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#1
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In article ,
Eric Greenwell wrote: There are already gliders available to the hang glider pilots with much superior performance to a competition hang glider for _same_ price as competition hang glider. Take a look at the used gliders available: the Ka-6 and even the 1-26 can meet your target. I don't know why people keep saying things like this. You can *not* significantly grow gliding by people buying Ka-6's or 1-26's. They aren't *MAKING* them any more, there is a only a very limited number around, and if you made new ones they'd cost as much or more as a PW-5 (whcih is better than either of them, albiet marginally in the case of the K6) anyway. -- Bruce | 41.1670S | \ spoken | -+- Hoult | 174.8263E | /\ here. | ----------O---------- |
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#2
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Bruce Hoult wrote:
In article , Eric Greenwell wrote: There are already gliders available to the hang glider pilots with much superior performance to a competition hang glider for _same_ price as competition hang glider. Take a look at the used gliders available: the Ka-6 and even the 1-26 can meet your target. I don't know why people keep saying things like this. You can *not* significantly grow gliding by people buying Ka-6's or 1-26's. They aren't *MAKING* them any more, there is a only a very limited number around, And yet they are very cheap, which is why I suggest there aren't enough pilots interested in gliding. If hang glider pilots were falling all over each other to move into low cost gliders with substantially better performance than their hang gliders, we'd see higher prices. I don't think it is the glider _supply_ that is lacking, it is the _demand_ for gliders that is missing. and if you made new ones they'd cost as much or more as a PW-5 (whcih is better than either of them, albiet marginally in the case of the K6) anyway. I agree. But do you think there would be more people starting gliding lessons if they could buy a new LS4 for $40,000 US instead of $50,000? Or even it it was only $30,000? I don't think there would be any more starting pilots, though we would probably keep a few more. It will take a lot more than that to get the LS4 volume up to where the $30,000 price is possible. -- Change "netto" to "net" to email me directly Eric Greenwell Washington State USA |
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#3
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In article ,
Eric Greenwell wrote: I don't know why people keep saying things like this. You can *not* significantly grow gliding by people buying Ka-6's or 1-26's. They aren't *MAKING* them any more, there is a only a very limited number around, And yet they are very cheap, which is why I suggest there aren't enough pilots interested in gliding. If hang glider pilots were falling all over each other to move into low cost gliders with substantially better performance than their hang gliders, we'd see higher prices. I don't think it is the glider _supply_ that is lacking, it is the _demand_ for gliders that is missing. Yes, that's a good point. Perhaps the hang glider pilots simply don't *know* about these cheap gliders? Or perhaps they value being able to climb an arbitrary peak and jump off too much? In which case they're not going to be happy with less than a self-launching glider. and if you made new ones they'd cost as much or more as a PW-5 (whcih is better than either of them, albiet marginally in the case of the K6) anyway. I agree. But do you think there would be more people starting gliding lessons if they could buy a new LS4 for $40,000 US instead of $50,000? Or even it it was only $30,000? I don't think there would be any more starting pilots, though we would probably keep a few more. It will take a lot more than that to get the LS4 volume up to where the $30,000 price is possible. Personally, I think a new PW-5 or similar for $15k is a pretty damn good thing. It seems that others don't think so. I'm wierd I guess. I fly a Janus (and have flown DG1000 and Duo) and they're nice, but for flying cross country I actually *prefer* a PW-5 (and I was flying one yesterday). Sure, you can't go as far or as fast but you can still challenge youself and there are plenty of days when the PW-5 can stay up but the Janus can't (yes I know the reverse is true in some places/conditions). OTOH I've never flown a single-seater with more performance than a Libelle (about 65 hours in Libelles, Std and Club), so I probably don't have a clue what a *real* glider flies like anyway. Is an LS-4 *that* much better than a Libelle? -- Bruce | 41.1670S | \ spoken | -+- Hoult | 174.8263E | /\ here. | ----------O---------- |
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#4
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On Sun, 14 Nov 2004 15:03:17 +1300, Bruce Hoult
wrote: Sure, you can't go as far or as fast but you can still challenge youself and there are plenty of days when the PW-5 can stay up but the Janus can't (yes I know the reverse is true in some places/conditions). Here in Germany the same story is told about the Ka-6/Ka-8 and glass gliders - it's the legend of the weather that allows the lighter gliders with inferior L/D to stay airborne while the "heavy" gliders with good L/D need to land. Unfortunately I never had the pleasure to meet anyone who saw this happen. ![]() Is an LS-4 *that* much better than a Libelle? Yes. "That much" is a question of taste of course. Flying an LS-4 or DG-300 in a team with a Libelle means that you have to pull the flaps after each 3rd thermal and get rid of 500 ft if you want to stay together with him. To me this is a vast difference. Bye Andreas |
