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![]() "John Cook" wrote in message ... The whole avionics suite of the F-22 is now obsolete, and will cost another $3.5 Billion to 'upgrade' thats the cut from the $11.7 Billion thats been bandied about. Do you have anything to support that contention? There is a bit of a difference between wanting to improve the computers during the spiral development process and claiming that the "whole avionics suite is *obsolete*", isn't there? I quote the GAO-04-597T report directly "The basic mission of the F/A-22, initially focused on air-to-air dominance,has changed to include a significantly greater emphasis on attacking ground targets. To accomplish this expanded mission, the Air Force will need additional investments to develop and expand air-to-ground attack capabilities for the F/A-22. Moreover, the efforts to expand its capability will also add risks to an already challenged program. To accommodate planned changes will also require a new computer architecture and processor to replace the current less capable ones." There is where you go wrong--accepting the GAO report at face value. Don't you know they have a well known reputation for shading things in the direction they want, or just plain ol' incompetency in some cases? What they are describing is the spiral development program that the USAF has already articulated--nothing new about it, and nothing shocking. Now thats hardly ambiguous is it..... Well, either it is being ambiguous, as the USAF has decidedly stated that the F/A-22 is already capable of conducting ground attack missions, or you are slanting it to your purposes. IIRC this is the same GAO report that ol' Henry used when he began trumpeting the $11 billion claim--until it was pointed out to him that the small print explained that cost was for a whole range of spiral developments, from air-to-air, to ISR, to *improving* (note--NOT *creating*) its ground attack capabilities, etc. Let's see, 155 out of a possible total buy of some 269 aircraft, or a more likely buy of 200-220, would seem to indicate that the first few *years* of production are covered. Nor has it been conclusively demonstrated that these processors are incapable of handling the aircraft's air-to-ground strike needs during it's initial gestation; more in the form of not being able to handle the *ultimate* (post spiral) capability that is envisioned. Conclusivly demonstrated!!!!, it can't demonstrate stability yet Uhmm..you missed the USAF statement that it can indeed carry and deliver JDAM's? What, you think JDAM is some kind of air-to-air weapon?! And that is with the current processors--I believe Harry Andreas has already addressed that particular issue much better than I can...and oddly, you don't seem to have replied to his comments... The Glabal Strike Ehanced program is slated to start in 2011, thats when the Raptors system architecture is officially obsolete, Uh, what?! "Officially obsolete"? And where do you come up with *that* little factoid? never heard of any US program going forward with an already "officially" established date of obsolescence... the Global strike Basic is due (with current cpu architecture + systems) in 2007(read end of development cycle for the old stuff), one might well ask is 2007 too ambitious for a system that still a tiny bit 'buggy', Thats four years of use from your 'its not obsolete its proccessor challenge' system. providing its reliable enough to pass the review..... I quote again the GAO-04-597T report directly You just never learn, do you? GAO does not equal either competence or accuracy in terms of military developments, organizations, etc. "The stability and performance of F/A-22 avionics has been a major problem causing delays in the completion of developmental testing and the start of IOT&E. Because the F/A-22 avionics encountered frequent shutdowns over the last few years, many test flights were delayed. As a result, the Air Force Operational Test and Evaluation Center wanted assurances that the avionics would work before it was willing to start the IOT&E program. It established a requirement for a 20-hour performance metric that was to be demonstrated before IOT&E would begin. This metric was subsequently changed to a 5-hour metric that included additional types of failures, and it became the Defense Acquisition Board's criterion to start IOT&E. In turn, Congress included the new metric, known as Mean Time Between Avionics Anomaly or MTBAA, in the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2004.5 As of January 2004, the Air Force had not been able to demonstrate that the avionics could meet either of these criteria. Testing as of January 2004 showed the program had achieved 2.7 hours- 54 percent of the 5-hour stability requirement to begin IOT&E. While the Air Force has not been able to meet the new criteria, major failures, resulting in a complete shutdown of the avionics system, have significantly diminished. These failures are occurring only about once every 25 hours on average. This is the result of a substantial effort on the part of the Air Force and the contractor to identify and fix problems that led to the instability in the F/A-22 avionics software. However, less serious