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  #21  
Old June 2nd 04, 06:07 PM
Gary Thomas
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Stealth Pilot wrote:

On Wed, 02 Jun 2004 14:22:56 GMT, "Dude" wrote:

While I am admittedly pessimistic, there are a few things that make the
average EAA guy different from the average citizen.

Number one would be a love of building and flying. EAA people are
intimately involved in the way their planes work. They do not see them as a
bland appliance that gets them from point A to point B.

The guy I am worried about is the one that can't fix his car properly, but
thinks he can. Or he thinks that every mechanic is trying to rip him off,
and wants to use the cheapest repair he can get by with.

Now you want to put him in charge of a plane? For Pete's sake, have you
seen the cars on the road?



your carbeques caused us some amusement on the trip from sandiego to
route 66 :-) :-) and watching something like 3 cars sitting there
calling out the road patrol to change a flat tyre was astonishing.
my last flat tyre took me 2 minutes to swap on the shoulder of a busy
freeway.
I'm sure urban americans dont realise how dumb they look to the rest
of the first world. :-)

relating to aviation.
look there is a pervasive view that all owners are into clueless
shonky maintenance. the hard evidence is quite different though.
South Africans have owner maintenance and discussing this with some of
the pilots who have emigrated tells the same story. when an old
aircraft enters owner maintenance you can watch it develop over the
next few years. the deterioration gradually winds back as the guy
fixes more and more of the effects of age on it. many aircraft in
owner maintenance end up as stunningly restored showcases that are
flown for real pleasure.
The Canadians north of you wouldnt stop maintaining their aircraft and
in their remoteness could operate an aircraft for it's entire life
away from civilisation. Transport Canada changed the rules when the
statistics for illicit maintenance proved to be no different than for
certified maintenance. The sky certainly hasnt fallen in for them.
The brits, we australians and the kiwis all have the same basic
pessimism in their regulatory authorities. they all still have a
mindset from 1918 when it really was dangerous. most of us just ignore
the authorities, close the hangar door, and just get on with it
anyway.

pilots are not the general unwashed of life. they have all been
trained and assessed as competent aviators. isnt it time you had some
confidence. all you need to do is put competent information before
them and they soak it up. pessimism and aviation are poor bedfellows.

Stealth (optimist) Pilot


I'd like to address your first gratuitous whack at the way some
americans choose to fix a flat tire. Many pay an annual fee for
roadside assistance. It's a nice little card that goes into the wife's
pocket book that has an 800 number which along with a cell phone gets
the nice man out to fix the tire, bring gasoline, get the damn thing
started and/or tow it to the garage. It stops the need to leave work
and go listen to a diatribe about how SWMBO really should have a new SUV
instead of this crappy BMW/whatever. The diatribe is now put off to
when you return home and you can listen to it on your own unbillable
time. This saves the annual fee in one whack ;-)

Gary Thomas
  #22  
Old June 2nd 04, 07:13 PM
Rich S.
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"Stealth Pilot" wrote in message
...

my last flat tyre took me 2 minutes to swap on the shoulder of a busy
freeway.


Wow! The next time I need a "tyre" changed, may I call you? :^0

The tires needed to be rotated on my 1987 Ford 3/4 ton pickup. I cleared out
the 2-car garage/shop and spotted the truck in the center. The overhead
lights were brightly lighting up the work area, the compressor was charged
and I brought out the floor jack and jack stands.

It took but a few minutes to lift all four corners of the Ford off the
ground and secure it on the stands. I popped off all the hub caps and set up
the impact wrench. Great working conditions! Dry, warm and pneumatic tools -
what more could you want? No buttheads talking on cellphones whizzing past
three feet away; just the soothing tones of Rush Linbaugh on the radio,
"Talent on loan from Glaxo-Smith Kline Pharmaceuticals".

Ten minutes later, I finally had the spare tire down from its hiding place
under the bed. "Ooh - my back is starting to twinge already, I'd better pace
myself. Where's my Bud?" "Okay - spare's ready, now to spin those lugnuts."

