a
wrote: Modern winching is pretty much a science and has come a long way since the 60s so it does not do the soaring community (US at least...) a favor to combine it all into single raw statistics cause it paints a negative biased picture based on irrelevant data. Hmmm... I beg to differ. ![]() Modern winching has very much in common with winching in the 60s. The only difference is that the winches grew stronger in accordance to the rising weight and speed of the gliders, but otherwise -at least in Germany- very little has changed. Apart from the stronger engines the rest of the equipment as well as the procedures are still the same as fifty years ago. It is not necessary (Bill - I know you are going to cry out now ![]() have the latest state-of-the-art gizmos (telemetry, plastic cables, advanced speed control) to perform a perfectly safe and satisfactory winch launch. ![]() Cheers Andreas |
#3
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Germany- very little has changed. Apart from the stronger engines the
rest of the equipment as well as the procedures are still the same as fifty years ago. Here are some post 1960 hardware differences: (shooting from the hip... ![]() 1) standardized weak links (Tost system) 2) implementation and standardization of preamble/strop/trace 3) high aspect drums/doing away with level-winds 4) synthetic cables 5) much better control of torque/speed/launch profile 6) electric winch(es) While procedures may have remained pretty consistent in Germany (though adapted to accommodate newer hardware setups like strops, and some some for UHMW...) most everyone else seems to have been quite behind on the curve and continue to play catch-up; with some groups in doing it in distinct steps like the GFA writing a manual in 98 http://www.scribd.com/doc/24475893/Winch-Manual and BGA with their 'safe winch launch initiative started in 05 for instance: http://www.gliding.co.uk/bgainfo/saf...hlaunching.htm , which have changed SOP in those places as far as I can tell. Also up until quite recently, a complete mathematical model of the entire launch did not exist, only partial models. This information is (debatably) relevant to further hardware and procedural evolution as well, pushing it even closer towards science and further from it's trial and error past. Details aside, the point is if you look at 40-50yrs of winching as a generic lump sum the picture looks undeservedly bleak compared to looking at it by what is now commonly being done abroad, with Germany leading the way with a long record of safety and good procedures. (which I have a hard time imagining there being *some* changes in the last 50yrs of German winching though... ![]() -Paul |
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On Aug 15, 1:21*pm, Andreas Maurer wrote:
On Sun, 15 Aug 2010 10:29:49 -0700 (PDT), sisu1a wrote: Modern winching is pretty much a science and has come a long way since the 60s so it does not do the soaring community (US at least...) a favor to combine it all into single raw statistics cause it paints a negative biased picture based on irrelevant data. * Hmmm... I beg to differ. ![]() Modern winching has very much in common with winching in the 60s. The only difference is that the winches grew stronger in accordance to the rising weight and speed of the gliders, but otherwise -at least in Germany- very little has changed. Apart from the stronger engines the rest of the equipment as well as the procedures are still the same as fifty years ago. It is not necessary (Bill - I know you are going to cry out now ![]() have the latest state-of-the-art gizmos (telemetry, plastic cables, advanced speed control) to perform a perfectly safe and satisfactory winch launch. ![]() Cheers Andreas Actually, I don't disagree. You don't need all new stuff to be safe but then you can drive a 1960's car and be safe too - as long as you're careful not to hit anything or get hit. It's a fact that people driving new cars with air bags and crush zones drive a lot more aggressively. That's basically what you get from the new winch designs. Easier, safer launches with greater performance. Dyneema is an exception. It has been proven safer than steel cable by every industry that has adopted it - there's lots of industrial safety data on that. Besides being safer, it's just way nicer to work with. |
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On Sun, 15 Aug 2010 19:56:16 -0700 (PDT), bildan
wrote: That's basically what you get from the new winch designs. Easier, safer launches with greater performance. Nope. ![]() Dyneema is an exception. It has been proven safer than steel cable by every industry that has adopted it - there's lots of industrial safety data on that. Besides being safer, it's just way nicer to work with. Hmmm... on my airfield (we were the first ones to use Dyneema) we already had more than only a couple of incidents that were directly related to the use of Dyneema and wouldn't have happened with steel cable. We came to the conclusion that -at least on my airfield- steel cable offers more advantages than disadvatages than Dyneema. Cheers Andreas |
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On Aug 16, 8:19*am, Andreas Maurer wrote:
