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...how long will it be before professional pilots are just like the
men that used to be in an elevator... I'd put money on 50 years, +- 20. The technology already exists, but it'll take a long time to make it cost-effective and overhaul the infrastructure needed to implement & support it. ...(or even out of the cockpit)? Given that the above comes about "on schedule"; 50-50 we'll see routine unmanned cargo flights over ocean routes by 2075. Passenger flights; not for at least a century, probably half again that. We're talking several rounds of revolutionary advances in computing intelligence and fault-tolerance to come up with a machine that can safely and effectively replace a passenger aircraft flight crew at something approaching the cost & weight of same, plus a LONG run in the aforementioned cargo aircraft to prove out the tech to where your average traveler would board RoboPlane. The psychological issue will be more difficult to overcome than the technological one. Note that a lot of people don't even like to ride in automated subway cars. All IMHO, of course, but I'd like to think it's a reasonably well-informed HO. RH (PP-ASEL; software engineer; AI maven) |
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