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#22
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George William Herbert wrote: Vince Brannigan wrote: George William Herbert wrote: Vince Brannigan wrote: [....] Knowing what we knew pre-war, the conclusion that he was still hiding a WMD program was well supported and reasonable. Not universally agreed with, but well supported and reasonable. And at least largely wrong, as we now know. ole busho gambled and lost. unfortuantely the lives that were lost were not his campaign supporters. You are failing to move beyond your own political prejudices. It's perfectly reasonable to debate the point whether the state of knowledge when the US went from vague threats to escalating ultimatums justified a prompt war. That debate was valid and quite fruitful, then and now. Fair enough, see below It's not reasonable, at all, to debate whether the preponderance of information available to the west indicated at least some concealed program and at least some concealed information in Iraq at that time. Nobody who has ever seriously looked at that question, regardless of their opinions on the first question, has ever come away with a coherent case to the contrary of that conclusion. ???? You are conflating the two questions. Because you are ideologically biased against the outcome of the first question. I know you know you're doing it; unlike questions of law or engineering where you clearly know that you're qualified to answer (even if some judgement / opinion calls may be disagreed with by other professionals), on this issue you have rarely posted more than a one or two sentence ideological snap. The question is whether you can rise above your preconception on this question to study enough about it to be able to speak with authority, as opposed to just blind raging opinion as you do now. Fortunately, education on this point is rather easy, if somewhat tedious: The UNSCOM and UNMOVIC reports are all online thanks to the UN. A few websites, a few books from the library (Hamza's, Butler's... that's an acceptable start at least) plus actually reading the whole UNSCOM/ UNMOVIC report history at least once usually is an adequate first pass. Unfortunately typically over a week's work: UNSCOM and UNMOVIC reports are voluminous, and they reported at least once a quarter since 1991... I am not conflating the two questions. Bush did. He whipped up hysteria for the war by making clear cut statmetns, not of the possiblity subject to verification that Iraq maight have the arms but that in fact they did. Without that claim he does not get the war. I raised this issue in March Cecil Turner wrote: The US is not attacking Iraq because it wants to "be the arbiter of good and evil," but because its WMD programs represent an unacceptable security risk to the US. And I'd suggest the US not only has a "right to be heard" (thanks for that, BTW), but a right not to have biological agents dispersed on its streets. And if they dont have WMD Bush and cheny resign in disgrace ? Vince (psosted on march 31) Bush wants to ahve it both ways. My answer is no. we pay for results. this resutl indicates failure Im not saying he is evil, just that he failed to produce proof of the Casus Belli he promised. Vinve |
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#23
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We know he used to have a WME program; ask an Iranian veteran, ask a Kurd. We know a lot of it was captured or destroyed post-1991 and more destroyed in 1998. What we don't know with certainty is (a) how much he actually had, (b) how much was lost or destroyed, (c) how much the Iraqis disposed of themselves. ....".. what we don't know.." (above) This is exactly why we had to go in; we didn't know, he wasn't telling (in fact he was being evasive as hell), and contrary to your statement, Blix did NOT say Iraq did not have any, he actually wrote the finding that they were continuing to be evasive in direct violation of the UN (that is United Nations). |
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#24
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Kevin Brooks wrote: Vince Brannigan wrote in message ... Kevin Brooks wrote: "Leslie Swartz" wrote in message ... Vince: - What about the 30 or so 55 gal drums of Lewisite? - What about the mobile chem labs? - What about the Rycin? - What about the Botulinum? - What about the anthrax cultures? - What about the residuals at various dumping sites? How much "evidence of WMD;" or, more to the point, "evidence of WMD programs" is enough for you? Steve Swartz You are forgetting that Vkince and his ilk only consider it a WMD program if they can point to a physical and truly massive stockpile of active agents already in a weaponized state. That approach makes it so much easier for them to continue to bash Bush and the US. And BTW: you can add the development of the tactical ballistic missiles that exceeded the range allowed per the resolutions/cease fire agreement in your list as well. I'll take a single solitary weapon ready for use. Those missiles? not WMDS You overly sanctimonious son of a bitch. You are without a doubt the last individual in this country who should look any veteran "in the eye" on *any* day of the year, with your self-serving 'I didn't serve because it was inconvenient, and I don't like to take orders' bull****. You have done nothing but scorn the efforts and sacrifices of those who did serve, and those who died, from before the time this operation even started. I rarely descend to the level of actually cussing out a slimy, yellow bellied little cretin such as yourself, but you are singularly deserving of every bit of contempt I can scrounge up. Feel free to (again) invite me up for a personal review of these comments--the last time you did that you quickly backscrabbled into the "but if you do show up, I'll file suit" crap when it came time for the rubber to meet the road, so I have no doubt any renewed sense of backbone you might dredge up will once again prove to be a merely transient gesture on your part. What a sad little excuse for a man you are. Im sure you are sorry that your boy couldn't find the WMDs he promised. But the American soldiers are just as dead. Im sure your suggestion of violence can find an outlet but i'm not your punching bag. you are welcome to show up and debate but a real man who makes threats stands up and takes the consequences. So are you making a threat of personal injury or not? lets jsut be very clear Vince |
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#25
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"George Z. Bush" wrote in message ... Oh, breaking treaties is a reason to go to war? Like the Kyoto Accords, or the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, both of which we pulled out of unilaterally. Since we never ratified the Kyoto Accords as a treaty it was impossible to break it. We dropped the constraints of the ABM treaty by exercising the option in the treaty to do so; the ABM treaty was not "broken". |
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#26
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How inconvenient...