On Sun, 15 Aug 2010 19:56:16 -0700 (PDT), bildan wrote: That's basically what you get from the new winch designs. *Easier, safer launches with greater performance. Nope. ![]() Dyneema is an exception. *It has been proven safer than steel cable by every industry that has adopted it - there's lots of industrial safety data on that. *Besides being safer, it's just way nicer to work with. Hmmm... on my airfield (we were the first ones to use Dyneema) we already had more than only a couple of incidents that were directly related to the use of Dyneema and wouldn't have happened with steel cable. We came to the conclusion that -at least on my airfield- steel cable offers more advantages than disadvatages than Dyneema. Cheers Andreas I very much doubt yours was the first airfield to use Dyneema since that would have been in 1998 in Germany and I strongly suspect the analysis of your incidents was seriously flawed. Dyneema is safer, period. Airfields have no influence on that. However, simply replacing steel with Dyneema and attempting to use the same procedures as with steel will cause problems. Those are transition issues, not Dyneema issues. The winch must be modified and the operational rules must be changed to make a successful transition. |
#7
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bildan wrote:
Dyneema is safer, period. How so? Dyneema isn't elastic, so it doesn't snap back when it breaks, but that's the only difference safetywise. the operational rules must be changed to make a successful transition. Which operation rules would these be? At our field, we successfully changed from steel to Dyneema a couple of years ago without changing any operation rules whatsoever. What did we miss? Of course Dyneema has a slightly different feel, especially for the winch driver, but that's no change in operation rules. |
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On Mon, 16 Aug 2010 17:22:19 +0200, John Smith
wrote: Which operation rules would these be? At our field, we successfully changed from steel to Dyneema a couple of years ago without changing any operation rules whatsoever. What did we miss? Of course Dyneema has a slightly different feel, especially for the winch driver, but that's no change in operation rules. We are having problems with cable breaks in crosswind situations - Dyneemy tends to float for a long time and gets blown all over the place even if the wind is weak. We had a couple of close calls until we learned the hard way that we had to stop the complete operation (including landings of powered aircraft) on the airfield until the Dyneemy cable has definitely been moved out of the way (something that usually takes ten to fifteen minutes). The light Dyneemy rope lies on the grass and can easily be picked up by the gear of any passing aircraft. Combine this with an increased number of cable breaks compared to the steel cable, and you can imagine that the Dyneemy cable costs us some headaches... ![]() An other problem unique to the Dyneemy cable is a nearby road (1.500 ft away) that already got blocked by a broken Dyneemy cable. In comparison, our steel cables fall more or less vertically (even in string winds), causing us no such problems. We operate two winches on my airfield, one using Dyneema, one steel cable. Cheers Andreas |
#9
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On Aug 16, 4:02*pm, bildan wrote:
On Aug 16, 8:19*am, Andreas Maurer wrote: On Sun, 15 Aug 2010 19:56:16 -0700 (PDT), bildan wrote: That's basically what you get from the new winch designs. *Easier, safer launches with greater performance. Nope. ![]() Dyneema is an exception. *It has been proven safer than steel cable by every industry that has adopted it - there's lots of industrial safety data on that. *Besides being safer, it's just way nicer to work with.. Hmmm... on my airfield (we were the first ones to use Dyneema) we already had more than only a couple of incidents that were directly related to the use of Dyneema and wouldn't have happened with steel cable. We came to the conclusion that -at least on my airfield- steel cable offers more advantages than disadvatages than Dyneema. Cheers Andreas I very much doubt yours was the first airfield to use Dyneema since that would have been in 1998 in Germany and I strongly suspect the analysis of your incidents was seriously flawed. *Dyneema is safer, period. *Airfields have no influence on that. However, simply replacing steel with Dyneema and attempting to use the same procedures as with steel will cause problems. *Those are transition issues, not Dyneema issues. *The winch must be modified and the operational rules must be changed to make a successful transition.- Why? We successfully ran a comparative trial with UHWPE cable on one drum and steel cable on the other drum of a slight modified two drum Tost winch (mainly to prevent drum crushing, which is a known problem with UHMWPE synthetic cables). The winch drivers had no difficulty coping with either type of cable. Derek C |
#10
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On Mon, 16 Aug 2010 08:02:39 -0700 (PDT), bildan
wrote: I very much doubt yours was the first airfield to use Dyneema since that would have been in 1998 in Germany and I strongly suspect the analysis of your incidents was seriously flawed. Dyneema is safer, period. Airfields have no influence on that. Bill, I really admire your ability to judge a situation from the other side of the pond. You neither know about the incidents we had, nor you have the slightest idea about the enviroment our Dyneema is operated in. Yet you dare tto " I strongly suspect the analysis of your incidents was seriously flawed". Bold, Sir. Very bold. Unfortunately you simply have no clue. Andreas |
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