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#31
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"Nathan Young" wrote in message
... Last, it would be interesting to see a plot of accidents against time for several aircraft types. I suspect that most new types have an 'impulse' of accidents when first introduced, and then level off to some lower steady state. I suspect this for a few reasons: Airframe/engine bugs may not be worked out (this is especially true in homebuilts), and lack of proper training for the aircraft, plus there will always be a number of pilots who want the latest/greatest thing, and purchase a plane they shouldn't be flying. I think those are all excellent points. The only thing we can really conclude is that (1) It is too early to tell for sure what the long-term safety record of the Cirrus will be; and (2) It is not a certainty that Cirrus' safety improvements, including the BRS, will reduce the accident rate. We just have to wait and see. -------------------- Richard Kaplan, CFII www.flyimc.com |
#32
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This reminds of a tv show about car safety and safety in general I saw once...
One expert noted that as we made cars quiter, with airbags, antilock brakes, better handling, etc etc drivers tended to use up much of those safety gains by becoming more aggressive drivers...because all those things made a car "feel" safer and therefore people pushed the envelope farther..... And he observed that probably the best thing one could do to improve car safety would be to put a big metal spike sticking outa the steering wheel pointed towards the driver ![]() A safety device does NO good if you count on it to always work and use it as an excuse to do things you wouldnt do if you didnt have it in the first place.... take care Blll |
#33
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BllFs6,
One expert noted that as we made cars quiter, with airbags, antilock brakes, better handling, etc etc drivers tended to use up much of those safety gains by becoming more aggressive drivers...because all those things made a car "feel" safer and therefore people pushed the envelope farther..... Both car and GA accident rates have dramatically declined with technical improvements to safety over the last decades. This expert is simply not supported by the numbers. -- Thomas Borchert (EDDH) |
#35
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![]() "Thomas Borchert" wrote in message ... Both car and GA accident rates have dramatically declined with technical improvements to safety over the last decades. This expert is simply not supported by the numbers. Reductions in GA accident rates largely came about in the decades before the 1960s/70s vintage airplanes most of us now fly. NTSB statistics and the general aviation media clearly show that by far the majority of current GA accidents are due to pilot error and that only a small portion are due to mechanical failure. Thus it remains to be demonstrated whether further reduction in the GA accident rate would be best done via additional equipment such as a BRS parachute vs. pilot training. -------------------- Richard Kaplan, CFII www.flyimc.com |
#36
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![]() "Richard Kaplan" wrote in message s.com... "Thomas Borchert" wrote in message ... Both car and GA accident rates have dramatically declined with technical improvements to safety over the last decades. This expert is simply not supported by the numbers. Reductions in GA accident rates largely came about in the decades before the 1960s/70s vintage airplanes most of us now fly. NTSB statistics and the general aviation media clearly show that by far the majority of current GA accidents are due to pilot error and that only a small portion are due to mechanical failure. Thus it remains to be demonstrated whether further reduction in the GA accident rate would be best done via additional equipment such as a BRS parachute vs. pilot training. -------------------- Richard Kaplan, CFII www.flyimc.com It would be interesting if someone would determine how many GA fatal accidents could be saved if all planes were BRS equipped. My guess is it would be a very small percentage. Traffic fatalities have been in the 40,000+ range since the 1940s. Many more automobiles and many more miles driven but at the end of the year the number of dead people has been the same for over 50 years. |
#37
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![]() "Dave Stadt" wrote in message news:_HEec.1395. Traffic fatalities have been in the 40,000+ range since the 1940s. Many more automobiles and many more miles driven but at the end of the year the number of dead people has been the same for over 50 years. Actually, TF's peaked in the 1980's at about 52,000 (??) and are now down to the low 40K's. |
#38
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Thomas Borchert wrote
Both car and GA accident rates have dramatically declined with technical improvements to safety over the last decades. This expert is simply not supported by the numbers. Actually, that's not true at all. FATALITY rates have improved dramatically; accident rates are actually up. Technology has indeed made cars safer; it has also made them more expensive in constant dollars. Michael |
#39
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Michael wrote:
Thomas Borchert wrote Both car and GA accident rates have dramatically declined with technical improvements to safety over the last decades. This expert is simply not supported by the numbers. Actually, that's not true at all. FATALITY rates have improved dramatically; accident rates are actually up. One sample State of Florida says it is true. Between 1978-1998, licensed drivers doubled, vehicle miles doubled, small increase in roads. But total crashes actually decreased about 1/3, with small increase in total deaths. Complete charts at: http://www.dot.state.fl.us/planning/...SourceBook.pdf Fred F. |
#40
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![]() "Tom Sixkiller" wrote in message ... "Dave Stadt" wrote in message news:_HEec.1395. Traffic fatalities have been in the 40,000+ range since the 1940s. Many more automobiles and many more miles driven but at the end of the year the number of dead people has been the same for over 50 years. Actually, TF's peaked in the 1980's at about 52,000 (??) and are now down to the low 40K's. Actually, far as I know 52,000 is 40,000+. |
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