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At 15:18 14 October 2013, Paul Ruskin wrote:
On Monday, October 14, 2013 2:43:37 PM UTC+1, Bill D wrote: Yes, I read your ramble. The operable statistic is number of accidents per number of launches - very simple and not included in your post. OK. I note that you've avoided my question, which was whether we you agree with "The data says that in the period 2006-12 a German pilot had much the same chance as a UK civilian pilot of being killed or injured in a winch accident. " So, I'll ask again - do you agree with that conclusion? I've provided all the data you need, and its source, and the calculation is simple. Whether you think that's a good "operable statistic" or not is different. I happen to think it is - because then we don't confuse different reporting of incidents. Paul There can be no doubt when an injury or a fatality occurs and such an event should always be reported and recorded in gliding developed countries. I think we can all agree that no country will over-report death and injury data. Therefore the only way that comparison of death and injury rates between two countries could *not* be based on valid operable statistics is if you were to believe that one country is under-reporting them - which would be an interesting propositon to put to the Germans. John Galloway |
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John, Paul’s figures are for fatals and “serious” injuries, not all
injuries, AIUI. I would not be surprised if the definition of “serious” differs. Chris N |
#3
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Definitions are important for statistical analysis. If a glider crashes
after flying a circuit from an 800ft cable break, is it a winching accident or an approach and landing accident? If it spins after successfully completing a winch launch, is that a winching accident or a stall/spin accident? I would think that a serious injury would be broken bones, head injury, deep lacerations and anything that requires hospital treatment. So a bruised backside or a grazed finger shouldn't really count. Derek Copeland At 16:22 14 October 2013, Chris Nicholas wrote: John, Paul’s figures are for fatals and “serious” injuries, not all injuries, AIUI. I would not be surprised if the definition of “serious�� differs. Chris N |
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