Twenty minutes later, I have one nut unscrewed about four turns. It has now
stopped turning and no amount of force I can apply will budge it in either
direction. I believe it has welded itself to the lug. Before you ask, yes -
I wire brushed all the lugs and allowed plenty of time for the penetrating
oil to do its work. BTW, the rear lugs have an inch of excess thread beyond
the nut to allow for the installation of duallies, so four turns is just a
small beginning.

The hubcaps and the spare tire went in the truck bed. The jackstands were
put away and the truck taken to the local tire shop. That was fifty bucks
well spent. He even charged an extra fiver to stow the spare.

Rich "I'll never go *there* again!" S.


  #23  
Old June 3rd 04, 05:43 AM
Ron Wanttaja
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On Wed, 2 Jun 2004 10:13:58 -0700, "Rich S."
wrote:

Ten minutes later, I finally had the spare tire down from its hiding place
under the bed. "Ooh - my back is starting to twinge already, I'd better pace
myself. Where's my Bud?" "Okay - spare's ready, now to spin those lugnuts."

Twenty minutes later, I have one nut unscrewed about four turns. It has now
stopped turning and no amount of force I can apply will budge it in either
direction. I believe it has welded itself to the lug. Before you ask, yes -
I wire brushed all the lugs and allowed plenty of time for the penetrating
oil to do its work. BTW, the rear lugs have an inch of excess thread beyond
the nut to allow for the installation of duallies, so four turns is just a
small beginning.

The hubcaps and the spare tire went in the truck bed. The jackstands were
put away and the truck taken to the local tire shop. That was fifty bucks
well spent. He even charged an extra fiver to stow the spare.


Conversely, my brother-in-law was in town last weekend, running his Camaro
in the SCCA races. I was visiting him on Sunday when he decided to swap
his slicks for rain tires. Took him all of about five minutes for all four
tires....all I did was roll the replacement units up and pull the removed
ones away.

Makes a difference when you do it four or five times every weekend. :-)

Ron "Rollaway" Wanttaja
  #24  
Old June 3rd 04, 08:31 AM
Pete Schaefer
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"Ron Wanttaja" wrote in message
...
1. CAN it be done?


Hmm...yeah, probably, but the complexity of software that can handle what we
consider to be routine decision-making would be phenomenally high. Picture
what goes into a current state-of-the-art FBW software (incredibly
expensive......figure $80M for basic inner-loop and autopilot through to
certification) and take it up 2-3 orders of magnitude. We're talking about
stretching the limits of current AI tech, plus testing.

2. WILL it be done?


Nope. Not any time soon, anyway. There just isn't a strong enough tech push.

3. SHOULD it be done?


Not for GA alone. There just isn't a strong enough need.

The tech that you'd need to make it work are the same as those needed to
make UAVs trustworthy enough for "hands-off" operation within federal
airspace. If it will ever happen, it will start with UAVs, cuz that's where
the money is being spent. As long as UAVs are only adhering to their current
conops, this tech will never see enough attention to emerge into the
mainstream. It will remain the province of robotic deep-space exploration.

Pete


  #25  
Old June 3rd 04, 06:57 PM
Dude
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Yep. Since we don't have anything logical left to argue about, is this
where we switch to name-calling? :-)



Why call names when I can "Fart in your general direction."


  #26  
Old June 4th 04, 01:32 PM
Stealth Pilot
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On 02 Jun 2004 05:13:22 GMT, (Veeduber) wrote:

maybe homebuilders arent average. maybe we should lift the bar on
the rest of society,


---------------------------------------------------

Much ado has been made of 'National IQ' tests, comparing one nationality
against another (yes, Oz is right in there).

If such tests have any validity (they don't, but work with me here), then the
average intelligence of citizens of industrialized nations is about 100.

A key point neatly overlooked in this typical bit of modern-day feel-good
'news' is that if the AVERAGE is about 100 then the MEDIAN is around 85.

