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![]() wrote in message ... On Feb 24, 4:10 pm, Bob Noel wrote: In article , No. Cost is not part of the equation wrt reducing risk, at least as far as the FAA is concerned. If you were an applicant and tried to get an aircraft certified that didn't meet the standards in AC 23.1309 or AC 25.1309 because it would cost too much, the FAA would deny the application. I see what you're getting at. Those ACs indeed specify a maximum acceptable probability for e.g. a catastrophic failure, regardless of the cost of keeping the probability within that bound. But that's still consistent with my point about cost, for three reasons. First, the decision where to set the acceptability threshold is already informed by the FAA's knowledge of what threshold is affordable. The ACs' acceptable probability of catastrophic failure, especially for the less expensive classes of GA aircraft, is high enough to allow many fatalities per year across the fleet. If much higher safety were achievable at a reasonable cost, the FAA would presumably have set the probability threshold lower. Second, for the more expensive classes of GA aircraft, that threshold IS set lower, by two or three orders of magnitude! Presumably, that's in part because the bigger planes can afford to meet higher safety standards--standards that would swamp the cost of the smaller planes. Third, those ACs set a CEILING for acceptable failure probabilities. Unless I've missed something, there's nothing in the ACs to prevent the FAA from deciding that a particular item of safety equipment is required for airworthiness, even if the absence of that equipment would still leave the catastrophe probabilities within the standards set by the ACs. And cost is surely a factor in making THOSE decisions. (For example, if ADS-B technology cost $500,000 per plane, the FAA would not be proposing to require it.) Your going to "fit right in" around here! |
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