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#5
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Bruce Hoult wrote:
In article , Eric Greenwell wrote: I don't know why people keep saying things like this. You can *not* significantly grow gliding by people buying Ka-6's or 1-26's. They aren't *MAKING* them any more, there is a only a very limited number around, And yet they are very cheap, which is why I suggest there aren't enough pilots interested in gliding. If hang glider pilots were falling all over each other to move into low cost gliders with substantially better performance than their hang gliders, we'd see higher prices. I don't think it is the glider _supply_ that is lacking, it is the _demand_ for gliders that is missing. Yes, that's a good point. Perhaps the hang glider pilots simply don't *know* about these cheap gliders? I think this is a big part of it. They generally aren't where the sailplane crowd is, and vice versa. Or perhaps they value being able to climb an arbitrary peak and jump off too much? This is also part of it. The lack of regulation (licenses, biennial reviews, and so on) is appealing to everyone, but perhaps more so the younger crowd. THe former hang glider pilots (and now sailplane pilots) I've talked to indicated that as they got older, they began to notice the advantages of sailplanes: * much less physical effort and pain to fly * every cross-country flight doesn't end in a retrieve * the glider doesn't wear out and lose half it's value in a 3-4 years * you don't beat up your car/truck driving over miles and hours of crummy logging roads to get to the launch site (the drive to the airport is easy, comparatively, even if it's farther away) * said site is often without the right wind or thermals when you get there * you don't have so many friends that seem to have a death wish * and the wife is estactic that they leave late in the morning and actually get home before dinner! In which case they're not going to be happy with less than a self-launching glider. They can be very happy, because of the advantages listed above. All of these pilots are still working, so weekend flying is fine with them, andbecause soaring is more likely in a sailplane than a hang glider on a any given day. snip Personally, I think a new PW-5 or similar for $15k is a pretty damn good thing. It seems that others don't think so. I'm wierd I guess. Definitely a 3 sigma on RAS! OTOH I've never flown a single-seater with more performance than a Libelle (about 65 hours in Libelles, Std and Club), so I probably don't have a clue what a *real* glider flies like anyway. Is an LS-4 *that* much better than a Libelle? I doubt it, based on the gliders I've flown. A nicer glider all around, but the flights won't be much better. -- Change "netto" to "net" to email me directly Eric Greenwell Washington State USA |
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#6
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As many posts have pointed out the problem of dwindling numbers in soaring
is more complex than simply the cost of gliders ... however the cost of gliders is a big factor. Lets not confuse current debate by bringing in other issues. These issues (some of which I list below should be debated separately). Other issues a * Tow costs (this needs to be addressed by lighter smaller gliders than can be towed by ultralight or smaller more compact winches). * Access to two seat training and instructors (no point is producing new low cost sailplanes if there is no affordable two seat trainers). * Most pilots who enter the sport with a desire to fly competition quickly realise that this is the domain of the wealthy and quickly decide that they cannot affort this elitist sport (we need an affordable and active one design class). * Lack of young people (aging glider pilot population - currently not the sort of scene that young people want to hang around - hang gliding and skydiving are better alternatives for young people. Young people consider glider clubs to be something akin to a retirement home). * External financial pressures means that people have less to spend on gliding (rising cost of housing, social pressures to live a more extravigant lifestyle). * The entry cost of our sport is too high (I am continually frustrated by the comments of the small group of people who fly Discus' and LS-7's etc that state that the cost is the cost - goddam it - the people we should be attracting to the sport are the young. The 20-50 year olds. Those with families and mortgages - how the hell are they supposed to afford a $100,000+ glider. They will however be those who can affort these gliders in later years. Gliding is a good family sport but the elitist attitude of a minority is cutting of the supply of new members at the grass roots level). * The current club environment is probably no longer a valid model for the basis of our sport - we are now competing with many other sports that have developed far more efficient models (in cost and time) and have promoted themselves in a much more sophisticated manner. Take a close look at the parachute industry ... they run large skydive centres near major cities, they have a commercial basis, they attract the young by the hundreds, equal mix of females and males which is important to the young. You go, you pay, you do, you socialise a little and then go home. No hassle, a good time had by all. Gliding has too many hassles. Minestones in Glider Design: The point I was trying to make in several earlier posts is that it is time for a new designer to emerge with ideas that will take gliding in a new direction. The current gliders designs have matured to an almost uniform degree of conformity. Think back through history and the names of several designers loom large that have shaped modern