failures are still occurring frequently." You know, this reminds me a bit of the early MBTF problems with the F-15, in particular its radar IIRC. What all of this says is that we have a new system with typical new system teething problems. Thank goodness neither you nor the GAO were making the decisions at that time--we'd still be trying to keep F-4E's in the air, no doubt, as y'all would have undoubtedly cancelled that obviously deficient F-15 program... Now the Raptor can't run the software to do its air to ground mission for the same reasons what would you call it?. "processor challenged???" "Can't run the software" to do the air-to-ground mission? Odd, as the USAF claims that at present, "The F/A-22 also has an inherent air-to-surface capability." It can already lug a couple of JDAM's. So how does that even *require* an optimized ground mapping radar to allow it to strike ground targets with significant precision? Dropping a couple of JDAMS whohooooo!!!, Cutting edge that... well worth the money of investing in a system thats equivelent of a couple of cray supercomputers. All of that computing power helps it get to the target area so it can drop those "whohooo" JDAM's. And last i heard the JDAM was judged a particularly accurate and lethal munition. Now, I do believe you were crowing that the F/A-22 is incapable of performing the ground attack mission? How do you like your crow, rare or well done? one wonders what there using that processing power for?. must be a very nice graphical interface.... what the USAF have stated they want is, but cant have because of the limitations of the system are :- 2011 Improved radar capabilities to seek and destroy advanced surface-to-air missile systems and integrate additional air-to-ground weapons. 2013 Increased capability to suppress or destroy the full range of air defenses and improve speed and accuracy of targeting. 2015 Capability for full intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance integration for increased target sets and lethality. Gee, can't have any of that, huh? And why not? Out of curiousity, why do you have this visceral hatred of the F/A-22? Does it perhaps stem from the fact that you know your own nation can never afford it, or what? I don't hate it, I just think its not worth the money, if it had been half the price and worked as advertised I would be impressed. As it is the price is $150M and development is not mature, production has started, How would you describe the F-22 process?. LOL! By your definition, no aircraft would ever enter service, as "development is not mature". I guess you have kind of missed out on the *continuing* development of the F-15, F-16, and F/A-18, huh? I'd describe it as about par for the course, especially when viewed against contemporaries like the Typhoon and Raptor, Difference is they have demonstrated their requirements and have been accepted, now they are in production. Have they now? rafale was in production while its ground attack capability was in the pure ghostware stage--which is why the French Navy went to sea with them being capable *only* of performing air-to-air missions. The RAF wants to retune the Typhoon to perform in the multi-role strike manner before they had originally planned--meaing that their aircraft were not optimized for that mission when Typhoon went into production. Sounds a bit like the F/A-22, doesn't it? compare the F-22 which is in production and hasn't demonstrated it You don't think it has successfully dropped a JDAM? Do you see the difference?. I'll ask you again How would you describe they F-22 process?? Like most current advanced aircraft projects--that you still can't see that is hardly surprising, given your obvious bias and reliance upon the *GAO* as your primary source. If 10 is a perfect development program, and 1 is an utter fiasco that results in over priced, marginalised product thats ripe to be cancelled, whats the Raptors score? which are also entering service while development continues. You really need to get your head out of the WWII era in terms of fighter development--heck, even before that, as we saw with how both the P-47 and P-51 gestated (recall the original P-51's were purchased and produced with less-than-optimal engines, to boot). Its not a model that every industry is adopting is it. Looks an awful lot like the same model the Europeans are using, based upon where they are with Rafale and Typhoon. Yes the Typhoons processors are old, but they work as advertised now and are in production - tranche 2 models are being negotiated with the updated systems included, as per the original plans, with a federated architecture its relatively simple in comparison. I do not doubt that Australia can't afford it, however its looking increasing likely that the US may join us in that. I think you can probably count on seeing that "Silver Bullet" force enter into service... You might be right, it may go into service, and if reports are to be beleived - despite the cost, despite the reliability problems, despite the obsolete architecture, the only credable justification is avoiding an embarrising procurement fiasco, 200 odd hanger queens..... astounding... Yes, it is amazing--you, Cobb, and Tarver are the only ones gifted enough to realize what a true dog it is, huh? All of those blue-suited folks being too darned dumb to figure it out, right? Again, thank goodness you are not in the decisionmaking chain. Brooks Cheers John Cook Any spelling mistakes/grammatic errors are there purely to annoy. All opinions are mine, not TAFE's however much they beg me for them. Email Address :- Spam trap - please remove (trousers) to email me Eurofighter Website :- http://www.eurofighter-typhoon.co.uk |