It doesn't take a rocket scientist to see that the behavior of our society is a
closer match to the lower figure than the higher. And that the assertion the
'average citizen' can not be trusted to properly maintain an airplane (or even
a car) is probably more right than wrong.

-R.S.Hoover


the other day in my studies I came across the graph of IQ's you refer
to. (thought of you instantly)

the graph is of Wechaler IQ's
0 - 70 is 2% of the population.
70 - 85 is 14% of the population.
85 - 100 is 34%
100 - 115 is 34% again.
115 - 130 is 14%
over 130 is 2%

traditional IQ tests really only test logic, spatial and numeric
talents. as Mr Gardiner pointed out there are 8 areas of intelligence.
linguistic, logical-mathematical, musical, spatial, body-kinesthetic,
natuaralistic, social understanding and self understanding.
so IQ's dont tell all of the story.

if we take IQ's from 85 up as being either good with the hands (not
fully appreciated in the IQ test) or intellectually able (fully
covered by the IQ test) to build and maintain aircraft.
82% of the population are theoretically able to handle learning about
and actually maintaining their aircraft.

even statistically there is no need for the pessimism about owners
maintaining their own aircraft.

Stealth Pilot
  #27  
Old June 4th 04, 03:32 PM
Dude
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Is the point whether they are able, or that they will do it?

Many people just do not have the right attitude. Current aviation
populations are made up of enthusiastast who care about planes at least on
some level.

What happens when the average owner is less of an enthusiast and only sees
his plane as a transportation appliance?

Cars have gotten this way for many people. They just do not see it as an
important possession that deserves care and respect anymore. Those people
CAN take care of their cars, they just don't.






"Stealth Pilot" wrote in message
...
On 02 Jun 2004 05:13:22 GMT, (Veeduber) wrote:

maybe homebuilders arent average. maybe we should lift the bar on
the rest of society,


---------------------------------------------------

Much ado has been made of 'National IQ' tests, comparing one nationality
against another (yes, Oz is right in there).

If such tests have any validity (they don't, but work with me here), then

the
average intelligence of citizens of industrialized nations is about 100.

A key point neatly overlooked in this typical bit of modern-day feel-good
'news' is that if the AVERAGE is about 100 then the MEDIAN is around 85.

It doesn't take a rocket scientist to see that the behavior of our

society is a
closer match to the lower figure than the higher. And that the assertion

the
'average citizen' can not be trusted to properly maintain an airplane (or

even
a car) is probably more right than wrong.

-R.S.Hoover


the other day in my studies I came across the graph of IQ's you refer
to. (thought of you instantly)

the graph is of Wechaler IQ's
0 - 70 is 2% of the population.
70 - 85 is 14% of the population.
85 - 100 is 34%
100 - 115 is 34% again.
115 - 130 is 14%
over 130 is 2%

traditional IQ tests really only test logic, spatial and numeric
talents. as Mr Gardiner pointed out there are 8 areas of intelligence.
linguistic, logical-mathematical, musical, spatial, body-kinesthetic,
natuaralistic, social understanding and self understanding.
so IQ's dont tell all of the story.

if we take IQ's from 85 up as being either good with the hands (not
fully appreciated in the IQ test) or intellectually able (fully
covered by the IQ test) to build and maintain aircraft.
82% of the population are theoretically able to handle learning about
and actually maintaining their aircraft.

even statistically there is no need for the pessimism about owners
maintaining their own aircraft.

Stealth Pilot



  #28  
Old June 5th 04, 02:23 AM
Brian Whatcott
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Default

On Fri, 04 Jun 2004 19:32:24 +0800, Stealth Pilot
wrote:

On 02 Jun 2004 05:13:22 GMT, (Veeduber) wrote:

maybe homebuilders arent average. maybe we should lift the bar on
the rest of society,


---------------------------------------------------

Much ado has been made of 'National IQ' tests, comparing one nationality
against another (yes, Oz is right in there).

