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Ed Rasimus wrote:
On Sat, 24 Apr 2004 16:39:14 GMT, "Gord Beaman" ) wrote: The NTSB sure doesn't put much credence in eyewitness accounts at all. They use them only to add a slight amount of weight to physical evidence when there's some ambiguity in it. Rightly so IMO. As we've been discussing, there are "witnesses" and there are "Witnesses". The eyewitness recollection of Joe Bagadonutz, the night shift fry-cook at the local McBurgerWendBell, on the condition of a crashing tactical fighter might not be very reliable. The eyewitness observation of a qualified aircrewmember in the type who was in position might be of considerable value. Put a student tactical aviator in charge of the debrief after his first 2-v-1 sortie and you won't get much of value. Put the lead IP at the whiteboard with his three colored markers, HUD tape and commentary and you'll get a pretty accurate picture. Add the input of any supporting IPs in the flight and you'll be almost perfect. Now add the mission controller (if used) and the ACMI recreation and you've got exactly what happened. Evaluating the qualification of the observer is a critical part of the process. Sure is, but experience only helps, it doesn't guarantee complete accuracy. I'm reminded of an account told to me by an IAF pilot, of an IAF helo accident which a very experienced Canadian military helo pilot (instructor etc.) witnessed from the ground in the Sinai (IIRR, it was during the Israeli pullout in 1982). He was the best eyewitness they had, although they later found someone who had filmed it. When questioned, among the things he stated was that the a/c had definitely made 4-5 revolutions before ground impact (spins; IIRC, there was a tail rotor failure of some kind). When they eventually got their hands on the film, the a/c had clearly made only 1 1/2 revs before impact. Guy |
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Guy Alcala wrote:
Ed Rasimus wrote: On Sat, 24 Apr 2004 16:39:14 GMT, "Gord Beaman" ) wrote: The NTSB sure doesn't put much credence in eyewitness accounts at all. They use them only to add a slight amount of weight to physical evidence when there's some ambiguity in it. Rightly so IMO. As we've been discussing, there are "witnesses" and there are "Witnesses". The eyewitness recollection of Joe Bagadonutz, the night shift fry-cook at the local McBurgerWendBell, on the condition of a crashing tactical fighter might not be very reliable. The eyewitness observation of a qualified aircrewmember in the type who was in position might be of considerable value. Put a student tactical aviator in charge of the debrief after his first 2-v-1 sortie and you won't get much of value. Put the lead IP at the whiteboard with his three colored markers, HUD tape and commentary and you'll get a pretty accurate picture. Add the input of any supporting IPs in the flight and you'll be almost perfect. Now add the mission controller (if used) and the ACMI recreation and you've got exactly what happened. Evaluating the qualification of the observer is a critical part of the process. Sure is, but experience only helps, it doesn't guarantee complete accuracy. I'm reminded of an account told to me by an IAF pilot, of an IAF helo accident which a very experienced Canadian military helo pilot (instructor etc.) witnessed from the ground in the Sinai (IIRR, it was during the Israeli pullout in 1982). He was the best eyewitness they had, although they later found someone who had filmed it. When questioned, among the things he stated was that the a/c had definitely made 4-5 revolutions before ground impact (spins; IIRC, there was a tail rotor failure of some kind). When they eventually got their hands on the film, the a/c had clearly made only 1 1/2 revs before impact. Guy Not a bit surprising Guy...the finest minds in the world are all prone to these kinds of 'filling in' from the observed hints intermixed with what the witness expects to happen and intermixed again with his prior memories etc. The human mind is a fearsomely convoluted unit indeed. (especially mine when I can't find my GD car in the full lot) ![]() -- -Gord. |
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On Mon, 26 Apr 2004 00:16:59 GMT, "Gord Beaman" )
wrote: Not a bit surprising Guy...the finest minds in the world are all prone to these kinds of 'filling in' from the observed hints intermixed with what the witness expects to happen and intermixed again with his prior memories etc. Pilot walks into debriefing at Ubon around in 67 and talks about the heavy AAA around the target. I believe just above the DMZ. Pilot is really hyped up talking about evasive actions, etc. Another crew walking by the door hears him and starts laughing. It wasn't AAA. It was the CBUs the other crew had just dropped. The human mind is a fearsomely convoluted unit indeed. (especially mine when I can't find my GD car in the full lot) ![]() They have long range remote beepers just for that situation. My cousin had my uncles car outfitted with one, and showed my uncle how it worked over at our house. Put the little remote on my uncles key chain. Uncle went home and then returned in about an hour. Couldn't figure out what the new thing was on his key chain... |
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On Mon, 26 Apr 2004 04:37:16 GMT, Buzzer wrote:
On Mon, 26 Apr 2004 00:16:59 GMT, "Gord Beaman" ) wrote: Not a bit surprising Guy...the finest minds in the world are all prone to these kinds of 'filling in' from the observed hints intermixed with what the witness expects to happen and intermixed again with his prior memories etc. Pilot walks into debriefing at Ubon around in 67 and talks about the heavy AAA around the target. I believe just above the DMZ. Pilot is really hyped up talking about evasive actions, etc. Another crew walking by the door hears him and starts laughing. It wasn't AAA. It was the CBUs the other crew had just dropped. Absolutely! Not at all an uncommon occurence. You might want to add the relative combat experience of the two pilots--my guess (and it's no more than that) is the first guy was an FNG and the second was a FOG. ("new" and "old") Similarly the reports of hundreds of SAM firings quite often were the result of numerous observers of the same event from different positions. Without some common timeline and a bit of triangulation, the data becomes meaningless. Can't begin to tell you the number of times tense newbies called SAM launches on Shrike or Standard ARM firings or even the fuel mist trail of a jettisoned tank. AB plumes, the tell-tale streak of white contrail caused by unburned fuel out the back before ignition, often get you a SAM or Atoll call as well. Which simply goes back to my original contention--evaluation of the observer is at least as important at evaluation of the observation. Ed Rasimus Fighter Pilot (USAF-Ret) "When Thunder Rolled" Smithsonian Institution Press ISBN #1-58834-103-8 |
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Buzzer wrote:
On Mon, 26 Apr 2004 00:16:59 GMT, "Gord Beaman" ) wrote: Not a bit surprising Guy...the finest minds in the world are all prone to these kinds of 'filling in' from the observed hints intermixed with what the witness expects to happen and intermixed again with his prior memories etc. Pilot walks into debriefing at Ubon around in 67 and talks about the heavy AAA around the target. I believe just above the DMZ. Pilot is really hyped up talking about evasive actions, etc. Another crew walking by the door hears him and starts laughing. It wasn't AAA. It was the CBUs the other crew had just dropped. The human mind is a fearsomely convoluted unit indeed. (especially mine when I can't find my GD car in the full lot) ![]() They have long range remote beepers just for that situation. My cousin had my uncles car outfitted with one, and showed my uncle how it worked over at our house. Put the little remote on my uncles key chain. Uncle went home and then returned in about an hour. Couldn't figure out what the new thing was on his key chain... LOL...pretty good...I have the -real- answer though...buy a PT Cruiser, then you can just casually look over the lot and spot the ugly rising above it. : -- -Gord. |
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