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On Sun, 18 Apr 2004 07:48:39 GMT, Guy Alcala
wrote: Ed Rasimus wrote: On 17 Apr 2004 13:42:06 GMT, (BUFDRVR) wrote: That same "historical record" says the 8th Air Force bombing missions into Germany destroyed the Germans war making capability. That "fact" has been disproven countless times. There is history and there is history. A lot of history is interpretive and some is even revisionist. You might say the 8th didn't destroy German industry, but you could just as easily suggest that lack of petroleum products, lack of precision machine tooling, lack of ball-bearings, lack of a viable transportation network, etc. won the war. You could say that. You could also say that the loss of their petroleum source (Ploesti) to the Soviets on August 31st,1944, as well as the loss of the coke supplies of France (Western allies, August-September; can't make steel without coke) had more than a little to do with it. Oh, and the several million German military casualties suffered on the Eastern Front might be due a little credit too, don't you think? ;-) Which, I think, makes my point. The victory comes from a complex intermix of events. To discount the impact of the 8th AF on Germany's capability to continue is to grossly over-simplify. It may be a return to the cliches of AF vs Army dialog in which the regular repitition of "boots on the ground" or "a tank on the front lawn of their O'club" is refuted by anecdotes of the rapid termination of hostilities after Aug 6 & 9, 1945, or Dec 29, 1972, or or Desert Storm's 100 day air/100 hour ground war. They had a choice: return to the Paris talks with a fortright attitude toward peace, or return completely to the stone age at home. You sound like LeMay. You do realize they already were in the stone age right? Tell me, what critical infastructure did we destroy during LB II that wasn't already operating at less than 25%? For a stone age country, the seemed to generate an incredible number of electronic emissions, starting with the early warning radar that would ping us on the tankers through the command/control that integrated the MiGs, SAMs and AAA fire. Precisely how much of this did they make themselves, so that we could target the production facilities? Zero. Or maybe the transportation that managed to ship arms and materiel to sustain the combat operations in the south. They did build bicycles themselves, I'll give you that. All other road/rail vehicles came in from outside the country. So, how did it get into the country and to the point of application if as BUFFDRVR contends there was no critical infrastructre left for LB II to attack? Can you say harbors, marshalling areas, roads, rail, bridges, cranes, etc? Academics can revise history as much as they want There's no doubt that this does occur, but not in this case. You could prove your point simply by providing some sort of proof that the bombing during LB II was causing such damage that the NVN government feared they would be defeated if it did not stop. I think the simple cause/effect relationship of recalcitrance in Nov-Dec, then in just eleven days an agreement is signed and within six weeks C-141s are flying in and out of Gia Lam bringing the POWs home is all the proof required. Ed, the only problem is that you ignore all that had gone before and was still going on throughout, none of which you were aware of at the time. See my other post. Ahh, what a cruel accusation after all these years. Do you really consider that I ignore all the history or that my perspective is so narrow? Far too many direct participants (and individuals extremely interested in then-current events) survive to permit them to push their "inspired by a true story" fiction on an unsuspecting public. While I was only 4 at the time, you can consider me one of your; "individuals extremely interested in then-current events". In fact, nearly every one in the USAF should be interested in getting the real scoop on LB II, because learning the wrong lesson is often worse then not learning a lesson at all.... Absolutely true, Santayna. The lesson of LB II taken in the context of an eight year war against NVN is that the Powell/Bush doctrine is correct---don't enter a war without a clear objective. Once committed, win quickly with overwhelming force. When victory is achieved have a defined exit strategy. And hope like hell that the other side's definition of losing is the opposite of your definition of winning, and that they will accept and conform to your exit strategy. Neither may be the case, especially in limited wars. If you think the lesson of LB II is something different, you're in the wrong business. Actually, LB II did have a clear strategy, but it wasn't the one you state. It was more "By bombing NVN before Congress comes back into session and cuts off all funds, I can convince Thieu that we will continue to back him should the DRVN violate the accords, while also convincing the DRVN that it's not worth it for them to hold out for the whole loaf but accept the same offer they'd previously agreed to before Thieu queered the deal, so we can get our PoWs back and get the hell out of there with as much dignity as we can muster." Nixon was successful on the first three counts, and the fourth was arguable. "Winning the war" was never his goal with LB II; he knew that the war could only be won in South Vietnam, unless we were prepared to obliterate North Vietnam and risk a direct confrontation with the PRC and/or the USSR. You've said a mouthful, but unfortunately even those of us with the largest orifice sometimes can't get the whole thing in. You might also put it into the context of presidential politics. The Nixon policy of Vietnamization that started in '68 had already been nearly completely implemented. It was acknowledged at all levels that all we wanted was a "withdrawal with honor" and release of the POWs. Let's also acknowledge that the Oct termination of LB was just prior to election and that both the Nixon administration and the NV/VC were using it to their advantage. Once elected, and prior to inauguration for his second term, with four years ahead of him, Nixon felt free to flex our muscle to wrap things up quickly. He did. The final point you make is a good one. The clear differences in ROE between Rolling Thunder when we were decidedly tentative without a clear knowledge that it was possible to keep the nuclear genie in the bottle and the wider latitude for action in LB and finally LB II is evidence. After eight years we had developed a much better picture of the relationship between Vietnam and China, as well as the split between the Soviets and Chinese. And, we knew that the Viets were Soviet clients rather than Sino-proxies. Neither of the big players were going to get confrontational and both benefited from our political unrest. Politically (and morally), that wasn't an option, unless you feel that Nixon was willing and able to order the AF/Navy to destroy the Chinese and Soviet factories that were producing virtually all the north's war needs, along with the Eastern Bloc cargo ships that brought much of it there, and the north's own food supplies? Or how about just nuking Hanoi, Haiphong, and the Red River Delta in general? Ahh, now there's a picture to contemplate. Ed Rasimus Fighter Pilot (USAF-Ret) "When Thunder Rolled" Smithsonian Institution Press ISBN #1-58834-103-8 |