Jarg "Pete" wrote in message ... "oO" wrote We were told by the weapons inspectors he didnt have them anymore. Nobody believed he had them outside of the US, but the only people who could really know - the weapons experts who were actually there inspecting in Iraq (including Mr.Blix) said there were NONE. "What is at stake is how to answer the potential threat Iraq represents with the risk of proliferation of WMD. Baghdad's regime did use such weapons in the past. Today, a number of evidences may lead to think that, over the past four years, in the absence of international inspectors, this country has continued armament programs." -- Jacques Chirac, October 16, 2002 Pete |
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#27
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In message , Kevin
Brooks writes You are forgetting that Vkince and his ilk only consider it a WMD program if they can point to a physical and truly massive stockpile of active agents already in a weaponized state. The ones that were declared as being at 45 minutes from hitting Britain? These WMEs were meant to exist, in large numbers, such as to pose a clear and obvious danger to the US and UK. There's significant open water between that level of threat, and "well, we suspected he might have some hidden somewhere, but it turns out he didn't". Now, the pre-war claims of large, lethal, long-range and ready-use weapons have been hastily backpedalled. In fact, the war apparently wasn't about WMEs at all (nobody seems willing to go firm on what it _was_ about). That approach makes it so much easier for them to continue to bash Bush and the US. I'm an old-fashioned sort of guy: I like to see people (even politicians) pick a story and stick to it; or accept that intel is not perfect. Trouble is, at least over here, it appears that the answer was decided before the intelligence was studied: we _were_ going to war with Iraq, and the analysts were going to produce the answers to suit. And BTW: you can add the development of the tactical ballistic missiles that exceeded the range allowed per the resolutions/cease fire agreement in your list as well. Not WMEs, and who cares about the UN anyway? It's either relevant or it isn't - pick one. This war has got the US and UK militaries tied up for the foreseeable future. What have we gained to offset that cost? -- When you have to kill a man, it costs nothing to be polite. W S Churchill Paul J. Adam MainBoxatjrwlynch[dot]demon{dot}co(.)uk |
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#28
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In message fs_rb.768$6p6.751@okepread03, wrann writes
We know he used to have a WME program; ask an Iranian veteran, ask a Kurd. We know a lot of it was captured or destroyed post-1991 and more destroyed in 1998. What we don't know with certainty is (a) how much he actually had, (b) how much was lost or destroyed, (c) how much the Iraqis disposed of themselves. ...".. what we don't know.." (above) This is exactly why we had to go in; we didn't know, he wasn't telling (in fact he was being evasive as hell), and contrary to your statement, Blix did NOT say Iraq did not have any, Never claimed he said any such thing. What Blix _did_ say was that there were large uncertainties, lots of evasion... and no actual evidence. he actually wrote the finding that they were continuing to be evasive in direct violation of the UN (that is United Nations). The UN is irrelevant, didn't you get the memo? -- When you have to kill a man, it costs nothing to be polite. W S Churchill Paul J. Adam MainBoxatjrwlynch[dot]demon{dot}co(.)uk |
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#29
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#30
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Fred J. McCall wrote: :Vkince, you should be the absolute *last* person to be hurling about :accusations that anyone is "delusional". Especially since Vince's delusions seem to be rewriting history. I'm not sure just how he thinks "el Busho" managed to make the intelligence services of the UK, France, Germany, Russia, and the US all believe that Iraq had chemical weapons ready to deploy nonsense From 29 jan Russia's UN ambassador said that any fresh US evidence against Iraq will have to contain "undeniable proof" that Baghdad has retained banned nuclear, biological or chemical weapons. While welcoming plans for US Secretary of State Colin Powell to reveal new information to the UN Security Council next week, Ambassador Sergey Lavrov made it clear Moscow would require convincing. "If countries have persuasive proof that Iraq continues its (weapons of mass destruction) programme than this proof should be presented," Lavrov said. "We would like to see undeniable proof." Responding to US President George W. Bush's State of the Union speech yesterday, Lavrov said Russia's stance remains unchanged that weapons inspections in Iraq should be allowed to continue. "We have not seen any reason so far to undercut the inspection process," he said. http://www.intellnet.org/news/2003/01/29/15996-1.html (to the point where the French were even initially offering to come in if we were actually subject to a chemical attack, presumably to prevent Saddam from doing something quite stupid and proving the