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![]() "Kevin Brooks" wrote in message ... "John Cook" wrote in message ... snip You might be right, it may go into service, and if reports are to be beleived - despite the cost, despite the reliability problems, despite the obsolete architecture, the only credable justification is avoiding an embarrising procurement fiasco, 200 odd hanger queens..... astounding... Yes, it is amazing--you, Cobb, and Tarver are the only ones gifted enough to realize what a true dog it is, huh? All of those blue-suited folks being too darned dumb to figure it out, right? Oops--spoke too soon; looks like you can add Denyav to your rabidly anti-F/A-22 cohort! My, what a fine, reputable group you have there... :-) Brooks Again, thank goodness you are not in the decisionmaking chain. Brooks Cheers John Cook Any spelling mistakes/grammatic errors are there purely to annoy. All opinions are mine, not TAFE's however much they beg me for them. Email Address :- Spam trap - please remove (trousers) to email me Eurofighter Website :- http://www.eurofighter-typhoon.co.uk |
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![]() "Kevin Brooks" wrote in message ... Oops--spoke too soon; looks like you can add Denyav to your rabidly anti-F/A-22 cohort! My, what a fine, reputable group you have there... :-) I was on my own here at ram in '98, but now GAO says I was always correct. We must now all bow to the Kevin Brooks troll. ![]() Fifty B-2s that never were ... |
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Kevin,
Ye doth protesteth too much... F-22 is not a 'dog.' But its clear that absent SIGNIFICANT upgrades to its avionics suite it will have nowhere near the AG capability of the F35. That's why the USAF is spending the money, and for their efforts, they should get a nice capability to go with the signature, speed and other attributes possesed by the airframe. Remember, that's a capital 'B' behind that $ sign. These are not trivial amounts. You remember that line -- a billion here, a billion there, before you know it we're talking real money... "Kevin Brooks" wrote in message ... "Kevin Brooks" wrote in message ... "John Cook" wrote in message ... snip You might be right, it may go into service, and if reports are to be beleived - despite the cost, despite the reliability problems, despite the obsolete architecture, the only credable justification is avoiding an embarrising procurement fiasco, 200 odd hanger queens..... astounding... Yes, it is amazing--you, Cobb, and Tarver are the only ones gifted enough to realize what a true dog it is, huh? All of those blue-suited folks being too darned dumb to figure it out, right? Oops--spoke too soon; looks like you can add Denyav to your rabidly anti-F/A-22 cohort! My, what a fine, reputable group you have there... :-) Brooks Again, thank goodness you are not in the decisionmaking chain. Brooks Cheers John Cook Any spelling mistakes/grammatic errors are there purely to annoy. All opinions are mine, not TAFE's however much they beg me for them. Email Address :- Spam trap - please remove (trousers) to email me Eurofighter Website :- http://www.eurofighter-typhoon.co.uk |
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![]() "Frijoles" wrote in message ink.net... Kevin, Ye doth protesteth too much... F-22 is not a 'dog.' But its clear that absent SIGNIFICANT upgrades to its avionics suite it will have nowhere near the AG capability of the F35. That's why the USAF is spending the money, and for their efforts, they should get a nice capability to go with the signature, speed and other attributes possesed by the airframe. Actually, any protestations "too much" are due to trying to correct the ridiculous assertion that it has *no* air to ground capability as is. I understand fully that the optimization of that capability requires money--which is why there is a spiral development plan in place. Recently in this NG we have seen folks try to claim the $11 billion estimate was solely directed at turning the F/A-22 into a strike platform; not the case, as it also includes air-to-air upgrades, ISR upgrade, etc. IMO, the F/A-22 does indeed have its share of problems, chief among them being the change in the nature of the threat it was originally intended to counter; I went on record supporting a 180 aircraft buy before that number even became fashionable in the DoD rumor mill. Currently I'd support a 200-220 number. Nobody has (with any factual basis) accused me of being a rabid supporter of the program--but I don't think there is any point in making up negative points about it either, which is largely what we have been seeing of late. Brooks snip |
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Kevin Brooks wrote:
