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#1
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That's a fair point Mike. Let's try and collect some data.
Would people be prepared to post what they paid for their gliders in the past (Sterling, Euros, Dollars)? Further back the better. Then we could get some idea of actual depreciation, and take account of currency variations. Paul On Aug 10, 4:56*pm, Mike the Strike wrote: On Aug 10, 8:13*am, Paul Ruskin wrote: Assuming you're interested for valuation reasons, rather than US tax ones... I did some sums on the depreciation in real terms of an ASW20 over25 years, and got the answer of about 2.3% per annum. This was based on finding an original 1984 price of $28,000 for an ASW20C, and approximate asking prices in 2009 of $33,000, then depreciating according to the retail price index (US, I think, though I don't recall where I got that from). Could do with some more data points though. Paul Depreciation of the value of gliders - especially European built - has been offset by the depreciation of the US dollar, which has dropped from around 0.8 to the Euro to over 1.4. *This has nearly doubled the dollar cost of new gliders imported from Europe into the USA in the past ten years. *This depreciation of the dollar has led to much less drop in value of gliders as they age in the US market. Mike |
#2
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On 8/10/2011 11:38 PM, Paul Ruskin wrote:
That's a fair point Mike. Let's try and collect some data. Would people be prepared to post what they paid for their gliders in the past (Sterling, Euros, Dollars)? Further back the better. Then we could get some idea of actual depreciation, and take account of currency variations. This is important: When you sell a glider, the price you get is not determined in any way by what you paid for it. So, I'm not persuaded that "depreciation" means anything in the very small glider market. Gliders that were identical when new at the factory can be so very different after 10 or 20 years for numerous reasons: - damage history (major repairs to none) - hours (20 hours a year to 250) - finish (pristine to cracking) - instruments (20 year old outdated stuff to the latest in everything) - trailer (hangar queen to a contest pilot's 10,000 miles a year) The popularity of particular models also greatly affects the value after 10 years, even if they are very similar in performance. And this: because of the swings in the currency market, the owners of two identical gliders bought only one or two years apart can have significantly different depreciations, simply because of the value of the dollar at the time of purchase. Here's an observation: I've sold four gliders since I started soaring in 1975. Three of them *appreciated*, only one *depreciated*. -- Eric Greenwell - Washington State, USA (change ".netto" to ".us" to email me) - "A Guide to Self-launching Sailplane Operation Mar/2004" Much of what you need to know tinyurl.com/yfs7tnz |
#3
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I think all that you've said is true Eric. None the less, with enough
data it would be possible to see some trends - rather like the car guides that you can get (Parkers in the UK for example). I've heard several people comment that they've sold gliders for more than they paid. I don't know whether that remains the case after you allow for inflation (probably will in some cases - as you mention prices go up and down). I also observe that it's possible to buy a then state of the art glider from the 1960s for £5K, from the 1980s for £20K and a new one will cost you £100K. OK, not like for like, but my suspicion is that if you buy a new glider and keep it for a long time, it will depreciate. I'm a little curious as to by how much. Hence the request for data! Paul |
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On 8/11/2011 11:58 AM, Paul Ruskin wrote:
I think all that you've said is true Eric. None the less, with enough I also observe that it's possible to buy a then state of the art glider from the 1960s for £5K, from the 1980s for £20K and a new one will cost you £100K. OK, not like for like, but my suspicion is that if you buy a new glider and keep it for a long time, it will depreciate. If you keep it for a short time, it will almost always depreciate. Keep it for a long time, and it's a total guess about what will happen. If your currency tanks, you'll be delighted with the amount you sell it for, and you could even show it was a good investment; if the number of soaring pilots continues to shrink, you'll be selling into a buyer's market and the opposite will occur. I'm a little curious as to by how much. I just told you exactly what will happen: you will lose or gain money when you sell, and there is no way to know which it will be 10 years from now. Hence the request for data! You can't do it for the glider you end up buying - too many important parameters that can not be predicted or controlled, and like the investment people tell you "past performance does not guarantee future results". If this is just a fun thing you like to do, have at it, but don't even think about it if you want to own your own glider. Instead, buy one you can afford, that you can fly safely and enjoyably, fly the hell out it, and hope that A) prices are really high when you want to get out of the sport; B) Prices are really low when you want to get a different glider. -- Eric Greenwell - Washington State, USA (change ".netto" to ".us" to email me) - "Transponders in Sailplanes - Feb/2010" also ADS-B, PCAS, Flarm http://tinyurl.com/yb3xywl |
#5
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All, thanks for your replies.
I should clarify that this is about depreciation for valuation and price calculation in our club and not for tax purposes. What I am trying to come up with is a tariff for our club gliders. The goal is to charge enough in glider rental to maintain the assets of the club. Conceivably, this would mean not just to keep a fleet in the air, but to replace gliders as they age so we have reasonably recent gliders to fly. Depreciation may be a major component. How do other clubs deal with such issues? (To give more of a background: The club in question currently has a Schweizer 2-33 as training glider, and then a 1-26, a Pilatus B4 and a Grob 102 Astir, and a Piper Super Cub. I think this is somewhat typical for a number of smaller clubs in the US, and worth discussing. While I love the club and enjoy flying there, you will probably all agree with me that a reasonable forward-looking plan has to include an update of the fleet. That is why I'd like to figure out reasonable rental charges for those a/c, but also for potential upgrades.) |
#6
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David Reitter wrote:
All, thanks for your replies. I should clarify that this is about depreciation for valuation and price calculation in our club and not for tax purposes. What I am trying to come up with is a tariff for our club gliders. The goal is to charge enough in glider rental to maintain the assets of the club. Conceivably, this would mean not just to keep a fleet in the air, but to replace gliders as they age so we have reasonably recent gliders to fly. Depreciation may be a major component. How do other clubs deal with such issues? (To give more of a background: The club in question currently has a Schweizer 2-33 as training glider, and then a 1-26, a Pilatus B4 and a Grob 102 Astir, and a Piper Super Cub. I think this is somewhat typical for a number of smaller clubs in the US, and worth discussing. While I love the club and enjoy flying there, you will probably all agree with me that a reasonable forward-looking plan has to include an update of the fleet. That is why I'd like to figure out reasonable rental charges for those a/c, but also for potential upgrades.) How long is a piece of string? You already had some great answers, especially by Eric. If depreciation worries you take some best guess stabs - including 0% and 100% and run some numbers. But you have to stop fixating on this highly variable and unpredictable number. If you want to sell some of the current fleet you can guesstimate their value from recent ads. More important things are likely raising money now for a new shiny glider, recruiting new members, getting those members flying and retaining them, recruiting/retaining good instructors and tow pilots, getting club gliders and members to fly XC, encouraging members to purchase private gliders, equipping club gliders for XC (pee tubes, electronic varios, flight recorders, flight computers/PDAs etc.), equipping gliders and tow planes with radios and PowerFLARM, paying insurance, misc. repairs, glider refinishes, running the tow plane, tow plane engine replacement etc., building/tie down/property costs,.... a lot of stuff to actually think about there and much of which affects hard cash flow now and is more useful than trying to worry about something that is not possible to accurately answer. Have you already raised the money to purchase the shiny glider, trailer etc. Darryl |
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