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#11
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I am not a sufficiently expert statistician to be certain, but I think
the UK data leads to two conclusions about tug upset fatal accidents: 1. There have been too few such fatalities - I think about 6-10 over 30 years - to draw conclusions with a high probablility of being certain of the correlation - and I can't stipulate how "high" is high; 2. Notwithstanding 1. above, as far as I know 100 percent of UK tug upset fatal accidents in the last 30 years happened with belly hooks. We changed our procedures and recommendations before we could gather more data and satisfy statistical pedants with some more fatalities which might have improved the correlation calculations. Since the changes, fatal tug upsets have almost entirely disappeared from the UK fatal accident reports. There have been tugging accidents other than upsets, with nose hooks as well as belly hooks, but these do not affect such inferences as one can draw from 1 and 2 above. By the way, I fly mostly a Ka6E with a belly hook. I am very careful not to kill my friends who tug, being all too well aware of the danger. One of the changes was to alter our preferred tow position, as has been referred to by others, to only just above the prop wash - termed the "low High-tow" position, IIRC. Before the changes, we normally kept the glider at or slightly above the tug height once established on tow. Chris N. |
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