If such tests have any validity (they don't, but work with me here), then the
average intelligence of citizens of industrialized nations is about 100.

A key point neatly overlooked in this typical bit of modern-day feel-good
'news' is that if the AVERAGE is about 100 then the MEDIAN is around 85.

It doesn't take a rocket scientist to see that the behavior of our society is a
closer match to the lower figure than the higher. And that the assertion the
'average citizen' can not be trusted to properly maintain an airplane (or even
a car) is probably more right than wrong.

-R.S.Hoover


the other day in my studies I came across the graph of IQ's you refer
to. (thought of you instantly)

the graph is of Wechaler IQ's
0 - 70 is 2% of the population.
70 - 85 is 14% of the population.
85 - 100 is 34%
100 - 115 is 34% again.
115 - 130 is 14%
over 130 is 2%

traditional IQ tests really only test logic, spatial and numeric
talents. as Mr Gardiner pointed out there are 8 areas of intelligence.
linguistic, logical-mathematical, musical, spatial, body-kinesthetic,
natuaralistic, social understanding and self understanding.
so IQ's dont tell all of the story.

if we take IQ's from 85 up as being either good with the hands (not
fully appreciated in the IQ test) or intellectually able (fully
covered by the IQ test) to build and maintain aircraft.
82% of the population are theoretically able to handle learning about
and actually maintaining their aircraft.

even statistically there is no need for the pessimism about owners
maintaining their own aircraft.

Stealth Pilot


If one concludes from your data, that the median IQ is arranged to be
100 (which one should) then Bob is suggesting the AVERAGE
ought to be higher - so that the average citizen is well placed to fix
up a FG single, on this basis.
How about that! :-)

B
  #29  
Old June 5th 04, 02:55 AM
Ernest Christley
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Default

Veeduber wrote:
maybe homebuilders arent average. maybe we should lift the bar on
the rest of society,



---------------------------------------------------

Much ado has been made of 'National IQ' tests, comparing one nationality
against another (yes, Oz is right in there).

If such tests have any validity (they don't, but work with me here), then the
average intelligence of citizens of industrialized nations is about 100.

A key point neatly overlooked in this typical bit of modern-day feel-good
'news' is that if the AVERAGE is about 100 then the MEDIAN is around 85.

It doesn't take a rocket scientist to see that the behavior of our society is a
closer match to the lower figure than the higher. And that the assertion the
'average citizen' can not be trusted to properly maintain an airplane (or even
a car) is probably more right than wrong.

-R.S.Hoover


BY DEFINITION....

50% of the world's population are of below average intelligence!!

--
http://www.ernest.isa-geek.org/
"Ignorance is mankinds normal state,
alleviated by information and experience."
Veeduber
  #30  
Old June 5th 04, 07:37 AM
Veeduber
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If one concludes from your data, that the median IQ is arranged to be
100 (which one should) then Bob is suggesting the AVERAGE
ought to be higher


------------------------------------------

Not quite.

The bell curve defined by Stealth Pilot supposedly represents the distribution
of intelligence for the entire human population.

This is not the same thing as the numerical mean of IQ scores for a specific
population, such as pilots, people on welfare or attendees at a conference on
astrophysics.

The popular 'national IQ' bull**** appears to use only data from students, a
population that is skewed toward the higher end. When the arithmetical average
of their IQ's is 100 the news isn't quite as good at it appears and is a
completely different subject than the statistical distribution of IQ for the
entire human population. I simply pointed out the flaw in comparing one to the
other.

IQ tests tend to reflect the people who create them. And then misuse them for
various purposes :-)

As Robert Heinlein pointed out many years ago, in the Kalahari if he survived
at all would be as the local equivalent to an idiot on welfare -- a zero on the
local IQ test -- because the set of northern European genes that resulted in
his 130+ IQ didn't happen to include the ability to smell water.

-R.S.Hoover


 




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