Actually, any protestations "too much" are due to trying to correct the ridiculous assertion that it has *no* air to ground capability as is. I understand fully that the optimization of that capability requires money--which is why there is a spiral development plan in place. Recently in this NG we have seen folks try to claim the $11 billion estimate was solely directed at turning the F/A-22 into a strike platform; not the case, as it also includes air-to-air upgrades, ISR upgrade, etc. IMO, the F/A-22 does indeed have its share of problems, chief among them being the change in the nature of the threat it was originally intended to counter; I went on record supporting a 180 aircraft buy before that number even became fashionable in the DoD rumor mill. Currently I'd support a 200-220 number. Nobody has (with any factual basis) accused me of being a rabid supporter of the program--but I don't think there is any point in making up negative points about it either, which is largely what we have been seeing of late. So let's make lemonade here. Give the F/A-22 as close to the same sensors, computers and software as the F-35 as possible so that not only is the JSF kickstarted but also the F/A-22 will have an upgrade path in the future as improvements are made to the JSF. -HJC |
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![]() "Henry J Cobb" wrote in message ... Kevin Brooks wrote: Actually, any protestations "too much" are due to trying to correct the ridiculous assertion that it has *no* air to ground capability as is. I understand fully that the optimization of that capability requires money--which is why there is a spiral development plan in place. Recently in this NG we have seen folks try to claim the $11 billion estimate was solely directed at turning the F/A-22 into a strike platform; not the case, as it also includes air-to-air upgrades, ISR upgrade, etc. IMO, the F/A-22 does indeed have its share of problems, chief among them being the change in the nature of the threat it was originally intended to counter; I went on record supporting a 180 aircraft buy before that number even became fashionable in the DoD rumor mill. Currently I'd support a 200-220 number. Nobody has (with any factual basis) accused me of being a rabid supporter of the program--but I don't think there is any point in making up negative points about it either, which is largely what we have been seeing of late. So let's make lemonade here. Give the F/A-22 as close to the same sensors, computers and software as the F-35 as possible so that not only is the JSF kickstarted but also the F/A-22 will have an upgrade path in the future as improvements are made to the JSF. Yah, and just restart the development prgram for the F/A-22 all over again while you are at it, too, huh? I don't think so. Brooks -HJC |
#8
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![]() "Kevin Brooks" wrote in message ... "Henry J Cobb" wrote in message ... Kevin Brooks wrote: Actually, any protestations "too much" are due to trying to correct the ridiculous assertion that it has *no* air to ground capability as is. I understand fully that the optimization of that capability requires money--which is why there is a spiral development plan in place. Recently in this NG we have seen folks try to claim the $11 billion estimate was solely directed at turning the F/A-22 into a strike platform; not the case, as it also includes air-to-air upgrades, ISR upgrade, etc. IMO, the F/A-22 does indeed have its share of problems, chief among them being the change in the nature of the threat it was originally intended to counter; I went on record supporting a 180 aircraft buy before that number even became fashionable in the DoD rumor mill. Currently I'd support a 200-220 number. Nobody has (with any factual basis) accused me of being a rabid supporter of the program--but I don't think there is any point in making up negative points about it either, which is largely what we have been seeing of late. So let's make lemonade here. Give the F/A-22 as close to the same sensors, computers and software as the F-35 as possible so that not only is the JSF kickstarted but also the F/A-22 will have an upgrade path in the future as improvements are made to the JSF. Yah, and just restart the development prgram for the F/A-22 all over again while you are at it, too, huh? I don't think so. Although F-35 hardware may be rolled into F-22 production as a block change later. F-35 benefits from F-22 development and vice versa. |
#9