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So, how did it get into the country and to the point of application if
as BUFFDRVR contends there was no critical infrastructre left for LB II to attack? Can you say harbors, marshalling areas, roads, rail, bridges, cranes, etc? The mining of Haiphong harbor was a great move, and had the plan been to re-seed the minefield weekly (which is required to keep a minefield useful) and keep Haiphong shutdown, perhaps in a month or two, frontline units would have really felt a pinch. In fact, many frontline NVA units were already feeling a pinch because the supply network, designed to supply VC and NVA regulars in SVN with 34 tons of supplies/day (7 x 2 1/2 ton trucks worth) was unable to adequately supply a 3 division force, even if it wasn't being hit from the air. Linebacker I and the Freedom Porch missions "ended the war" (if we have to use that term) by hitting those critical supply nodes. LB II simply hit them again..and again..and again, but even before they were hit the first time during LB II, most were already unsuitable for their designed task or able to perform 25% or less of their designed task. BUFDRVR "Stay on the bomb run boys, I'm gonna get those bomb doors open if it harelips everyone on Bear Creek" |
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And you haven't explained to me when Phuc Yen, Kep, Cat Bi, Hoa Lo and
Yen Bai airfields were struck during LB. It seems to this observer that the first dedicated airfield strikes were by the F-111s on Dec. 18 PM. And, you might note, that if the archives told you that SAM sites were specifically targeted during LB II, they fibbed. SAM sites were too mobile for specific targeting and were always response targets for the Hunter/Killer flights. Ed Rasimus Ed, When I was assigned to one of the "summer help"Takhli F-4D units, namely the 48th out of Holloman, we hit Yen Bai in Aug 72 as our Pack 6 training flight, and then Phuc Yen in Sept 72. Mixed loads of Mk 82 slicks and daisy cutters, ffour flights of fours IIRC. The F-4E Hunter-Killers were far more interesting. Didn't care much for that 1500' line abreast dumb bomber stuff. Steve |
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That logistic analysis sounds real good at the micro-fiche machine,
but if you'll talk to some Marines who were at Khe Sanh and Hue in MR I and some ARVN and US troops at An Loc in MR III, you'll find that the bad guys seemed to be doing just fine regarding supplies. Which would show you why first hand accounts aren't always the best pieces of info. Post war interviews with NVA regulars engaged in the Easter offensive attest to severe shortages, including the tale of a young NVA 2nd Lt., sent into battle with an AK-47 and a sidearm with no ammo. For every NVA unit with "just fine supplies" there were two others with *none*. And you haven't explained to me when Phuc Yen, Kep, Cat Bi, Hoa Lo and Yen Bai airfields were struck during LB. They weren't. I never claimed *every* LBII target was a "repeat", but a great majority were. And even those new targets (like Phuc Yen and Kep airfields) were hit repeatedly, beyond what kind of "maintenance" bombing you would do to keep an airfield shutdown. Come on Ed, B-52s alone dropped nearly 1,000 bombs on the Kep airfield. Other non-airfield targets got hit with as much as 4 times that amount. All in 11 days! And, you might note, that if the archives told you that SAM sites were specifically targeted during LB II, they fibbed. Well, if you have Marshall Michel's phone number, you better give him a ring because he (and at least three other authors) claim that on night #9 B-52s went after SA-2 sites including the "infameous" VN-563 site (I think that was the number?). Karl Eschmann lists 8 SAM sites as B-52 targets and 7 SAM sites as F-111 targets in his book. SAM sites were too mobile for specific targeting and were always response targets for the Hunter/Killer flights. Not according to nearly every reference source I've seen.... BUFDRVR "Stay on the bomb run boys, I'm gonna get those bomb doors open if it harelips everyone on Bear Creek" |
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#8
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Seems to me that you can't have it both ways. If on scene US observers
aren't reliable sources of information, why should lowest level, in-the-jungle, low-tech, guerillas on the enemy side be more reliable? Well it depends on who is commenting on what. A U.S. Marine commenting on how well supplied the enemy was is conjecture, a NV officer discussing personal experiences about ammo shortages and testimony from high ranking government officials supporting that experience,makes that a documented fact. Dare I say that the Kep strikes by the BUFFs didn't close the airfield down? Probably not since IIRC, Kep was one of the "crosswind" missions. However that airfield received attention during the day on more than one occasion and the BUFFs returned there on three more occasions. I realize we're not talking about JDAMs here Ed, but surely you guys couldn't have been that bad? Recall that two MiG-21 kills were awarded to B-52 gunners? (I'm not saying they happened, merely that they were credited.) What? You mean everyone in the USAF from the Air Force Academy through Air War College is wrong? I'm shocked ![]() had never even heard those shoot downs were questionable. After discussing it with you, Dr. Thompson and reading Michel's book I'm convinced both those guys shot at F-4s...however I can go to Maxwell and read about those shoot downs. By the way, those accounts were written by guys "who were there" and not in the back of a library. The operative word on those targettings is "probable". Absolutely. we could never be sure of exactly where a SAM site was going to pop up. Same is true today...for the most part, but you claimed SAM sites were always response targets, what you should have said was *confirmed* SAM sites were always response targets, although that might not have been true had an SA-2 been parked under any of those F-111 or B-52 target areas. BUFDRVR "Stay on the bomb run boys, I'm gonna get those bomb doors open if it harelips everyone on Bear Creek" |
#9
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