soaring: Rudolf Kaiser (KA-6/7 and AS-K series) Karel Dlouhy (Blanik) Eugen Hanle (Libelle) Gerhard Waible (AS-W series) Klaus Holligaus (Cirrus, Nimbus, Janus, Discuss) and there are others .... Think how the creations of each of these designers changed the course of gliding. Most of these designers created gliders that set new levels in glider performance. We have reached a point now where we can no longer afford more performance. We need creative ideas to reduce cost. We need a new bunch of designers to tackle this issue. This problem is not unique to gliders ... take jet fighters for instance. Exactly the same issue exists. There comes a point where you have to balance cost and performance. Costs of Labour: Hang gliders and Paragliders are increasingly being made in China. To keep the cost of labour down. There was a recent article in the 'Oz Report' (the daily HG email newletter) that stated that there is one factory in China that makes 7000 sails a year. It has to happen ... how long before we will have a Chinese Discus or Apis. The cost of labour is the biggest hurdle that manufacturers have to deal with (say 400 hrs x $50 = $20000). Either reduce the number of hours by automation or reduce the labour rate. Glider manufacturers need to be looking to China or Mexico etc. Of course this is only a temporary fix to the problem. As living standards rise in these courties so will the cost of labour. So ultimately out challenge is to automate production for the long term. Old Cheap Gliders: This is not going to fix the problem. * The supply is limited. * Styling out of date (you may laugh but styling is important - perhaps why the PW-5 was not as big a hit as it should have been). * They require a lot more maintenance because of the age and construction techniques. * The are heavier to tow and rig than a AC-4 or Apis. * If people are spending 15K+ then they want something new. * They simply don't have the performance of an Apis or AC-4. Performance: I think arguements such as this are always hijacked by those who fly competitively in high performance gliders. They could not see themselves in a PW-5 or AC-4. This is one of our fundamental problems - no one is speaking for the members we are yet to attract . For most beginner to intermediate pilots the AC-4 or PW-5 are great little gliders that they can do a lot with, learn heaps in and probably the only glider that they will really ever need - especially if there was sufficient volume of these gliders to have an active competition scene. Certification and Light Plane Category: We need a worldwide uniform standard for the new crop of gliders. JAR-22 was previously almost universal but times have changed. The future will be in the light sport / ultralight area. The current crop of ultralight sailplanes are for the most part on shakey ground certification wise. Most of them are somehow made legal in the ultralight categories of various countries. This needs to be fixed and fixed urgently so that those making these machines have some increased certainty. Light Sport aircraft are the future in the US but there is no design standard. We need an ASTM subcommittee to start looking at an ASTM glider standard - we already have standards for Light Sport Aircraft (Powered) and Powered Parachutes etc. We also need handbooks and guidance material on how to certificate gliders in a cost efficient manner ... probably a task for OSTIV ???? |
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#7
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On Sun, 14 Nov 2004 22:06:04 +1100, "smjmitchell"
wrote: As many posts have pointed out the problem of dwindling numbers in soaring is more complex than simply the cost of gliders ... however the cost of gliders is a big factor. Lets not confuse current debate by bringing in other issues. These issues (some of which I list below should be debated separately). There are many reasons that new gliders will NOT be made in the US, and most of them are out of the control of the people that would like to see them. First, cost. Can it be made cheaply with a high profit? No. Can it be made to a low quality standard and still be serviceable? Again, no. Any company head that has been "trained" in the last thirty years is going to have foremost on his mind, "can we outsource." This is going to have a chilling effect on those that can afford it, but are dependent on maintaining a means of support when it comes time to open the wallet. It requires a reasonable sustained effort to learn, "reasonable sustained effort" is now something that our "institutions of higher learning" teach is to be avoided. Fast and cheap is the only way now. IOW, there has been a basic change of attitudes in the US, from "Can do", to "It's impossible." From, "It's old, but it was well built, let's rebuild it" to "It's cheap, throw it away and buy a new one." And the downhill spiral begins as one manufacturer after another tries to "outcheap" the next, to maintain, "market share." It used to be that someone entering the workforce had a reasonable expectation of having a job, a means of income for the rest of his/her working life. The only question today is how many jobs you will have in your lifetime, there is no such thing as a job you can depend on, thing of the past. Restore some stability in peoples daily lives, and you might find a market, and a few more that will attempt flying, but until there's stability again, it won't happen. As with one person I know, lost the job with a major communications company, said screw it, retired. Enough money to live on, but don't look there for one to start flying. And yes, the Chinese can probably make things cheaper, due to the lack of good paying jobs there. The problem is that when they've cut YOUR income, through competition, to THEIR level, a used and abused 1-26 is still going to be out of your reach. It isn't just a soaring problem, it's a global problem. That nobody seems to want to look at. I don't see it improving during my lifetime. |