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![]() There is where you go wrong--accepting the GAO report at face value. Don't you know they have a well known reputation for shading things in the direction they want, or just plain ol' incompetency in some cases? What they are describing is the spiral development program that the USAF has already articulated--nothing new about it, and nothing shocking. OK don't like the GAO? ..... fine! How about Lockheed or the USAF who have a IPT team to find the obsolete items, and find Form Fit and Function replacements using 'commercial products' where they can (Note the COTS reference). General Musala lamented in 1998 that non of the 339 F-22 will be built the same because at least 500 parts are already obsolete!!! (As quoted in 1998!! use your imagination in regard to that number today, Oh thats right! in your world its probabley been dealt with already and only minor issues remain like coffee cup holders etc. ) Let's see, 155 out of a possible total buy of some 269 aircraft, or a more likely buy of 200-220, would seem to indicate that the first few *years* of production are covered. Nor has it been conclusively demonstrated that these processors are incapable of handling the aircraft's air-to-ground strike needs during it's initial gestation; more in the form of not being able to handle the *ultimate* (post spiral) capability that is envisioned. Conclusivly demonstrated!!!!, it can't demonstrate stability yet Uhmm..you missed the USAF statement that it can indeed carry and deliver JDAM's? What, you think JDAM is some kind of air-to-air weapon?! And that is with the current processors--I believe Harry Andreas has already addressed that particular issue much better than I can...and oddly, you don't seem to have replied to his comments... Its all very well that it can drop a couple of JDAMs around a target area, but it does need to have a running system to perform this rudimentary function, something which is not happening at present. You are sytil avoiding the question of how you rate the F-22 development? well whats it to be..... paragon of industrial/military cooperation or balls up...... how would you describe it....? .. The Glabal Strike Ehanced program is slated to start in 2011, thats when the Raptors system architecture is officially obsolete, Uh, what?! "Officially obsolete"? And where do you come up with *that* little factoid? never heard of any US program going forward with an already "officially" established date of obsolescence... The current processors can't handle the workload, they need to be replaced before the F/A-22 can do the job, from the data supplied by the USAF they expect it to be able to 'do the Job' from 2011. what would you call a system that can't do the job, come on its an easy question!! I quote again the GAO-04-597T report directly You just never learn, do you? GAO does not equal either competence or accuracy in terms of military developments, organizations, etc. At least there getting their figures from the team thats testing the F-22, where are you getting your figures from?. What figures are you putting into this debate, whats your assesment of MTBAA??, Go on I'm interested. "The stability and performance of F/A-22 avionics has been a major problem causing delays in the completion of developmental testing and the start of IOT&E. Because the F/A-22 avionics encountered frequent shutdowns over the last few years, many test flights were delayed. As a result, the Air Force Operational Test and Evaluation Center wanted assurances that the avionics would work before it was willing to start the IOT&E program. It established a requirement for a 20-hour performance metric that was to be demonstrated before IOT&E would begin. This metric was subsequently changed to a 5-hour metric that included additional types of failures, and it became the Defense Acquisition Board's criterion to start IOT&E. In turn, Congress included the new metric, known as Mean Time Between Avionics Anomaly or MTBAA, in the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2004.5 As of January 2004, the Air Force had not been able to demonstrate that the avionics could meet either of these criteria. Testing as of January 2004 showed the program had achieved 2.7 hours- 54 percent of the 5-hour stability requirement to begin IOT&E. While the Air Force has not been able to meet the new criteria, major failures, resulting in a complete shutdown of the avionics system, have significantly diminished. These failures are occurring only about once every 25 hours on average. This is the result of a substantial effort on the part of the Air Force and the contractor to identify and fix problems that led to the instability in the F/A-22 avionics software. However, less serious failures are still occurring frequently." snip claims that at present, "The F/A-22 also has an inherent air-to-surface capability." It can already lug a couple of JDAM's. So how does that even *require* an optimized ground mapping radar to allow it to strike ground targets with significant precision? Dropping a couple of JDAMS whohooooo!!!, Cutting edge that... well worth the money of investing in a system thats equivelent of a couple of cray supercomputers. All of that computing power helps it get to the target area so it can drop those "whohooo" JDAM's. And last i heard the JDAM was judged a particularly accurate and lethal munition. Now, I do believe you were crowing that the F/A-22 is incapable of performing the ground attack mission? How do you like your crow, rare or well done? Listen Matey don't put words in my mouth, the F-22 can drop JDAM's, it can also strafe the ground with its cannon, But a ground attack aircraft it ain't, and won't be until an upgrade to the avionics occurs. My point is the super duper cray like performance that has be repeated touted can't hack a AtoG mission, don't you see anything wrong with this??? why 11.7 billion what that for then? if everythings fine and dandy why would you want to spend 11.7 billion on a perfectly capable AtoG aircraft. one wonders what there using that processing power for?. must be a very nice graphical interface.... what the USAF have stated they want is, but cant have because of the limitations of the system are :- 2011 Improved radar capabilities to seek and destroy advanced surface-to-air missile systems and integrate additional air-to-ground weapons. 