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#1
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Dylan Smith wrote:
On 2012-08-20, Dudley Henriques wrote: On Wednesday, August 15, 2012 6:21:10 AM UTC-4, Dylan Smith wrote: Never underestimate the power of denial. Quite to the contrary, our interest lies more on the REASONS a pilot accepts flight into error. As I said: never underestimate the power of denial. I don't know the experience or history of this pilot, but for a moment if we assume he's taken off with this load and at this density altitude plenty of times. He knows performance is bad, but he's climbed out fine but slowly. But this time he forgot to set the mixture for best power, and never realises it. After he takes off and then settles back down to the ground, the power of denial is this. "Oh, I've done this before, I must have just tried to lift off too early". Then he's off the end of the airfield but still over flat land. "It'll climb soon, it always has". His mind is powerfully telling the possibly more sensible part of him in a loud voice that it'll all come out OK in the end if we just press on a little further, and to ignore all the signs that in fact things will not turn out well, in other words, the power of denial. There's probably some pschological term for this, but every day I see people unable to resist the power of denial, that it happens to pilots too is not unusual and we need to recognise it to stop it from flying us into the trees. It is quite simple. You identify a point on the runway where you quit if not off the ground. This should not be before each flight, but selected before your first use of the airstrip and adhered to come what may. Ideally a board at the side of the strip marked with the distance in yards from the threshold. I have aborted many take-offs in this way, and the great thing is you don't even have to think about it. |
#2
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Dylan Smith writes:
As I said: never underestimate the power of denial. I don't know the experience or history of this pilot, but for a moment if we assume he's taken off with this load and at this density altitude plenty of times. Or, I assume he probably sensed something wrong on the takeoff run but felt social pressure to make the flight with has pax. I've always believed the best pilot has some asshole in him or her: the ability to say "we're not flying today" regardless of the hopes of others for the flight. -- Before I travelled my road I was my road. --Antonio Porchia, Voces, 1943, translated from Spanish by W.S. Merwin |
#3
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On 8/14/2012 11:04 PM, Dudley Henriques wrote:
This clip is getting our attention (flight safety workgroup) as a human factors issue. Dudley, I assume (perhaps wrongly) that was a commercial flight. That pilot may have made that same slow takeoff in that same loaded plane hundreds of times. So naturally he "knew" the plane would make it. ....Only today was the day that a clinker was caught in an exhaust valve so he was missing 50 RPM, or today was the day that a bit of rare wind sheer gave him an unexpected tailwind on his upwind leg. I once took off in a "not so strong" 152 after having carelessly left the mag switch not quite all the way into the "both" detent. The difference was only 50 rpm, so I missed that cue. By the time I figured out that this takeoff was marginal, I was committed. I did a circuit without ever making it to pattern height. The lesson learned was golden, but I still kick myself in the ass. Vaughn |
#4
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Dudley Henriques writes:
What has piqued our interest isn't what's obvious but rather how this pilot ignored so many visual cues and performance cues during the takeoff run, all of which should have been telling him to abort. He ignored these clues over the extended run over terrain where the takeoff could have been aborted at any time. One wonders if he would have behaved the same way if he were alone in the aircraft. And one wonders how much experience with high-altitude takesoffs and landings he had. Perhaps he didn't want to disappoint his passengers (one of whom was his son). Some people give people priority over safety and remain popular (until they crash), others give safety priority over people and become unpopular (although they live to a ripe old age). |
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