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#8
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smjmitchell wrote:
snip Think how the creations of each of these designers changed the course of gliding. Most of these designers created gliders that set new levels in glider performance. We have reached a point now where we can no longer afford more performance. We need creative ideas to reduce cost. We need a new bunch of designers to tackle this issue. snip Mitchell makes some good points, and I agree with them in general, but I think the focus for cheaper gliders should be on the gliders clubs and commercial operations will buy. If cheap, good gliders are going to increase the number of pilots, we need these gliders where these new pilots will see them and use them. For example, if a brand new PW5 or similar was only $10,000, that would make it almost irresistible to a lot of clubs. The members would have a good transition to cross-country flying from the two seat trainers; bigger clubs could afford more than one; and many new pilots would become private owners of this glider. Eventually, as the number of pilots increased, so would the demand for higher performance to where a high volume, lower cost LS4 equivalent could be practical to manufacture. My belief is we have to ensure the demand first, then build that cheap LS4. I realize a $10,000 PW5 equivalent is a dream, when even the low tech trailer for it will cost $5000, but I hope you see the point that lower cost high performance gliders at the high end won't do as much for soaring as a low cost medium performance glider. The high end glider only appeals to those already committed to the sport. -- Change "netto" to "net" to email me directly Eric Greenwell Washington State USA |
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#9
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"Eric Greenwell" wrote in message ... smjmitchell wrote: snip Think how the creations of each of these designers changed the course of gliding. Most of these designers created gliders that set new levels in glider performance. We have reached a point now where we can no longer afford more performance. We need creative ideas to reduce cost. We need a new bunch of designers to tackle this issue. snip Mitchell makes some good points, and I agree with them in general, but I think the focus for cheaper gliders should be on the gliders clubs and commercial operations will buy. If cheap, good gliders are going to increase the number of pilots, we need these gliders where these new pilots will see them and use them. For example, if a brand new PW5 or similar was only $10,000, that would make it almost irresistible to a lot of clubs. The members would have a good transition to cross-country flying from the two seat trainers; bigger clubs could afford more than one; and many new pilots would become private owners of this glider. Eventually, as the number of pilots increased, so would the demand for higher performance to where a high volume, lower cost LS4 equivalent could be practical to manufacture. My belief is we have to ensure the demand first, then build that cheap LS4. I realize a $10,000 PW5 equivalent is a dream, when even the low tech trailer for it will cost $5000, but I hope you see the point that lower cost high performance gliders at the high end won't do as much for soaring as a low cost medium performance glider. The high end glider only appeals to those already committed to the sport. -- Change "netto" to "net" to email me directly Eric Greenwell Washington State USA Finding a way to produce a 'cheap' LS4 isn't going to be the result of re-shuffling the compromises that produced the LS4 in the first place. Composite gliders are made the way they are because hand labor can produce a high performance product in low quantities. There's not a lot a room for improvement in that process. (Finding cheap labor will be a short term solution since once they can produce a quality product, they won't be cheap anymore.) What's needed is a breakthrough in materials and processes. I don't know what that is or if it's even possible but if we are to succeed, it will require thinking WAY "outside the box". A modern glider is a very large assembly of light, strong, highly accurate parts. How do we do that cheaply? Solve that riddle and you will be a legend. Bill Daniels |
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#10
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Użytkownik "smjmitchell" napisał w wiadomo¶ci u... Minestones in Glider Design: The point I was trying to make in several earlier posts is that it is time for a new designer to emerge with ideas that will take gliding in a new direction. The current gliders designs have matured to an almost uniform degree of conformity. Think back through history and the names of several designers loom large that have shaped modern soaring: Rudolf Kaiser (KA-6/7 and AS-K series) Karel Dlouhy (Blanik) Eugen Hanle (Libelle) Gerhard Waible (AS-W series) Klaus Holligaus (Cirrus, Nimbus, Janus, Discuss) and there are others .... just like Okarmus & Mynarski (Foka 4/5 + Cobra 15/17) http://www.piotrp.de/SZYBOWCE/pszd24.htm and Edward Marganski (Swift S-1 & Fox) http://www.piotrp.de/SZYBOWCE/pszd24.htm http://www.piotrp.de/SZYBOWCE/ps1.htm Regards, -- Janusz Kesik Poland to reply put my name.surname[at]gazeta.pl ------------------------------------- See Wroclaw (Breslau) in photography, The XIX Century, the Festung Breslau, and photos taken today. http://www.wroclaw.dolny.slask.pl |
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