2013 Increased capability to suppress or destroy the full range of air defenses and improve speed and accuracy of targeting. 2015 Capability for full intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance integration for increased target sets and lethality. Gee, can't have any of that, huh? And why not? Because it would cost 11.7 billion to get it, If they pay they get it. (or at least some of it, I'm not that confident of their cost projections. Are you?.) I don't hate it, I just think its not worth the money, if it had been half the price and worked as advertised I would be impressed. As it is the price is $150M and development is not mature, production has started, How would you describe the F-22 process?. LOL! By your definition, no aircraft would ever enter service, as "development is not mature". I guess you have kind of missed out on the *continuing* development of the F-15, F-16, and F/A-18, huh? I'd describe it as about par for the course, especially when viewed against contemporaries like the Typhoon and Raptor, Difference is they have demonstrated their requirements and have been accepted, now they are in production. Have they now? rafale was in production while its ground attack capability was in the pure ghostware stage--which is why the French Navy went to sea with them being capable *only* of performing air-to-air missions. The RAF wants to retune the Typhoon to perform in the multi-role strike manner before they had originally planned--meaing that their aircraft were not optimized for that mission when Typhoon went into production. Sounds a bit like the F/A-22, doesn't it? Planned being the operative word here, they planned to have an Ato G capability for a number of years, they developed the systems as per that plan, and produced them. The fact that they can pull forward the requirements to an earlier date seems to prove the systems are capable of doing the job, Actually _Doing_the_Job_ and not - 'give us 11.7 billion and we will see what we can do'.. I'll ask you again How would you describe they F-22 process?? Like most current advanced aircraft projects--that you still can't see that is hardly surprising, given your obvious bias and reliance upon the *GAO* as your primary source. If 10 is a perfect development program, and 1 is an utter fiasco that results in over priced, marginalised product thats ripe to be cancelled, whats the Raptors score? Your evading the question!!!, whats its score?. Yes, it is amazing--you, Cobb, and Tarver are the only ones gifted enough to realize what a true dog it is, huh? All of those blue-suited folks being too darned dumb to figure it out, right? Some of those blue suited folks are questioning its utility, stop trying to evade the real question by comparing my opinion to others, Is the F-22 program value for money? and if you think it is (why bother to ask I thinks to myself) at what point in your mind does it become too expensive to field?. dollar values are fine by me!. Again, thank goodness you are not in the decisionmaking chain. From your view point I can see why you said that, but that doesnt mean your view point is correct. The F-22 program is in trouble, the system is very very expensive, the system has been so long in development that the ambitious system it pioneered have become obsolete, the program needs addition funds and also input from the JSF program to make it more reliable and update its avionics. I could equally say the Nimrod AEW project would have been the best in the world if only the Software would run and the equipment had of worked, But then again I know that having the software run and the equipment work is the 'project'....... Cheers John Cook Any spelling mistakes/grammatic errors are there purely to annoy. All opinions are mine, not TAFE's however much they beg me for them. Email Address :- Spam trap - please remove (trousers) to email me Eurofighter Website :- http://www.eurofighter-typhoon.co.uk |
#10
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![]() "John Cook" wrote in message ... There is where you go wrong--accepting the GAO report at face value. Don't you know they have a well known reputation for shading things in the direction they want, or just plain ol' incompetency in some cases? What they are describing is the spiral development program that the USAF has already articulated--nothing new about it, and nothing shocking. OK don't like the GAO? ..... fine! How about Lockheed or the USAF who have a IPT team to find the obsolete items, and find Form Fit and Function replacements using 'commercial products' where they can (Note the COTS reference). COTS is no longer optional, as it is the only game in town. Any reference to mil-spec components is a reference to an obsolete basis. |
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