French to be liars). I'd be REAL interested how he convinced Saddam and various Iraqi military commanders of it. Remember, there are lots of reports from field commanders that, while THEY didn't have chemical weapons, the unit next door did. Obviously, SOMEBODY was spreading that rumour in the Iraqi forces. I can just see Bush running from tent to tent before the invasion. no BUSH simply stated it as a fact In Nov 2002 http://www.intellnet.org/news/2002/11/20/13733-1.html Top Stories - Reuters Bush Warns Saddam Not to Deny Weapons Exist 21 minutes ago Add Top Stories - Reuters to My Yahoo! PRAGUE (Reuters) - President Bush warned Iraqi President Saddam Hussein on Wednesday that should he deny possessing weapons of mass destruction, he will have entered his "final stage" as Iraq's leader. "We're threatened by terrorism, bred within failed states. It's present within our own cities," said Bush in a keynote speech ahead of a NATO (news - web sites) summit. Bush said Iraq was an outlaw nation that possessed weapons of mass destruction. He vowed Iraq would be held accountable to the terms of a U.N. resolution that returned weapons inspectors to Baghdad this week. "We now call an end to that game of deception and deceit and denial. Saddam Hussein has been given a very short time to declare completely and truthfully his arsenal of terror," said Bush. "Should he again deny that this arsenal exists, he will have entered his final stage with a lie, and deception this time will not be tolerated. Delay and defiance will invite the severest consequences," he said. end exerpt Quite clever, these Evil Republicans, hey Vince? Nonsense Here is a March 19 AP report U.S. Plans Hunt for Iraqi Bio-Weapons By MARK FRITZ Associated Press Writer While the world awaits Saddam Hussein's fate, the main goal of the U.S.-led military campaign is to embark on a scary scavenger hunt: finding the elusive weapons that convinced the Bush administration to wage war in the first place.The aim is to get to the toxic arsenals before they can be deployed or moved, and perhaps show the world evidence of a tangible threat that justified war. As a March 3 Defense Department report noted, ``Though initial emphasis was on the ouster of Saddam Hussein, the administration has more recently pointed to weapons of mass destruction disarmament as its prime objective.''Any attacks on the Iraqi leadership and its command centers are expected to be carried out in concert with seizures of suspected chemical and biological weapons sites, along with oil fields. Burning oil would pose its own health hazard if Saddam sets Iraq's 1,685 wells ablaze, as he did in occupied Kuwait during his 1991 retreat. Finding the weapons that have eluded U.N. inspectors carries huge practical and political ramifications for the Bush administration. Failure to turn up significant evidence of biological, chemical or nuclear arms research and production would raise questions about a mission already condemned by much of the world. ``The difficulty is a matter of intelligence,'' said Kelly Motz, an analyst at a nonpartisan think tank called Iraq Watch. ``To find it rapidly and destroy it rapidly, you pretty much need to know where it is. ``It's definitely the right idea and the right strategy, but in terms of carrying it out, you're going to need better intelligence than what I've seen so far.'' During the 1991 Persian Gulf war, the U.S.-led coalition was flummoxed by Iraq's mobile Scud missile launchers, which constantly eluded detection. It failed to locate any of them during the war, according to the Defense Department report to Congress. Failing to find significant evidence of biological and chemical arms would mean one of two things: that U.S. claims they exist were exaggerated, or that Saddam was successful in moving them out of the country. Iraq denies it has any such weapons. ``If we find little evidence ... it's going to be an embarrassment,'' Motz said. ``They're banking that they are going to prove themselves. Either it's not there, or it's been shipped across borders, which would mean that the mission increased proliferation.'' Disagreements over whether Iraq is indeed a threat that justifies war has splintered alliances and left the United States without many of its traditional allies as it enters a conflict. ``I'm among the people who are most curious to know'' if an invasion will uncover hidden weapons, Hans Blix, the most recent in a long line of U.N. weapons inspectors, told CNN Wednesday..... Washington believes Saddam has stockpiles of mustard gas, a grisly blistering agent used during World War I, as well as nerve gases and biological agents such as anthrax, botulism and ricin...... end exerpt. Bush did not declare a conditonal probability. He did not say " they might have them, and we can't risk that possibility" Bush said that WMDs existed and they don't. He knew before he went into war that that the failure to find WMDs would make the USA the laughingstock of the world. The world was not convinced by the pre war evidence, and the lack of finds show that Bush was simply wrong. The important question of the USA is why we were so wrong. We owe an explanation to the families of the men and woemn who died there. Vince |
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